Multi-family
100-108-112 E Nottingham Rd · Shiloh, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$655,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Nine 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartment units. This property consists of three tri-plex buildings. Each building has three 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartments. Building address are 100, 108, & 112 E. Nottingham Rd. Tenants pay for heat and electric. Owner pays water and trash. Each Unit has its own Furnace, Water Heater, and Window Air Conditioner. There is off-street parking in its own private parking lot. Parcel IDs; E20-17007-0003, E20-17007-0001, E20-17007-0296.
Key facts
- Private parking lot
- Own water heater
- Own furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $655k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $655k).
- Recommended offer: $616k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.7% in Shiloh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,037/mo this rent would consume 192% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1475% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $183k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($616k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $146k; list at $655k implies a 349% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.94%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,792
- List price
- $655,000
- Delta
- 433.42%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $9,660
- Equity at exit
- $97,663
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $184,891
- Equity at exit
- $56,632
Cash invested: $183,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45405
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 69.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,037 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,435
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$273
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,478
- Net cashflow
- $1,672
Break-even live
9-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9× units | 1 | 1 | $7,038 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #7 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #8 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| #9 | 1 | 1 | $782 |
| Total (9 units) | $7,037 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $163,750
- Closing costs
- $19,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Cromwell Pl Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 519 Heather Dr Unit 1C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4339 Riverside Dr Dayton, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $899 | $0.96 | 2d | 12 | 0.38mi |
| 244 E Siebenthaler Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $1,175 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 202 E Bruce Ave Apt 2 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $800 | $0.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 52 Fernwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1926 | $925 | $0.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3031 Garvin Rd Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 38 Pointview Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $900 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 65 E Maplewood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $723 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 147 Laura Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $975 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1004 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $950 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $655,000 Pending 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $655,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $655,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $655,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $655,000 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Nine 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartment units. This property consists of three tri-plex buildings. Each building has three 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartments. Building address are 100, 108, & 112 E. Nottingham Rd. Tenants pay for heat and electric. Owner pays water and trash. Each Unit has its own Furnace, Water Heater, and Window Air Conditioner. There is off-street parking in its own private parking lot. Parcel IDs; E20-17007-0003, E20-17007-0001, E20-17007-0296.
-
2026-03-12$675,000 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Nine 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartment units. This property consists of three tri-plex buildings. Each building has three 1-bedroom, 1-bath apartments. Building address are 100, 108, & 112 E. Nottingham Rd. Tenants pay for heat and electric. Owner pays water and trash. Each Unit has its own Furnace, Water Heater, and Window Air Conditioner. There is off-street parking in its own private parking lot. Parcel IDs; E20-17007-0003, E20-17007-0001, E20-17007-0296.
-
1998-06-23soldstatus $146,000
-
1992-08-04soldstatus $115,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,157 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,187 · $516/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,031/yr (+$336/mo · 186.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $84,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,690
- − Property taxes
- −$2,157
- − Insurance
- −$3,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,756
- − Management
- −$6,756
- − Depreciation
- −$19,055
- Taxable income
- $9,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,342
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Shiloh
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #639
- US rank
- #11281
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shiloh, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,955
- Household income
- $43,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1475.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.58%
- Current HPI
- 173.4962
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.34%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+469.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $655,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $675,000 Dayton MLS
- 1998-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 1992-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,157 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…