1418 S 122nd East Ave · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sold at time of listing - For stat purposes only
Key facts
- 7,061 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1978
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.8% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.57%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,944
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1539 S 124th Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,672 (+2%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $144 | 75 |
| 11638 E 15th St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,615 (-2%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $149 | 74 |
| 1712 S 125th EastAvenue | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (+0%) | 8mo | $211,500 | $128 | 67 |
| 12458 E 13th Pl | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,585 (-4%) | 13mo | $143,000 | $90 | 66 |
| 11807 E 15th St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,421 (-14%) | 2mo | $198,000 | $139 | 65 |
| 12327 E 17th St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,492 (-10%) | 3mo | $153,000 | $103 | 64 |
| 12308 E 18th St | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,478 (-10%) | 1mo | $182,500 | $123 | 58 |
| 1618 S 115th EastAvenue | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,555 (-6%) | 11mo | $239,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 12329 E 18th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,478 (-10%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 1636 S 118th EastAvenue | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,423 (-14%) | 12mo | $212,000 | $149 | 47 |
| 12130 E 21st Pl | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,405 (-15%) | 5mo | $172,000 | $122 | 39 |
| 1624 S 110th East Pl | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (-14%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $123 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $11,443
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $45,697
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74128
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,476 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,004/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $490 | -5% $462 | +0% $433 | +5% $405 | +10% $377 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $317 | -5% $375 | +0% $433 | +5% $492 | +10% $550 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $484 | -0.5pp $459 | base $433 | +0.5pp $407 | +1.0pp $381 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1129 S 124th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 12804 E 13th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1268 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1801 S 132nd East Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 975 | $1,439 | $1.48 | 22d | 4 | 0.56mi |
| 1801 S 132nd East Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,499 | $1.58 | 3d | 4 | 0.56mi |
| 12111 E 21st Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1199 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 11809 E 7th Pl Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11412 E 5th St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1126 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2444 S 121st East Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1168 | $1,395 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1541 S 137th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $1,495 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1707 S 138th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,495 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2336 S 137th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $1,499 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1645 S 101st East Ave Tulsa, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,899 | $1.87 | 3d | 35 | 1.28mi |
| 2756 S 114th East Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,650 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 10124 E 22nd St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-16$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,004 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,004 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,718
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,004
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,417
- − Management
- −$1,417
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,868
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$928
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,272/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,751
- Household income
- $52,195
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 382.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 38% Two or more races 23% Black 10% Asian 4% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.16%
- Current HPI
- 240.6763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-16 Listed $100,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,004 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…