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168 Shaw Rd
B+ Composite 76.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

168 Shaw Rd · Lowndesville, SC 29655
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1972 Est $96k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Build-Ready Lot & Project Home Near Lake Russell – All Utilities In Place!Price: $68,000Location: 168 Shaw Rd, Lowndesville (Iva), SC 29655Property Type: FSBO / As-Is SaleDescription:Looking for the perfect spot near the water without the headache of starting from scratch? This 0.77-acre lot in the quiet Lowndesville area is located just minutes from the shores of Richard B. Russell Lake and comes with a massive head start on infrastructure. The property currently features a 1974 mobile home (2 bed/1 bath) that requires significant repairs and is being sold strictly As-Is. This is a prime opportunity for a full renovation project, a "fish camp" getaway, or to clear the site and bring in a brand-new manufactured home or custom build. The Real Value – Over $20k in Utilities Already Installed:Save months of time and thousands in permitting and installation costs. This lot is "plug-and-play" ready:Water Versatility: Features a Primary Well, an Extra Backup Well, AND County Water available at the road. Septic System: Existing and on-site. Power: Active electric service already connected. Connectivity: High-Speed Internet available—a rare find for this rural setting!Whether you are an investor looking for a high-equity project or someone looking for affordable acreage near the lake, this property is priced to move. Terms: Cash or private financing preferred. Buyer to verify all systems.

Key facts

  • County water
  • Build-ready lot
  • Utilities in place

Tags

BUILD-READY LOTUTILITIES IN PLACEPRIMARY WELLEXTRA BACKUP WELLCOUNTY WATEREXISTING SEPTIC SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#388 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Abbeville 60 (rural): math 50% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #15 of 80 in SC (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Abbeville County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Abbeville County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,980 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
19.52%
Cash-on-cash
47.23%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$96,096
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
241 Shaw Rd 0.14mi 2/1.0 700 (+4%) 14mo $99,800 $143 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.6%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$36,686
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
5.90×
Total profit
$93,313
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29655

Home prices YoY
-5.5%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,454 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $173/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$749

Break-even live

Break-even rent $506
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $788 -5% $769 +0% $749 +5% $730 +10% $711
Rent -10% $634 -5% $692 +0% $749 +5% $807 +10% $864
Rate -1.0pp $784 -0.5pp $767 base $749 +0.5pp $732 +1.0pp $714

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,000 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $68,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $68,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    listed $68,000 Active
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $68,000 Active 1486-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1486 chars)

    Build-Ready Lot & Project Home Near Lake Russell – All Utilities In Place!Price: $68,000Location: 168 Shaw Rd, Lowndesville (Iva), SC 29655Property Type: FSBO / As-Is SaleDescription:Looking for the perfect spot near the water without the headache of starting from scratch? This 0.77-acre lot in the quiet Lowndesville area is located just minutes from the shores of Richard B. Russell Lake and comes with a massive head start on infrastructure. The property currently features a 1974 mobile home (2 bed/1 bath) that requires significant repairs and is being sold strictly As-Is. This is a prime opportunity for a full renovation project, a "fish camp" getaway, or to clear the site and bring in a brand-new manufactured home or custom build. The Real Value – Over $20k in Utilities Already Installed:Save months of time and thousands in permitting and installation costs. This lot is "plug-and-play" ready:Water Versatility: Features a Primary Well, an Extra Backup Well, AND County Water available at the road. Septic System: Existing and on-site. Power: Active electric service already connected. Connectivity: High-Speed Internet available—a rare find for this rural setting!Whether you are an investor looking for a high-equity project or someone looking for affordable acreage near the lake, this property is priced to move. Terms: Cash or private financing preferred. Buyer to verify all systems.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$173 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$388 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$214/yr (+$18/mo · 123.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,449
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$173
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,396
− Management
−$1,396
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$8,357
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,006
After-tax cash flow
$6,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Abbeville 60
NCES district ID
4500690
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$34,522
Composite
40.9/100
National rank
#3618
State rank
#15 of 80 in SC

Livability — Lowndesville

Score
41/100
State rank
#388
US rank
#27105

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
120
Population (ZIP)
8,078

Population outlook (Abbeville County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,141 people
By 2030
23,446 · -2.9%
By 2040
21,768 · -9.8%
By 2050
20,098 · -16.7%
By 2075
16,518 · -31.6%
By 2100
13,125 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Abbeville

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.62%
Current HPI
271.1368
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $68,000 Fizber.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $68,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $173 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…