168 Shaw Rd · Lowndesville, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Build-Ready Lot & Project Home Near Lake Russell – All Utilities In Place!Price: $68,000Location: 168 Shaw Rd, Lowndesville (Iva), SC 29655Property Type: FSBO / As-Is SaleDescription:Looking for the perfect spot near the water without the headache of starting from scratch? This 0.77-acre lot in the quiet Lowndesville area is located just minutes from the shores of Richard B. Russell Lake and comes with a massive head start on infrastructure. The property currently features a 1974 mobile home (2 bed/1 bath) that requires significant repairs and is being sold strictly As-Is. This is a prime opportunity for a full renovation project, a "fish camp" getaway, or to clear the site and bring in a brand-new manufactured home or custom build. The Real Value – Over $20k in Utilities Already Installed:Save months of time and thousands in permitting and installation costs. This lot is "plug-and-play" ready:Water Versatility: Features a Primary Well, an Extra Backup Well, AND County Water available at the road. Septic System: Existing and on-site. Power: Active electric service already connected. Connectivity: High-Speed Internet available—a rare find for this rural setting!Whether you are an investor looking for a high-equity project or someone looking for affordable acreage near the lake, this property is priced to move. Terms: Cash or private financing preferred. Buyer to verify all systems.
Key facts
- County water
- Build-ready lot
- Utilities in place
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $749 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 41/100 on livability (#388 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Abbeville 60 (rural): math 50% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #15 of 80 in SC (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Abbeville County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Abbeville County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.23%
- DSCR
- 3.10
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $96,096
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 Shaw Rd | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+4%) | 14mo | $99,800 | $143 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $36,686
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 50.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $93,313
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29655
- Home prices YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,454 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $173/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $749
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $788 | -5% $769 | +0% $749 | +5% $730 | +10% $711 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $634 | -5% $692 | +0% $749 | +5% $807 | +10% $864 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $784 | -0.5pp $767 | base $749 | +0.5pp $732 | +1.0pp $714 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $68,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-14$68,000 Active
-
2026-05-12$68,000 Active 1486-char remark
Show marketing remark (1486 chars)
Build-Ready Lot & Project Home Near Lake Russell – All Utilities In Place!Price: $68,000Location: 168 Shaw Rd, Lowndesville (Iva), SC 29655Property Type: FSBO / As-Is SaleDescription:Looking for the perfect spot near the water without the headache of starting from scratch? This 0.77-acre lot in the quiet Lowndesville area is located just minutes from the shores of Richard B. Russell Lake and comes with a massive head start on infrastructure. The property currently features a 1974 mobile home (2 bed/1 bath) that requires significant repairs and is being sold strictly As-Is. This is a prime opportunity for a full renovation project, a "fish camp" getaway, or to clear the site and bring in a brand-new manufactured home or custom build. The Real Value – Over $20k in Utilities Already Installed:Save months of time and thousands in permitting and installation costs. This lot is "plug-and-play" ready:Water Versatility: Features a Primary Well, an Extra Backup Well, AND County Water available at the road. Septic System: Existing and on-site. Power: Active electric service already connected. Connectivity: High-Speed Internet available—a rare find for this rural setting!Whether you are an investor looking for a high-equity project or someone looking for affordable acreage near the lake, this property is priced to move. Terms: Cash or private financing preferred. Buyer to verify all systems.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $173 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $388 · $32/mo
- Expected delta
- +$214/yr (+$18/mo · 123.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$173
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,396
- − Management
- −$1,396
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $8,357
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,006
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abbeville 60
- NCES district ID
- 4500690
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,522
- Composite
- 40.9/100
- National rank
- #3618
- State rank
- #15 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lowndesville
- Score
- 41/100
- State rank
- #388
- US rank
- #27105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 120
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,078
Population outlook (Abbeville County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,141 people
- By 2030
- 23,446 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 21,768 · -9.8%
- By 2050
- 20,098 · -16.7%
- By 2075
- 16,518 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 13,125 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Abbeville
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+28.3 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.62%
- Current HPI
- 271.1368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $68,000 Fizber.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $68,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $173 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…