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10984 Northampton St
D Composite 40.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

10984 Northampton St · El Paso, TX 79934
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 870 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 2000 4,556 sqft lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Starting out or slowing down, this is the ONE! This one-owner home has been lovingly cared for and is truly better than new. Enjoy refrigerated air, brand-new appliances, a beautiful farmhouse kitchen sink, and ceiling fans in every room. The updated bathroom and tile flooring throughout (no carpet!) give the home a clean, modern feel. Major upgrades include a recently replaced roof, new water heater, washer and dryer included — plus a mounted 65 inch flatscreen TV that stays! Move-in ready and very affordable — don't miss your opportunity to call 10984 Northampton home.

Key facts

  • Refrigerated air
  • Updated bathroom
  • 4,556 sq ft lot

Tags

REFRIGERATED AIRUPDATED BATHROOMTILE THROUGHOUT HOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-182/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (1.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
  • Ysleta ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #626 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,627 (10.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.39%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-30,054
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-36,740
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79934

Home prices YoY
-13.1%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$247 /mo · $2,969/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$-15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,496
Max offer price $162,316
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $78 -5% $32 +0% $-15 +5% $-62 +10% $-109
Rent -10% $-132 -5% $-74 +0% $-15 +5% $43 +10% $101
Rate -1.0pp $68 -0.5pp $27 base $-15 +0.5pp $-58 +1.0pp $-101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10736 Obsidian St El Paso, TX 3.0 1.0 961 $1,195 $1.24 3d 1 0.70mi
10800 McCombs St El Paso, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1067 $1,615 $1.51 3d 12 0.88mi
11240 William McCool St El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 925 $1,350 $1.46 44d 1 1.07mi
10626 McCombs St Unit 01 El Paso, TX 2.0 1.0 725 $1,100 $1.52 15d 1 1.12mi
10708 Levelland Pl El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,400 $1.32 15d 1 1.34mi
10708 Levelland Pl El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,400 $1.32 44d 1 1.34mi
10969 Duke Snider Cir El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1003 $1,385 $1.38 12d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $165,000 Pending 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-05-12
    price $165,000 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Starting out or slowing down, this is the ONE! This one-owner home has been lovingly cared for and is truly better than new. Enjoy refrigerated air, brand-new appliances, a beautiful farmhouse kitchen sink, and ceiling fans in every room. The updated bathroom and tile flooring throughout (no carpet!) give the home a clean, modern feel. Major upgrades include a recently replaced roof, new water heater, washer and dryer included — plus a mounted 65 inch flatscreen TV that stays! Move-in ready and very affordable — don't miss your opportunity to call 10984 Northampton home.

  5. 2026-02-18
    price $170,000 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Starting out or slowing down, this is the ONE! This one-owner home has been lovingly cared for and is truly better than new. Enjoy refrigerated air, brand-new appliances, a beautiful farmhouse kitchen sink, and ceiling fans in every room. The updated bathroom and tile flooring throughout (no carpet!) give the home a clean, modern feel. Major upgrades include a recently replaced roof, new water heater, washer and dryer included — plus a mounted 65 inch flatscreen TV that stays! Move-in ready and very affordable — don't miss your opportunity to call 10984 Northampton home.

  6. 2026-02-10
    listed $175,000 Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    Starting out or slowing down, this is the ONE! This one-owner home has been lovingly cared for and is truly better than new. Enjoy refrigerated air, brand-new appliances, a beautiful farmhouse kitchen sink, and ceiling fans in every room. The updated bathroom and tile flooring throughout (no carpet!) give the home a clean, modern feel. Major upgrades include a recently replaced roof, new water heater, washer and dryer included — plus a mounted 65 inch flatscreen TV that stays! Move-in ready and very affordable — don't miss your opportunity to call 10984 Northampton home.

  7. 2000-09-25
    soldstatus
  8. 1997-04-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,969 · $247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,020 · $252/mo
Expected delta
+$50/yr (+$4/mo · 1.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,715
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,969
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,417
− Management
−$1,417
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,956
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$709
After-tax cash flow
$527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ysleta ISD
NCES district ID
4846680
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,826
Composite
25.65/100
National rank
#7400
State rank
#626 of 826 in TX

Livability — El Paso

Score
81/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#1375

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Paso, TX
County
El Paso County · 761,266 people
City population
630,223
Metro
El Paso, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,861
Household income
$77,754
Rent vs Own
29.4% rent · 70.6% own
Severe rent burden
795.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
897,899 people
By 2030
922,694 · +2.8%
By 2040
960,492 · +7.0%
By 2050
982,919 · +9.5%
By 2075
997,266 · +11.1%
By 2100
900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 34% White 19% Black 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 42% Korean 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.63%
Current HPI
229.688
Rent YoY
▲ 1.36%
Metro
El Paso, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $165,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $170,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $175,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2000-09-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-04-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,969 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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