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3539 N Sunrise Ave
D+ Composite 49.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

3539 N Sunrise Ave · West Odessa, TX 79764
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 509 Days on market
Built 2010 Fair condition 0.57 ac lot ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

Key facts

  • Move in ready
  • Out of town living
  • Half an acre

Tags

HALF AN ACREMOVE IN READYOUT OF TOWN LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,026 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 509 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 509 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.59%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-9,844
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,888
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79764

Home prices YoY
-28.0%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10240 W Palomino Dr Odessa, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 509 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 508 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 507 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 506 DOM
  5. 2026-01-06
    status Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

  6. 2025-12-14
    historical 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

  7. 2025-11-10
    price $125,000 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

  8. 2025-06-14
    price $145,000 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

  9. 2025-02-26
    price $155,000 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

  10. 2025-02-02
    price $160,000 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

  11. 2024-12-19
    listed $179,000 Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$34
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$1,966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires significant cleaning and organization to improve its condition and value. The property is currently in a poor condition with cluttered interiors and exteriors, which can be improved with minor repairs and maintenance.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Abandoned furniture and debris outside — Needs removal to improve curb appeal
  • Major Cluttered interior — Needs cleaning and organization to improve living space
  • Major Worn and dirty flooring — Needs cleaning and possibly replacement

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Clean and organize interior — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Clean and organize exterior — Improves both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Abandoned furniture and debris outside · Needs removal to improve curb appeal Major $15,000–50,000
Cluttered interior · Needs cleaning and organization to improve living space Major $15,000–50,000
Worn and dirty flooring · Needs cleaning and possibly replacement Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Clean and organize interior — Improves both resale and rental value
  • Both Clean and organize exterior — Improves both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — West Odessa

Score
61/100
State rank
#1026
US rank
#18223

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Odessa, TX
City population
61,683
Population (ZIP)
26,805

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 37% Two or more races 17% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 45% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.67%
Current HPI
238.7065
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-06 Relisted ODMLS
  • 2025-12-14 Delisted ODMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $125,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-06-14 Price Changed $145,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $155,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-02-02 Price Changed $160,000 ODMLS
  • 2024-12-19 Listed $179,000 ODMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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