3539 N Sunrise Ave · West Odessa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
Key facts
- Move in ready
- Out of town living
- Half an acre
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,026 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 509 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 509 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.59%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-9,844
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,888
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79764
- Home prices YoY
- -28.0%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10240 W Palomino Dr Odessa, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 509 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-01-06status Active 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
-
2025-12-14historical 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
-
2025-11-10price $125,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
-
2025-06-14price $145,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
-
2025-02-26price $155,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
-
2025-02-02price $160,000 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
-
2024-12-19$179,000 Active 254-char remark
Show marketing remark (254 chars)
Are you looking for a mobile home with a little bit of land? This mobile home sitting on a little over half an acre is located in west odessa and is move in ready! It gives a bit out of town living but close enough to town. Call today to see this home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$34
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,966/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home requires significant cleaning and organization to improve its condition and value. The property is currently in a poor condition with cluttered interiors and exteriors, which can be improved with minor repairs and maintenance.
Repairs flagged
- Major Abandoned furniture and debris outside — Needs removal to improve curb appeal
- Major Cluttered interior — Needs cleaning and organization to improve living space
- Major Worn and dirty flooring — Needs cleaning and possibly replacement
Value-add opportunities
- Both Clean and organize interior — Improves both resale and rental value
- Both Clean and organize exterior — Improves both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Abandoned furniture and debris outside · Needs removal to improve curb appeal | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Cluttered interior · Needs cleaning and organization to improve living space | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Worn and dirty flooring · Needs cleaning and possibly replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Clean and organize interior — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Clean and organize exterior — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ector County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818000
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,740
- Composite
- 21.89/100
- National rank
- #8233
- State rank
- #707 of 826 in TX
Livability — West Odessa
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1026
- US rank
- #18223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Odessa, TX
- City population
- 61,683
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,805
Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,765 people
- By 2030
- 241,962 · +13.7%
- By 2040
- 306,582 · +44.1%
- By 2050
- 379,755 · +78.5%
- By 2075
- 568,991 · +167.4%
- By 2100
- 709,829 · +233.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 37% Two or more races 17% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 45% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ector
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.67%
- Current HPI
- 238.7065
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-30.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — ODMLS
- 2025-12-14 Delisted — ODMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $125,000 ODMLS
- 2025-06-14 Price Changed $145,000 ODMLS
- 2025-02-26 Price Changed $155,000 ODMLS
- 2025-02-02 Price Changed $160,000 ODMLS
- 2024-12-19 Listed $179,000 ODMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…