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3913 Rock Ridge Rd
C- Composite 53.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

3913 Rock Ridge Rd · Irondale, AL 35210
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,062 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1974 0.52 ac lot $126/sqft · 16% below area Est $310k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully updated home in Irondale, where modern style meets everyday comfort. Step inside to find a striking marble accent wall that adds a touch of luxury and sophistication. The home features new flooring throughout and fresh interior and exterior paint, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The fully updated bathroom offers a spa-like experience with high-end finishes and thoughtful design. Perfect for buyers seeking a stylish, refreshed home in a great location. This one is a must-see!

Key facts

  • Marble accent wall
  • New flooring
  • High-end finishes

Tags

MARBLE ACCENT WALLNEW FLOORINGFULLY UPDATED BATHROOMHIGH-END FINISHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $223k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.2% in Irondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#23 in AL, #4,921 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $259k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $223,148 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.42%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$310,050
List price
$259,000
Delta
-12.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3921 Rock Ridge Rd 0.04mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,158 (+5%) 5mo $263,000 $122 82
3840 Rock Ridge Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,073 (+0%) 11mo $400,000 $193 73
3434 Rock Ridge Cir 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,172 (+5%) 1mo $279,900 $129 71
1580 Mountain Lodge Trl 0.27mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,970 (-4%) 3mo $349,900 $178 70
3873 Rock Ridge Ct 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,303 (+12%) 1mo $257,000 $112 68
3301 Sunniroc Rd 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,092 (+2%) 22mo $250,000 $120 66
5630 Cahaba Glen Cir 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,842 (-11%) 3mo $320,000 $174 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-26,252
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$4,890
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35210

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,084/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$469
Net cashflow
$206

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,970
Max offer price $259,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $353 -5% $280 +0% $206 +5% $133 +10% $60
Rent -10% $30 -5% $118 +0% $206 +5% $295 +10% $383
Rate -1.0pp $337 -0.5pp $272 base $206 +0.5pp $139 +1.0pp $71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-04-30
    price $269,900 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated home in Irondale, where modern style meets everyday comfort. Step inside to find a striking marble accent wall that adds a touch of luxury and sophistication. The home features new flooring throughout and fresh interior and exterior paint, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The fully updated bathroom offers a spa-like experience with high-end finishes and thoughtful design. Perfect for buyers seeking a stylish, refreshed home in a great location. This one is a must-see!

  7. 2026-04-30
    status Active 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated home in Irondale, where modern style meets everyday comfort. Step inside to find a striking marble accent wall that adds a touch of luxury and sophistication. The home features new flooring throughout and fresh interior and exterior paint, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The fully updated bathroom offers a spa-like experience with high-end finishes and thoughtful design. Perfect for buyers seeking a stylish, refreshed home in a great location. This one is a must-see!

  8. 2026-04-28
    historical Contingent 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated home in Irondale, where modern style meets everyday comfort. Step inside to find a striking marble accent wall that adds a touch of luxury and sophistication. The home features new flooring throughout and fresh interior and exterior paint, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The fully updated bathroom offers a spa-like experience with high-end finishes and thoughtful design. Perfect for buyers seeking a stylish, refreshed home in a great location. This one is a must-see!

  9. 2026-04-11
    price $279,900 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated home in Irondale, where modern style meets everyday comfort. Step inside to find a striking marble accent wall that adds a touch of luxury and sophistication. The home features new flooring throughout and fresh interior and exterior paint, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The fully updated bathroom offers a spa-like experience with high-end finishes and thoughtful design. Perfect for buyers seeking a stylish, refreshed home in a great location. This one is a must-see!

  10. 2026-03-27
    price $285,000 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated home in Irondale, where modern style meets everyday comfort. Step inside to find a striking marble accent wall that adds a touch of luxury and sophistication. The home features new flooring throughout and fresh interior and exterior paint, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The fully updated bathroom offers a spa-like experience with high-end finishes and thoughtful design. Perfect for buyers seeking a stylish, refreshed home in a great location. This one is a must-see!

  11. 2026-02-02
    listed $289,900 Active 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated home in Irondale, where modern style meets everyday comfort. Step inside to find a striking marble accent wall that adds a touch of luxury and sophistication. The home features new flooring throughout and fresh interior and exterior paint, creating a bright, move-in-ready feel. The fully updated bathroom offers a spa-like experience with high-end finishes and thoughtful design. Perfect for buyers seeking a stylish, refreshed home in a great location. This one is a must-see!

  12. 2025-12-16
    soldstatus $125,000
  13. 1991-08-23
    soldstatus $79,000
  14. 1987-09-01
    soldstatus $78,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,084 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,084 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,778
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$1,084
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,142
− Management
−$2,142
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$1,928
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$463
After-tax cash flow
$2,940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Irondale

Score
74/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#4921

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Irondale, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
13,775
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,775
Household income
$73,061
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
379.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.03%
Current HPI
230.033
Rent YoY
▲ 4.18%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $269,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $279,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $285,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $289,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 1991-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,084 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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