6901 Michigan Ave · Gibsonton, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home, offered at an unbeatable price and full of character. Located on a spacious corner lot, this home provides privacy, flexibility, and freedom with no HOA fees or deed restrictions. Step inside to a light and airy living/great room featuring a cedar wood ceiling, fresh interior paint, new laminate flooring, and an energy-efficient mini-split AC system. The updated kitchen includes white cabinetry, decorative tile backsplash, electric range, and matching cedar accents, making it both stylish and functional. A cozy dining room with wood ceiling, neutral colors, and a large picture window provides plenty of natural light for everyday living. The sunken primary bedroom is a private retreat with new designer carpet, cathedral ceiling, spacious closet, and oversized windows. Additional outbuilding with washer/dryer hookup & storage space. Fenced backyard offering privacy & room for pets or gardening. This home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for an affordable Florida property with corner-lot privacy and no HOA restrictions. A true hidden gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
Key facts
- No hoa fees
- Updated kitchen
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-687/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (5.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#479 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gibsonton Elementary School (math 38% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 510 students, 82% FRL); Dowdell Middle Magnet School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 526 students, 76% FRL); East Bay High School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,995 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.56%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-22,356
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $26,976
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33534
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,077 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,693/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $-57
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $47 | -5% $-5 | +0% $-57 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-162 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-221 | -5% $-139 | +0% $-57 | +5% $25 | +10% $107 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $36 | -0.5pp $-10 | base $-57 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9852 Indiana St Gibsonton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,700 | $2.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8825 Oak St Riverview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $2,500 | $2.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-04-21price $185,000 1200-char remark
Show marketing remark (1200 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home, offered at an unbeatable price and full of character. Located on a spacious corner lot, this home provides privacy, flexibility, and freedom with no HOA fees or deed restrictions. Step inside to a light and airy living/great room featuring a cedar wood ceiling, fresh interior paint, new laminate flooring, and an energy-efficient mini-split AC system. The updated kitchen includes white cabinetry, decorative tile backsplash, electric range, and matching cedar accents, making it both stylish and functional. A cozy dining room with wood ceiling, neutral colors, and a large picture window provides plenty of natural light for everyday living. The sunken primary bedroom is a private retreat with new designer carpet, cathedral ceiling, spacious closet, and oversized windows. Additional outbuilding with washer/dryer hookup & storage space. Fenced backyard offering privacy & room for pets or gardening. This home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for an affordable Florida property with corner-lot privacy and no HOA restrictions. A true hidden gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2025-12-26price $189,000 1200-char remark
Show marketing remark (1200 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home, offered at an unbeatable price and full of character. Located on a spacious corner lot, this home provides privacy, flexibility, and freedom with no HOA fees or deed restrictions. Step inside to a light and airy living/great room featuring a cedar wood ceiling, fresh interior paint, new laminate flooring, and an energy-efficient mini-split AC system. The updated kitchen includes white cabinetry, decorative tile backsplash, electric range, and matching cedar accents, making it both stylish and functional. A cozy dining room with wood ceiling, neutral colors, and a large picture window provides plenty of natural light for everyday living. The sunken primary bedroom is a private retreat with new designer carpet, cathedral ceiling, spacious closet, and oversized windows. Additional outbuilding with washer/dryer hookup & storage space. Fenced backyard offering privacy & room for pets or gardening. This home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for an affordable Florida property with corner-lot privacy and no HOA restrictions. A true hidden gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2025-12-23status Active 1200-char remark
Show marketing remark (1200 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home, offered at an unbeatable price and full of character. Located on a spacious corner lot, this home provides privacy, flexibility, and freedom with no HOA fees or deed restrictions. Step inside to a light and airy living/great room featuring a cedar wood ceiling, fresh interior paint, new laminate flooring, and an energy-efficient mini-split AC system. The updated kitchen includes white cabinetry, decorative tile backsplash, electric range, and matching cedar accents, making it both stylish and functional. A cozy dining room with wood ceiling, neutral colors, and a large picture window provides plenty of natural light for everyday living. The sunken primary bedroom is a private retreat with new designer carpet, cathedral ceiling, spacious closet, and oversized windows. Additional outbuilding with washer/dryer hookup & storage space. Fenced backyard offering privacy & room for pets or gardening. This home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for an affordable Florida property with corner-lot privacy and no HOA restrictions. A true hidden gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2025-12-15status Pending 1200-char remark
Show marketing remark (1200 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home, offered at an unbeatable price and full of character. Located on a spacious corner lot, this home provides privacy, flexibility, and freedom with no HOA fees or deed restrictions. Step inside to a light and airy living/great room featuring a cedar wood ceiling, fresh interior paint, new laminate flooring, and an energy-efficient mini-split AC system. The updated kitchen includes white cabinetry, decorative tile backsplash, electric range, and matching cedar accents, making it both stylish and functional. A cozy dining room with wood ceiling, neutral colors, and a large picture window provides plenty of natural light for everyday living. The sunken primary bedroom is a private retreat with new designer carpet, cathedral ceiling, spacious closet, and oversized windows. Additional outbuilding with washer/dryer hookup & storage space. Fenced backyard offering privacy & room for pets or gardening. This home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for an affordable Florida property with corner-lot privacy and no HOA restrictions. A true hidden gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
-
2025-09-24$199,000 Active 1200-char remark
Show marketing remark (1200 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home, offered at an unbeatable price and full of character. Located on a spacious corner lot, this home provides privacy, flexibility, and freedom with no HOA fees or deed restrictions. Step inside to a light and airy living/great room featuring a cedar wood ceiling, fresh interior paint, new laminate flooring, and an energy-efficient mini-split AC system. The updated kitchen includes white cabinetry, decorative tile backsplash, electric range, and matching cedar accents, making it both stylish and functional. A cozy dining room with wood ceiling, neutral colors, and a large picture window provides plenty of natural light for everyday living. The sunken primary bedroom is a private retreat with new designer carpet, cathedral ceiling, spacious closet, and oversized windows. Additional outbuilding with washer/dryer hookup & storage space. Fenced backyard offering privacy & room for pets or gardening. This home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for an affordable Florida property with corner-lot privacy and no HOA restrictions. A true hidden gem—schedule your showing today before it’s gone!
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2025-05-31historical
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2025-04-28price $205,000
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2025-02-25price $219,000
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2025-01-14price $225,000
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2024-12-17price $229,000
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2024-11-29$237,000 Active
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2023-02-23soldstatus $170,000
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2023-02-22soldstatus $170,000 Closed
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2023-01-17status Pending
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2023-01-09$174,900 Active
-
2010-01-11historical
-
2009-01-12$68,000
-
2007-01-22$99,900
-
2004-07-03soldstatus $60,000
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1999-01-05soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,693 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,693 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,926
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,693
- − Insurance
- −$6,044
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,994
- − Management
- −$1,994
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,543
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$850
- After-tax cash flow
- $164/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Gibsonton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #479
- US rank
- #8752
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gibsonton, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 17,740
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,740
- Household income
- $80,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 487.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% White 36% Two or more races 23% Black 19% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 4% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Russian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.07%
- Current HPI
- 323.4367
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.05%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+640.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $185,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $189,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-23 Relisted — FORTMLS
- 2025-12-15 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $199,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-05-31 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $205,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $219,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-01-14 Price Changed $225,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-12-17 Price Changed $229,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-11-29 Listed $237,000 FORTMLS
- 2023-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-22 Sold (MLS) $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-09 Listed $174,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-11 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-12 Listed $68,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-22 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,693 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…