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215 Patterson Ave
B Composite 70.59
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

215 Patterson Ave · Bridgeville, PA 15017
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 992 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 3,001 sqft lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity in Bridgeville! Blank slate! Bring your finishing touches!! Large semi fenced in backyard! Spacious Sunporch/Mud room! Hardwood flooring throughout could be refinished and gleaming again! Finished basement adds additional living and storage space! Centrally located!!

Key facts

  • Finished space
  • Flex area
  • Game room

Tags

CHAR VALLEY SCHOOL DISTRICTFINISHED SPACEGAME ROOMHOME OFFICEFLEX AREAHARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Public transportation access

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Gas heating (forced air)
  • Home design: Two-story frame house; Resale property; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: 50- to 25-foot lot with approximate dimensions 25x120; Public transportation nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (9x10)
  • Bedrooms: Second bedroom on upper level (9x12); Additional bedroom-sized room on upper level (12x13)
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Tile and vinyl flooring; Finished full basement with walk-up access; Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $599 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 4.1% in Bridgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#199 in PA, #1,745 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, amenities A; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Chartiers Valley SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #221 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Chartiers Valley Primary Sch (879 students, 30% FRL); Chartiers Valley Ms (math 20% / reading 55%, grade F, #292 of 512 statewide, top 58%, 718 students, 35% FRL); Chartiers Valley Hs (math 53% / reading 24%, grade F, #279 of 437 statewide, top 64%, 1,018 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.14%
Cap rate
16.57%
Cash-on-cash
36.71%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,664
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
730 Chess 0.28mi 2/1.0 960 (-3%) 3mo $159,999 $167 79
726 Locust St 0.25mi 2/1.0 960 (-3%) 21mo $85,000 $89 65
216 Hickman St 0.20mi 2/1.0 880 (-11%) 8mo $125,000 $142 65
126 May Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,101 (+11%) 6mo $174,900 $159 53
665 Dewey Ave 0.48mi 2/1.5 875 (-12%) 8mo $185,000 $211 49
297 Patterson Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,125 (+13%) 24mo $215,000 $191 46
299 Liberty St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,031 (+4%) 22mo $150,000 $145 43
122 Eisner Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,105 (+11%) 20mo $185,900 $168 41
901 Fryer 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 928 (-6%) 14mo $110,000 $119 39
779 Bowerhill Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,137 (+15%) 8mo $192,500 $169 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$26,895
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
39.7%
Equity multiple
4.72×
Total profit
$72,873
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15017

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,498 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,270/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$599

Break-even live

Break-even rent $740
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $638 -5% $619 +0% $599 +5% $579 +10% $559
Rent -10% $480 -5% $540 +0% $599 +5% $658 +10% $717
Rate -1.0pp $634 -0.5pp $617 base $599 +0.5pp $581 +1.0pp $562

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1001 Grandview Ave #508 Bridgeville, PA 1.0 1.0 855 $995 $1.16 14d 1 0.76mi
2200 Alpha Dr Bridgeville, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1016 $2,228 $2.19 4d 30 0.78mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 544-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,270 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,270 · $189/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,979
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$2,270
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,438
− Management
−$1,438
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$6,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,568
After-tax cash flow
$5,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chartiers Valley SD
NCES district ID
4205700
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$57,191
Composite
40.91/100
National rank
#3614
State rank
#221 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bridgeville

Score
80/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#1745

Category grades

Amenities A Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgeville, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
17,782
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
17,782
Household income
$86,937
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
454.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.46%
Current HPI
254.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $69,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-13 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2025-02-04 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2025-01-14 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-10-28 Price Changed $69,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-08-10 Price Changed $70,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-07-13 Price Changed $73,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-07-02 Price Changed $75,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,270 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…