3541 N Chester Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent rental opportunity. Full basement, fenced rear yard. Seller will re-install furnace with appropriate purchase price.
Key facts
- Full basement
- Fenced rear yard
- 6,447 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (10.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $69k; list at $130k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.01%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,280
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -8.70%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3814 E 31st St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 899 (+3%) | 1mo | $108,500 | $121 | 63 |
| 3219 N Colorado Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+5%) | 4mo | $139,900 | $153 | 61 |
| 3845 E 32nd St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 904 (+4%) | 13mo | $72,000 | $80 | 57 |
| 3126 Forest Manor Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 954 (+9%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $58 | 52 |
| 3924 E 30th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (-4%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 3161 N Gale St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $115 | 51 |
| 3355 Wallace Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-12%) | 2mo | $59,500 | $77 | 48 |
| 4716 E 33rd St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (+6%) | 12mo | $149,900 | $162 | 46 |
| 3111 Station St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 776 (-11%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $129 | 44 |
| 3109 Forest Manor Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-14%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $153 | 43 |
| 4744 E 33rd St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-12%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $78 | 39 |
| 3317 Adams St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (+13%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $71 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-13,957
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,828
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46218
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,166 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $409/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $152
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $225 | -5% $189 | +0% $152 | +5% $115 | +10% $78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $106 | +0% $152 | +5% $198 | +10% $244 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $217 | -0.5pp $185 | base $152 | +0.5pp $118 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3725 N Sherman Dr #7 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $845 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3383 Station St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,250 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3421 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3522 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3315 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,300 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3615 Sherman Forest Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1057 | $1,288 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3149 N Gladstone Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4726 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $800 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3142 N Euclid Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3332 Wallace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3461 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $720 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3920 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1071 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 8d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4115 Meadows Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,374 | $1.36 | 44d | 9 | 0.83mi |
| 4615 E 30th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,100 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2862 N Chester Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,520 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2864 Forest Manor Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,500 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3316 N Emerson Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2932 Arthington Blvd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2949 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2950 N Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,375 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2920 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2930 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 536 | $599 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3301 Mardenna Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3815 N Grand Ave Unit 3815 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3741 N Tacoma Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $2,200 | $2.41 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2722 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3516 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3319 N Hawthorne Ln Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3719 Hillside Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $725 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2931 N Tacoma Ave Unit 31 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3636 N Whittier Pl Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $995 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3763 Baltimore Ave Unit 3765 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2422 Adams St Unit 2 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4400 E Fall Creek Parkway North Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 857 | $1,349 | $1.57 | 2d | 31 | 1.36mi |
| 2410 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3363 Nicholas Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3011 Oxford Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $800 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-06$129,900 Active 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Excellent rental opportunity. Full basement, fenced rear yard. Seller will re-install furnace with appropriate purchase price.
-
2009-11-23historical
-
2009-10-09$14,000
-
2002-10-17soldstatus $69,000
-
2002-08-03$73,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $409 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $757 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$347/yr (+$29/mo · 84.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,994
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$409
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$359
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$86
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,360
- Household income
- $38,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2340.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.57%
- Current HPI
- 395.7071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+77.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listed $129,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-23 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-09 Listed $14,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-10-17 Sold (MLS) $69,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-08-03 Listed $73,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $409 · -16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…