8176 W Pahs Rd · Michigan City, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPPORTUNITY AWAITS!! Bring your vision and creativity to this 3-Bedroom, 1 3/4 bath-manufactured Ranch home offering 1,456 sq ft of living space on a spacious . 34-acre lot. This property features a 2-car detached garage and plenty of room to make it your own. Ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity, this home offers great potential with a functional floor plan and a convenient location. Close to schools, shopping, dining, and amenities. Whether you're searching for your next renovation project or an affordable place to customize and call home, this property is full of possibilities. CASH ONLY.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Convenient location
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Occupant status: Vacant
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Garage faces rear; Additional off-street parking; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Built in 1989; Fixer condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Year built: 1989
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Country-style kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.7% in Michigan City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in IN, #1,317 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities D-.
- Michigan City Area Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #262 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 371 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in LaPorte County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- LaPorte County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.70%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,240
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4637 Prairie Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (-7%) | 9mo | $223,000 | $165 | 64 |
| 4733 N Prairie Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 24mo | $200,000 | $160 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-777
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $49,401
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46360
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 371
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,387 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 Herring Gull Ln Michigan City, IN | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1083 | $1,214 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 910 S Carroll Ave Michigan City, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $1,600 | $1.35 | 43d | 3 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 633-char remark
-
2026-06-13$129,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,890 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,890 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,890
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,332
- − Management
- −$1,332
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $387
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$93
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Michigan City Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1806570
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,629
- Composite
- 21.76/100
- National rank
- #8257
- State rank
- #262 of 301 in IN
Livability — Michigan City
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #1317
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- La Porte County · 88,580 people
- City population
- 43,817
- Metro
- Michigan City-La Porte, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,817
- Household income
- $59,266
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1152.0
Population outlook (LaPorte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,757 people
- By 2030
- 108,288 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 105,070 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 102,330 · -6.8%
- By 2075
- 97,009 · -11.6%
- By 2100
- 86,459 · -21.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · LaPorte
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.1% · R 56.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+7.2 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+12.6 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.27%
- Current HPI
- 206.0882
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.72%
- Metro
- Michigan City-La Porte, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $129,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+42.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,890 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…