1140 N Main St · Newark, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this colonial style home located in the Village of Newark. The property has a set back from the road for some privacy. The property is over 1700 square feet with 3/4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Aluminum siding. This is a great opportunity with all the potential this home has. Convenient Village location with all near by amenties. Second floor laundry area. Front enclosed porch. First floor office/den.
Key facts
- Front enclosed porch
- Colonial style home
- Aluminum siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $884 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 5.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Newark Central School District (town): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #527 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.98%
- DSCR
- 4.07
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,818
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- -71.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 W Pearl St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,716 (-1%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $131 | 82 |
| 1034 Plain St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,880 (+9%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $88 | 58 |
| 162 Bryant Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,624 (-6%) | 6mo | $219,000 | $135 | 56 |
| 454 Murray St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,528 (-12%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $39 | 50 |
| 215 Blackmar St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 | 1,662 (-4%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $27 | 48 |
| 140 W Sherman Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 1,616 (-6%) | 19mo | $212,000 | $131 | 39 |
| 121 W Sherman Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,622 (-6%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $117 | 36 |
| 6021 Whitings Corners Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,540 (-11%) | 23mo | $160,000 | $104 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 68.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $47,410
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 72.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.41×
- Total profit
- $113,854
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14513
- Home prices YoY
- -16.7%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,599 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $824/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $884
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $54,900 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 187 DOM
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2026-04-27price $54,900 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Welcome to this colonial style home located in the Village of Newark. The property has a set back from the road for some privacy. The property is over 1700 square feet with 3/4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Aluminum siding. This is a great opportunity with all the potential this home has. Convenient Village location with all near by amenties. Second floor laundry area. Front enclosed porch. First floor office/den.
-
2025-11-23$64,900 Active 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Welcome to this colonial style home located in the Village of Newark. The property has a set back from the road for some privacy. The property is over 1700 square feet with 3/4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Aluminum siding. This is a great opportunity with all the potential this home has. Convenient Village location with all near by amenties. Second floor laundry area. Front enclosed porch. First floor office/den.
-
2025-11-21historical
-
2025-06-20$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$824
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,535
- − Management
- −$1,535
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $10,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,483
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,121/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newark Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620640
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,966
- Composite
- 33.55/100
- National rank
- #5428
- State rank
- #527 of 590 in NY
Livability — Newark
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #405
- US rank
- #6978
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newark, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,501
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,662 people
- By 2030
- 81,945 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 73,735 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 65,029 · -24.1%
- By 2075
- 47,451 · -44.6%
- By 2100
- 31,574 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 13% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.98%
- Current HPI
- 253.627
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-15.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $54,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-11-23 Listed $64,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-06-20 Listed $64,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,181 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…