119 Sky Hawk Trl #119 · Pocono, PA 18355

$169,999

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily · 113 Days on market

Built 1975 Good condition 6,969 sqft lot $283/sqft · 173% above area $46/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.0/30.0
• DSCR +8.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.8/10.0
• Appreciation +5.7/10.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to your own slice of peaceful Pocono Paradise. This adorable, cabin-style single family home offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and cozy comfort in the heart of Scotrun. This 1 bedroom, 1 bath, 2 sheds, two floor gem feels like a warm hug from the mountains. Ideal as a weekend retreat, hunters hideaway, seasonal escape, or affordable starter/vacation home. Step inside to a snug, inviting layout with woodsy vibes, massive brand new wrap around deck which is perfect for relaxing with a hot drink while surrounded by nature. Enjoy the serene, wooded surroundings of the Scotrun area, just minutes from hiking trails, Camelback and Kalahari Resorts. lakes and all the outdoor adventures the Poconos have to offer. Whether you are looking for a peaceful hideout or a smart investment property, this remodeled cabin delivers big on charm without the big price tag. Seller is motivated and is offering attractive terms.

Key facts

• Wooded surroundings
• Cabin style home
• Wrap around deck

Tags

• CABIN STYLE HOME
• WRAP AROUND DECK
• WOODED SURROUNDINGS
• HIKING TRAILS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
• Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
• Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $154,699 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.18% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.27%
• DSCR: 1.41
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $62,208
• List price: $169,999
• Delta: 173.28%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 6 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
113 Blue Jay Trl	0.28mi	1/1.0	648 (+8%)	17mo	$70,000	$108	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.65×
• Total profit: $30,781
• Equity at exit: $62,425

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.98×
• Total profit: $94,306
• Equity at exit: $86,465

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 18355

• Home prices YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 35
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,011 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
• Insurance: −$71
• HOA: −$46
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$422
• Net cashflow: $368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,545

Max offer price $169,999

Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $485	-5% $426	+0% $368	+5% $309	+10% $250
Rent	-10% $209	-5% $288	+0% $368	+5% $447	+10% $527
Rate	-1.0pp $453	-0.5pp $411	base $368	+0.5pp $324	+1.0pp $279

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,500
• Closing costs: $5,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $46 · $552/yr

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $169,999 Active 113 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $169,999 Active 110 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $169,999 Active 109 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   price $169,999 Active 108 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $189,900 Active 108 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $189,900 Active 107 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $189,900 Active 105 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $189,900 Active 104 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $189,900 Active 102 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 100 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 99 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 94 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 93 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 92 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,900 Active 91 DOM
16. 2026-05-01
    price $189,900 930-char remark

    Show marketing remark (930 chars)

    Escape to your own slice of peaceful Pocono Paradise. This adorable, cabin-style single family home offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and cozy comfort in the heart of Scotrun. This 1 bedroom, 1 bath, 2 sheds, two floor gem feels like a warm hug from the mountains. Ideal as a weekend retreat, hunters hideaway, seasonal escape, or affordable starter/vacation home. Step inside to a snug, inviting layout with woodsy vibes, massive brand new wrap around deck which is perfect for relaxing with a hot drink while surrounded by nature. Enjoy the serene, wooded surroundings of the Scotrun area, just minutes from hiking trails, Camelback and Kalahari Resorts. lakes and all the outdoor adventures the Poconos have to offer. Whether you are looking for a peaceful hideout or a smart investment property, this remodeled cabin delivers big on charm without the big price tag. Seller is motivated and is offering attractive terms.

17. 2026-02-28
    listed $195,000 Active 930-char remark

    Show marketing remark (930 chars)

    Escape to your own slice of peaceful Pocono Paradise. This adorable, cabin-style single family home offers the perfect blend of rustic charm and cozy comfort in the heart of Scotrun. This 1 bedroom, 1 bath, 2 sheds, two floor gem feels like a warm hug from the mountains. Ideal as a weekend retreat, hunters hideaway, seasonal escape, or affordable starter/vacation home. Step inside to a snug, inviting layout with woodsy vibes, massive brand new wrap around deck which is perfect for relaxing with a hot drink while surrounded by nature. Enjoy the serene, wooded surroundings of the Scotrun area, just minutes from hiking trails, Camelback and Kalahari Resorts. lakes and all the outdoor adventures the Poconos have to offer. Whether you are looking for a peaceful hideout or a smart investment property, this remodeled cabin delivers big on charm without the big price tag. Seller is motivated and is offering attractive terms.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,129
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,523
• − Property taxes: −$2,550
• − Insurance: −$850
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,930
• − Management: −$1,930
• − HOA: −$552
• − Depreciation: −$4,945
• Taxable income: $1,848
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$444
• After-tax cash flow: $3,968/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-family home in the Pocono Mountains offers a cozy, updated interior with new flooring, cabinets, and appliances, and a well-maintained exterior with a new deck and landscaping. It's an ideal weekend retreat or vacation home.

Value-add opportunities

• Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
• Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency
• Both paint — refreshes the home's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
• Both HVAC system — improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
• Both paint — refreshes the home's appearance and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pocono Mountain SD
• NCES district ID: 4219500
• Math proficiency: 37% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $55,317
• Composite: 39.91/100
• National rank: #3856
• State rank: #245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pocono

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 1,628

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 164,099 people
• By 2030: 161,412 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 154,616 · -5.8%
• By 2050: 146,710 · -10.6%
• By 2075: 140,830 · -14.2%
• By 2100: 138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 6% Armenian 4% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Vietnam, Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Vietnamese 6% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.49%
• Current HPI: 191.1566
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

-2.6% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Price Changed $189,900 PMAR
• 2026-02-28 Listed $195,000 PMAR