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16 River St
C Composite 58.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$150,000

16 River St · Hoosick Falls, NY 12090
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1904 6,969 sqft lot $63/sqft · 38% below area Est $241k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition

Key facts

  • First-floor bedroom
  • Formal dining room
  • Ample closet space

Tags

CUSTOM WOODWORKFORMAL DINING ROOMSUNNY WINDOW NOOKFIRST-FLOOR BEDROOMFULL BATH WITH JETTED TUBAMPLE CLOSET SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Space for 3 vehicles total; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first floor; Four bedrooms on the second floor
  • Flooring: Tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the first floor, one on the second floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil fuel
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Crown molding; Shutters on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Additional laundry features listed as Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($409/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Hoosick Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#371 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hoosick Falls Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #469 of 755 in NY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hoosick Falls Elementary School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 398 students, 53% FRL); Hoosick Falls High School (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 329 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 35% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hoosick Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $108k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
0.97%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$241,376
List price
$150,000
Delta
-37.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 Church St 0.10mi 5/2.0 2,681 (+13%) 6mo $224,700 $84 64
35 River St 0.09mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,230 (-6%) 15mo $222,000 $100 63
73 Elm St 0.23mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,392 (+1%) 17mo $221,450 $93 62
10 Richmond Ave 0.26mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,672 (+13%) 10mo $500,000 $187 51
14 Barton Ave 0.23mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,148 (-9%) 19mo $218,000 $101 49
101 Main St 0.21mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,120 (-10%) 23mo $233,000 $110 47
46 Lyman St 0.48mi 5/1.0 2,040 (-14%) 20mo $103,500 $51 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$5,259
Equity at exit
$51,366
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$36,266
Equity at exit
$68,384

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12090

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,579 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$364 /mo · $4,370/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,536
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $119 -5% $77 +0% $34 +5% $-8 +10% $-51
Rent -10% $-91 -5% $-28 +0% $34 +5% $96 +10% $159
Rate -1.0pp $110 -0.5pp $72 base $34 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-44

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    status $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    status $150,000 Pending 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    listed $150,000 Active 1058-char remark
  14. 2014-08-28
    soldstatus $108,000
  15. 2014-08-22
    soldstatus $108,000 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition

  16. 2014-06-16
    historical 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition

  17. 2014-03-07
    listed $118,888 521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (521 chars)

    You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition

  18. 2009-12-31
    soldstatus $50,000
  19. 2009-10-16
    soldstatus $50,000
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Large village home in need of some TLC. Lots of space and potential. Property sold in as-is, where-is condition. All offers must have a pre-approval letter. Fair Condition

  20. 2009-09-14
    historical
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Large village home in need of some TLC. Lots of space and potential. Property sold in as-is, where-is condition. All offers must have a pre-approval letter. Fair Condition

  21. 2009-09-01
    listed $50,000
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Large village home in need of some TLC. Lots of space and potential. Property sold in as-is, where-is condition. All offers must have a pre-approval letter. Fair Condition

  22. 2006-10-25
    soldstatus $50,000
  23. 2006-10-05
    historical
  24. 2006-05-03
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,370 · $364/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,370 · $364/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,948
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$4,370
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,516
− Management
−$1,516
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$473
After-tax cash flow
$882/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoosick Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3614760
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,349
Composite
44.44/100
National rank
#6093
State rank
#469 of 755 in NY

Livability — Hoosick Falls

Score
72/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#6412

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hoosick Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,874

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.02%
Current HPI
218.9096
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $150,000 Global MLS
  • 2014-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
  • 2014-08-22 Sold (MLS) $108,000 Global MLS
  • 2014-06-16 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2014-03-07 Listed $118,888 Global MLS
  • 2009-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2009-10-16 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Global MLS
  • 2009-09-14 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2009-09-01 Listed $50,000 Global MLS
  • 2006-10-25 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Global MLS
  • 2006-10-05 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2006-05-03 Listed $59,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,370 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…