16 River St · Hoosick Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition
Key facts
- First-floor bedroom
- Formal dining room
- Ample closet space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Space for 3 vehicles total; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first floor; Four bedrooms on the second floor
- Flooring: Tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the first floor, one on the second floor)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil fuel
- Interior features: Built-in features; Crown molding; Shutters on windows
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Additional laundry features listed as Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($409/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Hoosick Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#371 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hoosick Falls Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #469 of 755 in NY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hoosick Falls Elementary School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 398 students, 53% FRL); Hoosick Falls High School (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 329 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 35% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hoosick Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $108k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.97%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $241,376
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -37.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Church St | 0.10mi | 5/2.0 | 2,681 (+13%) | 6mo | $224,700 | $84 | 64 |
| 35 River St | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,230 (-6%) | 15mo | $222,000 | $100 | 63 |
| 73 Elm St | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,392 (+1%) | 17mo | $221,450 | $93 | 62 |
| 10 Richmond Ave | 0.26mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,672 (+13%) | 10mo | $500,000 | $187 | 51 |
| 14 Barton Ave | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,148 (-9%) | 19mo | $218,000 | $101 | 49 |
| 101 Main St | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,120 (-10%) | 23mo | $233,000 | $110 | 47 |
| 46 Lyman St | 0.48mi | 5/1.0 | 2,040 (-14%) | 20mo | $103,500 | $51 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,259
- Equity at exit
- $51,366
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $36,266
- Equity at exit
- $68,384
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12090
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,579 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$364 /mo · $4,370/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $119 | -5% $77 | +0% $34 | +5% $-8 | +10% $-51 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-91 | -5% $-28 | +0% $34 | +5% $96 | +10% $159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $72 | base $34 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-44 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13status $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01status $150,000 Pending 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-13$150,000 Active 1058-char remark
-
2014-08-28soldstatus $108,000
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2014-08-22soldstatus $108,000 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition
-
2014-06-16historical 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition
-
2014-03-07$118,888 521-char remark
Show marketing remark (521 chars)
You'll love living large,in this 2268 sq ft house. First floor features: Kitchen, bar area, with gorgeous beautiful custom woodwork. Eating area, has built in shelving, dining room with a sunny window nook, living room that has pocket doors, bedroom, full bath has a jetted tub. Upstairs: 4 bedroom, full bath. Plenty of closet space. There is a decorative stairway from the formal front entrance and also stairs from the kitchen. Lots of storage in the full basement. A big house w/ many specialties. Excellent Condition
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2009-12-31soldstatus $50,000
-
2009-10-16soldstatus $50,000
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Large village home in need of some TLC. Lots of space and potential. Property sold in as-is, where-is condition. All offers must have a pre-approval letter. Fair Condition
-
2009-09-14historical
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Large village home in need of some TLC. Lots of space and potential. Property sold in as-is, where-is condition. All offers must have a pre-approval letter. Fair Condition
-
2009-09-01$50,000
Show marketing remark (174 chars)
Large village home in need of some TLC. Lots of space and potential. Property sold in as-is, where-is condition. All offers must have a pre-approval letter. Fair Condition
-
2006-10-25soldstatus $50,000
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2006-10-05historical
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2006-05-03$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,370 · $364/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,370 · $364/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,948
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$4,370
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,516
- − Management
- −$1,516
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,970
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$473
- After-tax cash flow
- $882/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hoosick Falls Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614760
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,349
- Composite
- 44.44/100
- National rank
- #6093
- State rank
- #469 of 755 in NY
Livability — Hoosick Falls
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #371
- US rank
- #6412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hoosick Falls, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,874
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.02%
- Current HPI
- 218.9096
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+150.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2026-06-01 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $150,000 Global MLS
- 2014-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-22 Sold (MLS) $108,000 Global MLS
- 2014-06-16 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2014-03-07 Listed $118,888 Global MLS
- 2009-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-16 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Global MLS
- 2009-09-14 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2009-09-01 Listed $50,000 Global MLS
- 2006-10-25 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Global MLS
- 2006-10-05 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2006-05-03 Listed $59,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,370 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…