10024 Lackland Rd · Overland, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Updated Ad: Owner Financing Available!Headline: Charming 3-Bed Bungalow in Overland & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Easy Owner Financing Available!Description:Skip the bank and move right into this solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath home at 10024 Lackland Rd. Perfect for those looking for a straightforward path to homeownership without the traditional mortgage hurdles. This well-maintained bungalow is move-in ready and waiting for your personal touch!Why You & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll Love This Home:Flexible Terms: We are offering Owner Financing to qualified buyers. Stop renting and start building equity today!Solid Character: Features original wood flooring and a functional, coz
Key facts
- Fenced backyard
- Built 1942
- Listed 40 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 6.2% in Overland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#436 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $130k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.83%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,384
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940 Stedman Ct | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+6%) | 3mo | $159,000 | $195 | 82 |
| 10267 Niblic Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (0%) | 5mo | $129,999 | $169 | 80 |
| 10239 Driver Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 728 (-5%) | 1mo | $165,900 | $228 | 79 |
| 1914 Overland Dr | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+6%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $202 | 69 |
| 10426 Driver Ave | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 792 (+3%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $170 | 68 |
| 9750 Flora Ave | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 816 (+6%) | 3mo | $199,900 | $245 | 64 |
| 10416 Lackland Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 824 (+7%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $140 | 62 |
| 2324 Huntington Ave | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-6%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $181 | 61 |
| 2339 Dawes Pl | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 728 (-5%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $192 | 61 |
| 2242 Huntington Ave | 0.42mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 702 (-9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $178 | 59 |
| 10432 Driver Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (+11%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $188 | 54 |
| 10627 Canter Way | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+6%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $104 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-12,961
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,186
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63114
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,391/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $220 | -5% $183 | +0% $146 | +5% $110 | +10% $73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $47 | -5% $96 | +0% $146 | +5% $196 | +10% $246 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $179 | base $146 | +0.5pp $113 | +1.0pp $78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9905 Iveland Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,370 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2201 Gaebler Ave Unit A Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,250 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2201 Gaebler Ave Unit 1 Overland, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 0d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2323 Woodson Rd Apt J Overland, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 605 | $875 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2323 Woodson Rd Apt I Overland, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $875 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2323 Woodson Rd Apt I Overland, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $875 | $1.35 | 9d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9618 De Porres Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 10205 Saint Daniel Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,450 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2732 Annapolis Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9814 Greenery Ln Unit D Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9814 Greenery Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9882 Greenery Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9826 Greenery Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9535 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,145 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,095 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 10900 Oak Forest Pkwy Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 4d | 6 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$130,000 Active 1235-char remark
-
2007-03-02soldstatus $66,500
-
2003-09-29soldstatus $70,500
-
2002-12-02soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,391 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,391 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,162
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,391
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,213
- − Management
- −$1,213
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$368
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,845/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ritenour
- NCES district ID
- 2926640
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,410
- Composite
- 17.04/100
- National rank
- #9125
- State rank
- #304 of 324 in MO
Livability — Overland
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #436
- US rank
- #17870
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Overland, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 33,969
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,969
- Household income
- $55,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1595.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.62%
- Current HPI
- 223.9305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+333.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $130,000 FSBO.com
- 2007-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
- 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
- 2002-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2022): $1,391 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…