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3000 Clarcona Rd #520
C+ Composite 62.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,000

3000 Clarcona Rd #520 · Clarcona, FL 32703
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 625 sqft · Manufactured public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1985 2,176 sqft lot $284/mo HOA · 23% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in the gated community of Clarcona Resort / Jellystone Park in Apopka, this 1-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home features an expanded layout with two versatile bonus rooms, offering flexible space for a home office, hobby area, or guest use. The property includes a storage shed and a dedicated two-car parking area, providing practical outdoor functionality. Set among mature Florida landscaping, the setting offers a quiet and established environment. Ownership includes the land, adding long-term value and flexibility. Monthly HOA dues cover water, sewer, and trash, along with access to community amenities such as a swimming pool, clubhouse, playground, and mini golf. The community off

Key facts

  • Expanded layout
  • Storage shed
  • 2,176 sq ft lot

Tags

EXPANDED LAYOUTTWO VERSATILE BONUS ROOMSSTORAGE SHEDDEDICATED TWO-CAR PARKING AREAMATURE FLORIDA LANDSCAPINGOWNERSHIP INCLUDES THE LAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No CDD; Homestead not claimed; Lease restrictions not required; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: Has HOA managed by Christina Wanner; Monthly HOA $284 (includes common area taxes, pool, grounds maintenance, management, trash, water); Community amenities: clubhouse, park, playground, pool, community mailbox, association-owned recreation, deed restrictions, golf carts allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Residential property; One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Other roof type; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.05 acre lot
  • Exterior features: In-ground pool; Other exterior features; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Range; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#792 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $78k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,320 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.86%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-4,678
Equity at exit
$11,630
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-2,727
Equity at exit
$6,744

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32703

Rents YoY
-2.8%
Active inventory
564
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,246 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $952/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$284
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,019
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3000 Clarcona Rd Apopka, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 608 $950 $1.56 1d 6 0.17mi
3000 Clarcona Rd Apopka, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 608 $900 $1.48 7d 6 0.17mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$284 · $3,408/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashlandscapingpoolsecurity

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $78,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-04-01
    listed $78,000 Active
  16. 2010-11-05
    listed $14,900
  17. 2006-03-02
    historical
  18. 2005-12-30
    listed $35,000
  19. 2005-07-15
    historical
  20. 2005-06-13
    listed $35,000
  21. 2000-06-30
    soldstatus $26,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$952 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$952 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,952
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$952
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,196
− Management
−$1,196
− HOA
−$3,408
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$1,171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$281
After-tax cash flow
$1,873/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Clarcona

Score
61/100
State rank
#792
US rank
#18165

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clarcona, FL
County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
59,269
Household income
$72,880
Rent vs Own
34.2% rent · 65.8% own
Severe rent burden
2191.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 35% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 28% Two or more races 16% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.30%
Current HPI
319.2139
Rent YoY
▼ -2.75%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $78,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-05 Listed $14,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-02 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-12-30 Listed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-07-15 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-13 Listed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $952 · +306.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…