376 Plan · Greenville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$116,130
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Model Plan 376 - 3 Bed, 2 Bath | 1,236 Sq. Ft. | Modern Manufactured Home in Los Caballos, Greenville TX Note: The Zillow home price does not include monthly site rent. Welcome to Model Plan 376, a beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offering 1,236 sq. ft. of stylish and functional living in the luxury Los Caballos community of Greenville, Texas. Enjoy an open layout with a hidden utility area that keeps your space neat and efficient. The primary suite features a spacious walk-in closet and a large private bathroom with dual vanity sinks, a relaxing deck tub, and natural lighting that brightens the room. Two additional bedrooms and a full guest bathroom offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Leasing the land adds exceptional value-monthly site rent includes access to resort-style amenities such as a swimming pool, fitness center with instructor-led classes, business center, community kitchen, grilling patios, and dog parks. It also covers lawn care, property taxes on the land, a private 8'x14' storage unit, and ensures a safe, well-maintained community. Schedule your private tour today and experience modern manufactured home living at Los Caballos in Greenville, TX!
Key facts
- Natural lighting
- Hidden utility area
- Dual vanity sinks
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $116k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in TX, #2,719 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, commute F.
- Greenville ISD (town): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #743 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 395 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.49%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,675
- Equity at exit
- $17,315
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $20,781
- Equity at exit
- $10,041
Cash invested: $32,516 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75401
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 395
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$609
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$145 /mo · $1,742/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $473 | -5% $433 | +0% $393 | +5% $353 | +10% $312 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $273 | -5% $333 | +0% $393 | +5% $452 | +10% $512 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $451 | -0.5pp $422 | base $393 | +0.5pp $363 | +1.0pp $332 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,032
- Closing costs
- $3,484
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 Canterbury Way Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,199 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 479 Mills Way Greenville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,450 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $116,130 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $116,130 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $116,130 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $116,130 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $116,130 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $116,130 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $116,130 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $116,130 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $116,130 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $116,130 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $116,130 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $116,130 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $116,130 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $116,130 Active 214 DOM
-
2025-10-29$116,130 Active 1222-char remark
Show marketing remark (1222 chars)
Model Plan 376 - 3 Bed, 2 Bath | 1,236 Sq. Ft. | Modern Manufactured Home in Los Caballos, Greenville TX Note: The Zillow home price does not include monthly site rent. Welcome to Model Plan 376, a beautifully crafted 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offering 1,236 sq. ft. of stylish and functional living in the luxury Los Caballos community of Greenville, Texas. Enjoy an open layout with a hidden utility area that keeps your space neat and efficient. The primary suite features a spacious walk-in closet and a large private bathroom with dual vanity sinks, a relaxing deck tub, and natural lighting that brightens the room. Two additional bedrooms and a full guest bathroom offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Leasing the land adds exceptional value-monthly site rent includes access to resort-style amenities such as a swimming pool, fitness center with instructor-led classes, business center, community kitchen, grilling patios, and dog parks. It also covers lawn care, property taxes on the land, a private 8'x14' storage unit, and ensures a safe, well-maintained community. Schedule your private tour today and experience modern manufactured home living at Los Caballos in Greenville, TX!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,505
- − Property taxes
- −$1,742
- − Insurance
- −$581
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$3,378
- Taxable income
- $3,044
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$731
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This modern manufactured home in Greenville, TX, is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a spacious layout, modern finishes, and a well-maintained exterior. Potential buyers and renters can appreciate the home's curb appeal and functional design.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Rental Installing a smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can help reduce energy costs and attract eco-conscious renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Rental Installing a smart thermostat — Smart thermostats can help reduce energy costs and attract eco-conscious renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821720
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,374
- Composite
- 19.56/100
- National rank
- #8759
- State rank
- #743 of 826 in TX
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hunt County · 71,969 people
- City population
- 42,767
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,669
- Household income
- $59,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 638.0
Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,090 people
- By 2030
- 100,452 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 106,544 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 111,218 · +14.6%
- By 2075
- 121,695 · +25.3%
- By 2100
- 123,683 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.45%
- Current HPI
- 339.0287
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-29 Listed $116,130 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…