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🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,900

3218 Wagner St · Shreveport, LA 71108
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 981 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 163 Days on market
Built 1940 0.33 ac lot $37/sqft · 23% below area Est $46k · 23% under ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors! Don’t miss this fantastic rental investment opportunity. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is currently rented for $575 per month, providing immediate income potential. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or start your investment journey, this home offers a promising return on investment. Schedule your showing today and take advantage of this affordable, income-generating opportunity!

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $35,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$46,471) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($905 rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $32k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $248 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $31,592 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.52%
Cap rate
21.80%
Cash-on-cash
55.39%
DSCR
3.46
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$46,471
List price
$35,900
Delta
-22.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2910 Meadow Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 931 (-5%) 3mo $45,000 $48 79
3030 Morningside Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,005 (+2%) 2mo $53,000 $53 74
3250 Wagner St 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+6%) 8mo $29,500 $28 73
2742 Lakehurst Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,034 (+5%) 16mo $79,900 $77 59
2905 Grassmere St 0.42mi 3/1.0 912 (-7%) 17mo $48,900 $54 55
2724 Grassmere St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 866 (-12%) 1mo $60,000 $69 48
2816 Bibb St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-5%) 14mo $24,999 $27 46
6507 Canal Blvd 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,027 (+5%) 18mo $25,250 $25 46
2730 Sunnybrook St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 939 (-4%) 18mo $52,500 $56 44
2645 Valley Ridge Rd 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 929 (-5%) 16mo $30,000 $32 43
6312 Canal Blvd 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,126 (+15%) 10mo $92,500 $82 40
6610 W Canal Blvd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,121 (+14%) 18mo $22,000 $20 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$23,177
Equity at exit
$5,353
10-year hold
IRR
57.9%
Equity multiple
6.57×
Total profit
$55,984
Equity at exit
$3,104

Cash invested: $10,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71108

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$905 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$188
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $569/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$190
Net cashflow
$464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $317
Max offer price $35,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,975
Closing costs
$1,077
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2943 Hillcrest Ave Shreveport, LA 4.0 2.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 21d 1 0.29mi
3530 Pleasant Dr Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 750 $725 $0.97 21d 1 0.52mi
5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 957 $975 $1.02 44d 1 0.56mi
3051 Amherst St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 994 $595 $0.60 44d 1 0.61mi
2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1045 $725 $0.69 21d 1 0.63mi
2644 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA 4.0 1.0 1023 $1,100 $1.08 44d 1 0.64mi
2721 Sunnybrook St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 913 $1,000 $1.10 44d 1 0.65mi
2762 Marquette St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1054 $1,000 $0.95 21d 1 0.73mi
5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 971 $825 $0.85 21d 1 0.97mi
1954 State St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 1.12mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 960 $850 $0.89 44d 1 1.24mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 21d 1 1.24mi
2924 DuPont St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 768 $750 $0.98 21d 1 1.41mi
7137 Burlingame Blvd Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.5 1100 $700 $0.64 44d 1 1.42mi
2714 DuPont St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 980 $565 $0.58 14d 1 1.45mi
7224 Union Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 735 $625 $0.85 14d 1 1.48mi
513 Sassafras Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 960 $870 $0.91 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,900 Active 163 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,900 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,900 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,900 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,900 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,900 Active 157 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $35,900 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,900 Active 154 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,900 Active 153 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,900 Active 152 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,900 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,900 Active 148 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,900 Active 147 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,900 Active 146 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,900 Active 145 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,900 Active 144 DOM
  17. 2026-01-06
    listed $35,900 Active 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Attention investors! Don’t miss this fantastic rental investment opportunity. This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is currently rented for $575 per month, providing immediate income potential. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or start your investment journey, this home offers a promising return on investment. Schedule your showing today and take advantage of this affordable, income-generating opportunity!

  18. 2025-12-31
    historical
  19. 2024-12-20
    listed $35,900 Active
  20. 2024-08-25
    historical $565
  21. 2024-07-19
    listed $565
  22. 2022-01-23
    price $575
  23. 2020-06-22
    soldstatus $68,000
  24. 2004-06-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$569 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$569 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,854
− Mortgage interest
−$2,011
− Property taxes
−$569
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$868
− Management
−$868
− Depreciation
−$1,044
Taxable income
$5,314
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,275
After-tax cash flow
$4,292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
18,072
Household income
$32,055
Rent vs Own
63.3% rent · 36.7% own
Severe rent burden
1526.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.98%
Current HPI
58.1377
Rent YoY
▲ 2.37%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $35,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-12-20 Listed $35,900 NTREIS
  • 2024-08-25 Rental Removed $565 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-19 Listed for Rent $565 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-01-23 Price Changed $575 RENT.
  • 2020-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $569 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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