736 Hartwood Cv · Brandon, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in Popular Lennox Subdivision! Come see this well-maintained and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the friendly Lennox subdivision, just minutes from Brandon High School. With 1,552 square feet of living space and a smart split-floor plan, this home offers a great balance of comfort and practicality. You'll find scored and stained concrete floors throughout, giving the home a clean, cohesive feel. The large master suite includes a spacious bedroom and a walk-in closet with plenty of room for storage. The kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a gas cooktop, built-in microwave, oven, dishwasher, and disposal, ready for everyday cooking and family meals. It opens to a cozy living area with a gas fireplace, creating a comfortable space for relaxing or entertaining. Step out back to enjoy a tidy, low-maintenance yard with durable turf, perfect for weekend hangouts or letting the kids and pets play. The fully fenced yard adds privacy and backs up to trees! Additional features include a 2-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a gas water heater to keep things running smoothly year-round. If you're looking for a solid, easy-living home in a great location, this one is definitely worth a look and won't last long in this market!
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2017
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (7.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (26.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.2% in Brandon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in MS, #1,514 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.80%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,770
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 732 Hartwood Cv | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,494 (-6%) | 3mo | $252,000 | $169 | 87 |
| 624 Westhill Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (+1%) | 8mo | $272,500 | $171 | 85 |
| 629 Westhill Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (-0%) | 10mo | $259,900 | $165 | 84 |
| 716 Hartwood Cv | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-8%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $165 | 83 |
| 504 Westpark Ct | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,654 (+5%) | 7mo | $269,999 | $163 | 82 |
| 115 Lennox Pl | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+10%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $158 | 75 |
| 122 Provonce Park | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (+6%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $170 | 71 |
| 604 Chambord Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 1,664 (+5%) | 2mo | $299,900 | $180 | 69 |
| 609 Tucker Xing | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,685 (+7%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $193 | 68 |
| 163 Provonce Park | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,673 (+6%) | 0mo | $299,900 | $179 | 66 |
| 251 Tucker Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,769 (+12%) | 8mo | $299,900 | $170 | 58 |
| 626 Tucker Xing | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (+7%) | 10mo | $289,900 | $171 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-42,399
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-7,961
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39042
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,930/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $-113
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Diamond Way Brandon, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $2,595 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-05-05soldstatus
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-19$269,900 Active
-
2025-06-18soldstatus Closed 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in Popular Lennox Subdivision! Come see this well-maintained and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the friendly Lennox subdivision, just minutes from Brandon High School. With 1,552 square feet of living space and a smart split-floor plan, this home offers a great balance of comfort and practicality. You'll find scored and stained concrete floors throughout, giving the home a clean, cohesive feel. The large master suite includes a spacious bedroom and a walk-in closet with plenty of room for storage. The kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a gas cooktop, built-in microwave, oven, dishwasher, and disposal, ready for everyday cooking and family meals. It opens to a cozy living area with a gas fireplace, creating a comfortable space for relaxing or entertaining. Step out back to enjoy a tidy, low-maintenance yard with durable turf, perfect for weekend hangouts or letting the kids and pets play. The fully fenced yard adds privacy and backs up to trees! Additional features include a 2-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a gas water heater to keep things running smoothly year-round. If you're looking for a solid, easy-living home in a great location, this one is definitely worth a look and won't last long in this market!
-
2025-05-19status Pending 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in Popular Lennox Subdivision! Come see this well-maintained and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the friendly Lennox subdivision, just minutes from Brandon High School. With 1,552 square feet of living space and a smart split-floor plan, this home offers a great balance of comfort and practicality. You'll find scored and stained concrete floors throughout, giving the home a clean, cohesive feel. The large master suite includes a spacious bedroom and a walk-in closet with plenty of room for storage. The kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a gas cooktop, built-in microwave, oven, dishwasher, and disposal, ready for everyday cooking and family meals. It opens to a cozy living area with a gas fireplace, creating a comfortable space for relaxing or entertaining. Step out back to enjoy a tidy, low-maintenance yard with durable turf, perfect for weekend hangouts or letting the kids and pets play. The fully fenced yard adds privacy and backs up to trees! Additional features include a 2-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a gas water heater to keep things running smoothly year-round. If you're looking for a solid, easy-living home in a great location, this one is definitely worth a look and won't last long in this market!
-
2025-05-13$259,900 Active 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
Welcoming 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in Popular Lennox Subdivision! Come see this well-maintained and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the friendly Lennox subdivision, just minutes from Brandon High School. With 1,552 square feet of living space and a smart split-floor plan, this home offers a great balance of comfort and practicality. You'll find scored and stained concrete floors throughout, giving the home a clean, cohesive feel. The large master suite includes a spacious bedroom and a walk-in closet with plenty of room for storage. The kitchen is fully equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a gas cooktop, built-in microwave, oven, dishwasher, and disposal, ready for everyday cooking and family meals. It opens to a cozy living area with a gas fireplace, creating a comfortable space for relaxing or entertaining. Step out back to enjoy a tidy, low-maintenance yard with durable turf, perfect for weekend hangouts or letting the kids and pets play. The fully fenced yard adds privacy and backs up to trees! Additional features include a 2-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a gas water heater to keep things running smoothly year-round. If you're looking for a solid, easy-living home in a great location, this one is definitely worth a look and won't last long in this market!
-
2025-05-03historical
-
2025-04-06status Active
-
2025-04-01price $265,000
-
2025-03-31historical
-
2025-02-05price $269,900
-
2025-01-24status Active
-
2024-12-18historical
-
2024-12-05status Active
-
2024-12-01historical
-
2024-11-18price $272,900
-
2024-10-17price $275,000
-
2024-09-16price $277,900
-
2024-08-20$279,900 Active
-
2020-09-02soldstatus
-
2020-08-28soldstatus
-
2020-07-13$187,500
-
2017-10-30soldstatus
-
2017-08-16$169,900
-
2011-12-02soldstatus
-
2011-01-30$17,500
-
2006-08-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,930 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,132 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$202/yr (+$17/mo · 10.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,930
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$1,930
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,914
- − Management
- −$1,914
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$6,149
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,476
- After-tax cash flow
- $116/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rankin County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803830
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,867
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2587
- State rank
- #6 of 130 in MS
Livability — Brandon
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brandon, MS
- County
- Rankin County · 123,614 people
- City population
- 79,950
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,142
- Household income
- $88,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 474.0
Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,317 people
- By 2030
- 171,013 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 182,723 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 192,376 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 209,535 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 209,534 · +27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rankin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.04%
- Current HPI
- 172.5248
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.13%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+1442.3% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-03-25 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-19 Listed $269,900 MLSU
- 2025-06-18 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2025-05-19 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-05-13 Listed $259,900 MLSU
- 2025-05-03 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-04-06 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-04-01 Price Changed $265,000 MLSU
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-02-05 Price Changed $269,900 MLSU
- 2025-01-24 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-12-18 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-12-05 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-12-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-11-18 Price Changed $272,900 MLSU
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $275,000 MLSU
- 2024-09-16 Price Changed $277,900 MLSU
- 2024-08-20 Listed $279,900 MLSU
- 2020-09-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2020-07-13 Listed $187,500 MLSU
- 2017-10-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2017-08-16 Listed $169,900 MLSU
- 2011-12-02 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2011-01-30 Listed $17,500 MLSU
- 2006-08-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,930 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…