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148 Leach Ave
A- Composite 83.91
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

148 Leach Ave · Hornell, NY 14843
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1920 1,771 sqft lot Est $93k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PAWN THE LAWN MOWER! You'll have freedom from lawn care at 148 Leach Ave! House was well-maintained, 3-bedroom, 1.5 baths with a full laundry room in the lower level! PLUS modern thermal windows. Entire property is not too big to maintain! If you're longing to simplify life, check out the charming red house on Leach Ave, Hornell. Hurry - don't wait - you'll be glad you called for information.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Large walk-up attic
  • Move in ready

Tags

MOVE IN READYFUNCTIONAL KITCHENSPACIOUS LAUNDRY ROOMLARGE WALK-UP ATTICEASY-MAINTENANCE FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; No driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story home; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Cedar exterior; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 28 x 61

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes living and laundry areas)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate formal dining room; Separate formal living room; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 13.3% in Hornell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#451 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Hornell City School District (town): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $70k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,803 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
23.21%
Cash-on-cash
60.43%
DSCR
3.69
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
175 S Leach Ave 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,248 (-2%) 4mo $22,501 $18 88
98 Catherine St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,371 (+7%) 5mo $20,000 $15 73
12 Elmwood Pl 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (+1%) 3mo $18,500 $14 72
22 Cottage Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,340 (+5%) 6mo $40,000 $30 71
134 E Elm St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-12%) 4mo $57,000 $51 69
68 Catherine St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,166 (-9%) 3mo $85,000 $73 66
46 Glen Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,352 (+6%) 4mo $40,000 $30 66
176 Greeley Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,204 (-6%) 1mo $115,000 $96 65
169 Leach Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,090 (-15%) 1mo $105,000 $96 64
153 Sutherby Ave 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,412 (+10%) 2mo $149,000 $106 63
5 Blaine St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,142 (-11%) 1mo $165,000 $144 62
34 School St 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,256 (-2%) 7mo $125,000 $100 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.3%
Equity multiple
4.82×
Total profit
$74,780
Equity at exit
$35,227
10-year hold
IRR
65.0%
Equity multiple
9.89×
Total profit
$174,042
Equity at exit
$57,448

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14843

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,844 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $909/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$986

Break-even live

Break-even rent $597
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,025 -5% $1,005 +0% $986 +5% $966 +10% $946
Rent -10% $840 -5% $913 +0% $986 +5% $1,058 +10% $1,131
Rate -1.0pp $1,021 -0.5pp $1,003 base $986 +0.5pp $967 +1.0pp $949

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
58 Elm St Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,495 $1.56 44d 1 0.33mi
54 Bemis Ave Hornell, NY 2.0 1.0 1801 $1,300 $0.72 44d 1 0.61mi
14 Willow Pl Hornell, NY 4.0 2.0 1726 $2,000 $1.16 44d 1 0.81mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-03
    listed $69,900 Active
  3. 2014-09-10
    soldstatus $22,000 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    PAWN THE LAWN MOWER! You'll have freedom from lawn care at 148 Leach Ave! House was well-maintained, 3-bedroom, 1.5 baths with a full laundry room in the lower level! PLUS modern thermal windows. Entire property is not too big to maintain! If you're longing to simplify life, check out the charming red house on Leach Ave, Hornell. Hurry - don't wait - you'll be glad you called for information.

  4. 2014-05-27
    listed $27,900 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    PAWN THE LAWN MOWER! You'll have freedom from lawn care at 148 Leach Ave! House was well-maintained, 3-bedroom, 1.5 baths with a full laundry room in the lower level! PLUS modern thermal windows. Entire property is not too big to maintain! If you're longing to simplify life, check out the charming red house on Leach Ave, Hornell. Hurry - don't wait - you'll be glad you called for information.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$909 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,045 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$136/yr (+$11/mo · 15.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,131
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$909
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,770
− Management
−$1,770
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$11,383
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,732
After-tax cash flow
$9,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hornell City School District
NCES district ID
3614820
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$40,251
Composite
34.33/100
National rank
#5234
State rank
#519 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hornell

Score
70/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#7888

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hornell, NY
County
Steuben County · 41,193 people
City population
12,383
Metro
Corning, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,383
Household income
$57,874
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
415.0

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.95%
Current HPI
210.1986
Rent YoY
Metro
Corning, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
  • 2014-09-10 Sold (MLS) $22,000 WNYREIS
  • 2014-05-27 Listed $27,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

-5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $909 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…