561 Pleasant Pine Dr · Jacksonville, FL 32220

$185,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · Land public records · 26 Days on market

Built 1984

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.0/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This is a 1352 square foot, vacant land. This home is located at 561 Pleasant Pine Dr, Jacksonville, FL 32220.

Key facts

• Built 1984
• Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Built in 1984
• Construction: Single-family property (built 1984)
• Exterior features: Located in the Southwest subdivision

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $185k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
• Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Whitehouse Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 405 students, 55% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Marine Science Education Center (31 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $150k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $182,225 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.84%
• DSCR: 1.30
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.78×
• Total profit: $-11,187
• Equity at exit: $27,584

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $14,431
• Equity at exit: $15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32220

• Home prices YoY: -18.1%
• Active inventory: 112
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,915 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$970
• Tax from tax record: −$170 /mo · $2,044/yr
• Insurance: −$77
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$402
• Net cashflow: $295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,541

Max offer price $185,000

Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $400	-5% $348	+0% $295	+5% $243	+10% $190
Rent	-10% $144	-5% $220	+0% $295	+5% $371	+10% $446
Rate	-1.0pp $388	-0.5pp $342	base $295	+0.5pp $247	+1.0pp $198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,250
• Closing costs: $5,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
12360 Anarania Dr Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1271	$1,799	$1.42	16d	1	0.44mi
314 Marisco Way Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1271	$1,596	$1.26	9d	1	0.48mi
176 Marisco Way Jacksonville, FL	3.0	2.0	1271	$1,755	$1.38	25d	1	0.68mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $185,000 Active 23 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $185,000 Active 22 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $185,000 Active 21 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $185,000 Active 13 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 7 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
13. 2026-05-26
    listed $185,000 Active
14. 2024-06-06
    soldstatus $150,000
15. 2024-05-02
    soldstatus $150,000
16. 2007-02-09
    soldstatus $125,000
17. 2001-07-09
    soldstatus $50,000
18. 1984-08-01
    soldstatus $12,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,044 · $170/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,044 · $170/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,978
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,363
• − Property taxes: −$2,044
• − Insurance: −$925
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,838
• − Management: −$1,838
• − Depreciation: −$5,382
• Taxable income: $588
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$141
• After-tax cash flow: $3,401/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Duval
• NCES district ID: 1200480
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $48,987
• Composite: 38.97/100
• National rank: #4076
• State rank: #48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jacksonville, FL
• County: Duval County · 1,015,274 people
• City population: 979,034
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 12,298
• Household income: $81,792
• Rent vs Own: 13.7% rent · 86.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 177.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,013,010 people
• By 2030: 1,059,228 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,141,439 · +12.7%
• By 2050: 1,205,258 · +19.0%
• By 2075: 1,324,282 · +30.7%
• By 2100: 1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Cuban 7%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -64.90%
• Current HPI: 293.7943
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Jacksonville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1345.3% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $185,000 FSBO.com
• 2024-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
• 2024-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
• 2007-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
• 2001-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 1984-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,044 · +90.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.