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1526 Fortenberry Rd
B- Composite 67.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,000

1526 Fortenberry Rd · Blairsville, GA 30512
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 595 Days on market
Built 1974 1.00 ac lot $136/sqft · 64% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1974
  • Listed 595 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.6% in Blairsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#73 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Union County (rural): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #48 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 789 active listings in the ZIP; 281 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Union County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 595 days — a 12% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $144k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 595 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.16%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$405,270
List price
$144,000
Delta
-64.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,952
Equity at exit
$21,471
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$40,928
Equity at exit
$12,450

Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30512

Home prices YoY
-12.8%
Active inventory
789
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,905 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax est. 1.5%
$180 /mo · $2,160/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,344
Max offer price $144,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $543 -5% $493 +0% $443 +5% $393 +10% $344
Rent -10% $293 -5% $368 +0% $443 +5% $518 +10% $593
Rate -1.0pp $516 -0.5pp $480 base $443 +0.5pp $406 +1.0pp $368

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,000
Closing costs
$4,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,000 Active 595 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,000 Active 594 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,000 Active 593 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,000 Active 592 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $144,000 Active 590 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $144,000 Active 587 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,000 Active 586 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,000 Active 585 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,000 Active 584 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $144,000 Active 580 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $144,000 Active 579 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $144,000 Active 578 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,000 Active 577 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $144,000 Active 576 DOM
  15. 2026-02-10
    price $144,000 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  16. 2026-01-01
    status Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  17. 2025-12-31
    historical 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  18. 2025-06-23
    status Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  19. 2025-05-09
    status Pending 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  20. 2025-04-25
    status Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  21. 2025-04-11
    status Pending 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  22. 2024-12-27
    status Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  23. 2024-11-22
    status Pending 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  24. 2024-11-21
    historical Active Under Contract 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  25. 2024-10-07
    status Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  26. 2024-09-29
    historical 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  27. 2024-07-22
    listed $149,000 Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!

  28. 2024-07-21
    historical
  29. 2023-12-13
    listed $79,000 Active
  30. 2022-11-28
    soldstatus $65,000
  31. 2022-11-22
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold
  32. 2022-11-22
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold
  33. 2022-09-08
    status Under Contract
  34. 2022-09-08
    status Pending
  35. 2022-08-31
    status Back On Market
  36. 2022-08-31
    status Active
  37. 2022-08-18
    status Pending
  38. 2022-08-17
    status Active
  39. 2022-07-30
    status Under Contract
  40. 2022-07-30
    status Back On Market
  41. 2022-07-26
    status Under Contract
  42. 2022-07-26
    status Pending
  43. 2022-07-23
    listed $65,000 New
  44. 2022-07-23
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,855
− Mortgage interest
−$8,066
− Property taxes
−$2,160
− Insurance
−$1,518
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,828
− Management
−$1,828
− Depreciation
−$4,189
Taxable income
$3,266
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$784
After-tax cash flow
$4,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union County
NCES district ID
1305250
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$41,487
Composite
33.25/100
National rank
#5514
State rank
#48 of 174 in GA

Livability — Blairsville

Score
72/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#6374

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
24,226

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,917 people
By 2030
24,582 · +2.8%
By 2040
25,370 · +6.1%
By 2050
25,697 · +7.4%
By 2075
26,629 · +11.3%
By 2100
26,162 · +9.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.5) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.5 2020: R+63.3 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+59.9 2008: R+52.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.27%
Current HPI
362.7971
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+121.5% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $144,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Pending FMLS
  • 2025-04-25 Relisted FMLS
  • 2025-04-11 Pending FMLS
  • 2024-12-27 Relisted FMLS
  • 2024-11-22 Pending FMLS
  • 2024-11-21 Contingent FMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Relisted FMLS
  • 2024-09-29 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2024-07-22 Listed $149,000 FMLS
  • 2024-07-21 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2023-12-13 Listed $79,000 FMLS
  • 2022-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-22 Sold (MLS) $65,000 NEGBOR
  • 2022-11-22 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-09-08 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-09-08 Pending NEGBOR
  • 2022-08-31 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-08-31 Relisted NEGBOR
  • 2022-08-18 Pending NEGBOR
  • 2022-08-17 Relisted NEGBOR
  • 2022-07-30 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-07-30 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-07-26 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-07-26 Pending NEGBOR
  • 2022-07-23 Listed $65,000 NEGBOR
  • 2022-07-23 Listed $65,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

-4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $187 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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