1526 Fortenberry Rd · Blairsville, GA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1974
- Listed 595 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 2.6% in Blairsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#73 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Union County (rural): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #48 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 789 active listings in the ZIP; 281 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 595 days — a 12% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $144k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 595 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.16%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $405,270
- List price
- $144,000
- Delta
- -64.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,952
- Equity at exit
- $21,471
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $40,928
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30512
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 789
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,905 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$755
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$180 /mo · $2,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $543 | -5% $493 | +0% $443 | +5% $393 | +10% $344 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $293 | -5% $368 | +0% $443 | +5% $518 | +10% $593 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $516 | -0.5pp $480 | base $443 | +0.5pp $406 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,000
- Closing costs
- $4,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 44 events
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2026-06-18days on market $144,000 Active 595 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $144,000 Active 594 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $144,000 Active 593 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $144,000 Active 592 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $144,000 Active 590 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $144,000 Active 587 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $144,000 Active 586 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $144,000 Active 585 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $144,000 Active 584 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $144,000 Active 580 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $144,000 Active 579 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $144,000 Active 578 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $144,000 Active 577 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $144,000 Active 576 DOM
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2026-02-10price $144,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2026-01-01status Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2025-12-31historical 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2025-06-23status Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2025-05-09status Pending 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2025-04-25status Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2025-04-11status Pending 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2024-12-27status Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2024-11-22status Pending 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2024-11-21historical Active Under Contract 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2024-10-07status Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2024-09-29historical 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2024-07-22$149,000 Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Sold As-Is. Three Bedroom One Bath Mobile Home. Situated On A Beautiful 0.99 Acre Lot That Backs Up To 8,751 Acres Of National Forest. Just 12 Minutes From Vogel State Park, Enjoy Everything Nature Has to Offer!
-
2024-07-21historical
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2023-12-13$79,000 Active
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2022-11-28soldstatus $65,000
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2022-11-22soldstatus $65,000 Sold
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2022-11-22soldstatus $65,000 Sold
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2022-09-08status Under Contract
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2022-09-08status Pending
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2022-08-31status Back On Market
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2022-08-31status Active
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2022-08-18status Pending
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2022-08-17status Active
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2022-07-30status Under Contract
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2022-07-30status Back On Market
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2022-07-26status Under Contract
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2022-07-26status Pending
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2022-07-23$65,000 New
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2022-07-23$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,066
- − Property taxes
- −$2,160
- − Insurance
- −$1,518
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,828
- − Management
- −$1,828
- − Depreciation
- −$4,189
- Taxable income
- $3,266
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$784
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union County
- NCES district ID
- 1305250
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,487
- Composite
- 33.25/100
- National rank
- #5514
- State rank
- #48 of 174 in GA
Livability — Blairsville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #6374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,226
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,917 people
- By 2030
- 24,582 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 25,370 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 25,697 · +7.4%
- By 2075
- 26,629 · +11.3%
- By 2100
- 26,162 · +9.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.5) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.5pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.5 2020: R+63.3 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+59.9 2008: R+52.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.27%
- Current HPI
- 362.7971
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+121.5% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $144,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-01 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-06-23 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-05-09 Pending — FMLS
- 2025-04-25 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-04-11 Pending — FMLS
- 2024-12-27 Relisted — FMLS
- 2024-11-22 Pending — FMLS
- 2024-11-21 Contingent — FMLS
- 2024-10-07 Relisted — FMLS
- 2024-09-29 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-07-22 Listed $149,000 FMLS
- 2024-07-21 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2023-12-13 Listed $79,000 FMLS
- 2022-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-22 Sold (MLS) $65,000 NEGBOR
- 2022-11-22 Sold (MLS) $65,000 GAMLS
- 2022-09-08 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-09-08 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2022-08-31 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2022-08-31 Relisted — NEGBOR
- 2022-08-18 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2022-08-17 Relisted — NEGBOR
- 2022-07-30 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-07-30 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2022-07-26 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-07-26 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2022-07-23 Listed $65,000 NEGBOR
- 2022-07-23 Listed $65,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $187 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…