13216 NE 59th St #24 · Vancouver, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this charming and beautifully maintained 2 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with an attached shop/storage space complete with electricity and built-in shelving—perfect for hobbies, storage, or a workshop! Nestled in the desirable Sifton neighborhood near vibrant Fourth Plain Blvd, you're just minutes from I-205, shopping, dining, and more. Inside, enjoy soaring vaulted ceilings, a light-filled kitchen with stainless steel appliances and a skylight, and a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1993
- Listed 360 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 2.7% in Vancouver — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in WA, #1,133 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
- Evergreen School District (Clark) (urban): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #164 of 291 in WA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 463 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.16%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,961
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -3.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13216 NE 59 #34 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,213 (+2%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $136 | 85 |
| 13217 NE 59th St #114 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (0%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $114 | 79 |
| 13216 NE 59th St #25 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+13%) | 7mo | $123,100 | $92 | 67 |
| 5111 NE 144th Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-4%) | 1mo | $385,500 | $337 | 55 |
| 5404 121st St #20 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,147 (-4%) | 2mo | $127,000 | $111 | 52 |
| 5404 NE 121st Ave #34 | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,116 (-6%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $67 | 51 |
| 5101 NE 121st Ave #21 | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,289 (+8%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $112 | 48 |
| 6912 NE 131st Ave #2 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,055 (-11%) | 11mo | $42,500 | $40 | 47 |
| 5101 NE 121st Ave #51 | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+14%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $74 | 42 |
| 6811 NE 124th Ave #25 | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-14%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $147 | 38 |
| 6811 NE 124th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-14%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $147 | 36 |
| 5101 NE 121st Ave #53 | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+13%) | 10mo | $224,000 | $167 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $15,380
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $51,432
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98682
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 463
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,935 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $309/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $682
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $764 | -5% $723 | +0% $682 | +5% $641 | +10% $427 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $529 | -5% $606 | +0% $682 | +5% $759 | +10% $835 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $755 | -0.5pp $719 | base $682 | +0.5pp $645 | +1.0pp $606 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5719 NE 135th Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 6603 NE 137th Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,545 | $2.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 6715 NE 139th Pl Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1423 | $2,400 | $1.69 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6719 NE 139th Pl Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1492 | $2,570 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 13608 NE 72nd St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 839 | $1,599 | $1.90 | 3d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 12600 NE 49th St Unit F16 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,695 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 13806 NE 47th St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $2,779 | $2.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5264 NE 121st Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 944 | $1,850 | $1.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7505 NE 135th Ave Unit B Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,800 | $2.14 | 9d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7505 NE 135th Ave Unit A Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,800 | $2.14 | 9d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 11716 NE 49th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $1,788 | $1.64 | 9d | 15 | 0.93mi |
| 11603 NE 71st St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 991 | $2,132 | $2.15 | 3d | 55 | 0.99mi |
| 11328 NE 51st Cir Vancouver, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1086 | $1,549 | $1.43 | 9d | 8 | 1.02mi |
| 11412 NE 49th St Vancouver, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $1,730 | $2.14 | 3d | 6 | 1.05mi |
| 6900 NE 154th Ave Vancouver, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $2,062 | $2.24 | 3d | 13 | 1.10mi |
| 3702 NE 132nd Ave Unit 1 Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,825 | $2.31 | 9d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 11205 NE 49th St Unit 11209B Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,675 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11205 NE 49th St Unit 11303D Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,595 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7815 NE 117th Ave Unit 7815-2 Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,845 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11114 NE 48th Cir Unit B Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,395 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4821 NE 110th Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 25d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 11111 NE 48th Cir Unit D Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,575 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3605 NE 141st Ave Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1126 | $2,500 | $2.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 15413 NE 47th Cir Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,569 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15116 NE 80th St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15116 NE 80th St Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 10809 NE 48th Cir Apt C Vancouver, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,395 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6001 NE 102nd Ave Vancouver, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 3d | 6 | 1.49mi |
| 10300 NE 61st Cir Unit 10315 Vancouver, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1486 | $2,495 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2025-09-10price $145,000 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Discover this charming and beautifully maintained 2 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with an attached shop/storage space complete with electricity and built-in shelving—perfect for hobbies, storage, or a workshop! Nestled in the desirable Sifton neighborhood near vibrant Fourth Plain Blvd, you're just minutes from I-205, shopping, dining, and more. Inside, enjoy soaring vaulted ceilings, a light-filled kitchen with stainless steel appliances and a skylight, and a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath.
-
2025-07-23price $155,000 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Discover this charming and beautifully maintained 2 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with an attached shop/storage space complete with electricity and built-in shelving—perfect for hobbies, storage, or a workshop! Nestled in the desirable Sifton neighborhood near vibrant Fourth Plain Blvd, you're just minutes from I-205, shopping, dining, and more. Inside, enjoy soaring vaulted ceilings, a light-filled kitchen with stainless steel appliances and a skylight, and a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath.
-
2025-06-05$165,000 Active 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Discover this charming and beautifully maintained 2 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with an attached shop/storage space complete with electricity and built-in shelving—perfect for hobbies, storage, or a workshop! Nestled in the desirable Sifton neighborhood near vibrant Fourth Plain Blvd, you're just minutes from I-205, shopping, dining, and more. Inside, enjoy soaring vaulted ceilings, a light-filled kitchen with stainless steel appliances and a skylight, and a spacious primary suite with a walk-in closet and private bath.
-
2023-12-12soldstatus $150,000 Closed 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
Lovely And Move-In Ready In A Nice Park Setting! This Home Is Bright And Inviting With Open Concept Living. The Kitchen Includes Free Standing Range, Built-In Dishwasher, Refrigerator And An Abundance Of Cabinetry. Primary Has Shower And Walk-In Closet. Also Includes An Office Area With Built-In Desk And Laundry Room With Built-Ins. Attached Shop/Storage Unit With Electricity And Shelving. This Is A Must See!
-
2023-11-11status Pending 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
Lovely And Move-In Ready In A Nice Park Setting! This Home Is Bright And Inviting With Open Concept Living. The Kitchen Includes Free Standing Range, Built-In Dishwasher, Refrigerator And An Abundance Of Cabinetry. Primary Has Shower And Walk-In Closet. Also Includes An Office Area With Built-In Desk And Laundry Room With Built-Ins. Attached Shop/Storage Unit With Electricity And Shelving. This Is A Must See!
-
2023-10-23$150,000 Active 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
Lovely And Move-In Ready In A Nice Park Setting! This Home Is Bright And Inviting With Open Concept Living. The Kitchen Includes Free Standing Range, Built-In Dishwasher, Refrigerator And An Abundance Of Cabinetry. Primary Has Shower And Walk-In Closet. Also Includes An Office Area With Built-In Desk And Laundry Room With Built-Ins. Attached Shop/Storage Unit With Electricity And Shelving. This Is A Must See!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $309 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,421 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,112/yr (+$93/mo · 359.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$309
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,858
- − Management
- −$1,858
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $6,132
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,472
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen School District (Clark)
- NCES district ID
- 5302700
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,418
- Composite
- 42.53/100
- National rank
- #6859
- State rank
- #164 of 291 in WA
Livability — Vancouver
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #1133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vancouver, WA
- County
- Clark County · 513,189 people
- City population
- 360,195
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,305
- Household income
- $99,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1618.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 529,610 people
- By 2030
- 563,242 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 625,905 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 681,558 · +28.7%
- By 2075
- 805,967 · +52.2%
- By 2100
- 877,450 · +65.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 6% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 52.1% · R 45.1% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.9pp no change · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+0.1 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.95%
- Current HPI
- 307.0529
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-3.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $145,000 RMLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $155,000 RMLS
- 2025-06-05 Listed $165,000 RMLS
- 2023-12-12 Sold (MLS) $150,000 RMLS
- 2023-11-11 Pending — RMLS
- 2023-10-23 Listed $150,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $309 · +57.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…