18 Burdick Ave · Edmeston, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.9/30.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Single wide with add ons on a wonderful lot wait your touches. Some tlc needed. Nice large back yard on a quite street. Kitchen, living room and dining room have been redone. Nice detached garage w/ storage add on.
Key facts
- Huge second story
- Stunning barn garage
- Enclosed front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with electricity, storage and workshop space; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Septic tank
- Home design: Two-story existing home; Rectangular lot (66 x 182)
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Architectural, shingle, slate and tile roof elements
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Porch; Enclosed porch; Barn(s); Outbuilding
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Pantry
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Bedroom on main level; Workshop; Full basement; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-161 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (14.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (27.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#563 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Edmeston Central School District (rural): math 60% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #312 of 755 in NY (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
- Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $200k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.46%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,968
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -4.29%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 East St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,873 (+8%) | 11mo | $95,000 | $51 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $68,167
- Equity at exit
- $147,772
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $205,283
- Equity at exit
- $289,432
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13335
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $-161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-48 | -5% $-105 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-218 | +10% $-274 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-275 | -5% $-218 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-47 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-61 | -0.5pp $-110 | base $-161 | +0.5pp $-213 | +1.0pp $-266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $200,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $200,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $200,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$225,000 Active 863-char remark
-
2007-12-10soldstatus $46,500 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Single wide with add ons on a wonderful lot wait your touches. Some tlc needed. Nice large back yard on a quite street. Kitchen, living room and dining room have been redone. Nice detached garage w/ storage add on.
-
2007-08-29$65,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Single wide with add ons on a wonderful lot wait your touches. Some tlc needed. Nice large back yard on a quite street. Kitchen, living room and dining room have been redone. Nice detached garage w/ storage add on.
-
2005-04-27soldstatus $83,000
-
2002-11-13soldstatus $50,000
-
1996-05-20soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,025 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,703 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$677/yr (+$56/mo · 33.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,311
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,385
- − Management
- −$1,385
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$5,505
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,321
- After-tax cash flow
- $-614/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edmeston Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610260
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,683
- Composite
- 50.98/100
- National rank
- #3834
- State rank
- #312 of 755 in NY
Livability — Edmeston
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #563
- US rank
- #10096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edmeston, NY
- City population
- 1,388
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,388
Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,987 people
- By 2030
- 55,403 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 50,336 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 45,715 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 38,769 · -33.1%
- By 2100
- 33,468 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Romanian 3% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · German/W. Germanic 15% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otsego
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 46.1% · R 53.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.69%
- Current HPI
- 316.8229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $200,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $225,000 UNYREIS
- 2007-12-10 Sold (MLS) $46,500 UNYREIS
- 2007-08-29 Listed $65,000 UNYREIS
- 2005-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2002-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,025 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…