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18 Burdick Ave
D+ Composite 45.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$200,000

18 Burdick Ave · Edmeston, NY 13335
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1900 0.29 ac lot $116/sqft · at area comps Est $209k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Single wide with add ons on a wonderful lot wait your touches. Some tlc needed. Nice large back yard on a quite street. Kitchen, living room and dining room have been redone. Nice detached garage w/ storage add on.

Key facts

  • Huge second story
  • Stunning barn garage
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

ORIGINAL BUILT IN PANTRYENCLOSED FRONT PORCHCOMPLETELY RENOVATED SPACESTUNNING BARN GARAGEHUGE SECOND STORY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with electricity, storage and workshop space; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Septic tank
  • Home design: Two-story existing home; Rectangular lot (66 x 182)
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Architectural, shingle, slate and tile roof elements
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Porch; Enclosed porch; Barn(s); Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Pantry; Bedroom on main level; Workshop; Full basement; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Tankless water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-161 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (14.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (27.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $144k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#563 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Edmeston Central School District (rural): math 60% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #312 of 755 in NY (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
  • Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $200k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,261 (27.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.46%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$208,968
List price
$200,000
Delta
-4.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24 East St 0.46mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,873 (+8%) 11mo $95,000 $51 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$68,167
Equity at exit
$147,772
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
4.67×
Total profit
$205,283
Equity at exit
$289,432

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13335

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,443 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$-161

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,647
Max offer price $171,513
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-48 -5% $-105 +0% $-161 +5% $-218 +10% $-274
Rent -10% $-275 -5% $-218 +0% $-161 +5% $-104 +10% $-47
Rate -1.0pp $-61 -0.5pp $-110 base $-161 +0.5pp $-213 +1.0pp $-266

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $200,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $200,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $200,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $225,000 Active 863-char remark
  18. 2007-12-10
    soldstatus $46,500 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Single wide with add ons on a wonderful lot wait your touches. Some tlc needed. Nice large back yard on a quite street. Kitchen, living room and dining room have been redone. Nice detached garage w/ storage add on.

  19. 2007-08-29
    listed $65,000 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    Single wide with add ons on a wonderful lot wait your touches. Some tlc needed. Nice large back yard on a quite street. Kitchen, living room and dining room have been redone. Nice detached garage w/ storage add on.

  20. 2005-04-27
    soldstatus $83,000
  21. 2002-11-13
    soldstatus $50,000
  22. 1996-05-20
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,025 · $169/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,703 · $225/mo
Expected delta
+$677/yr (+$56/mo · 33.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,311
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,385
− Management
−$1,385
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$5,505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,321
After-tax cash flow
$-614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edmeston Central School District
NCES district ID
3610260
Math proficiency
60% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$52,683
Composite
50.98/100
National rank
#3834
State rank
#312 of 755 in NY

Livability — Edmeston

Score
68/100
State rank
#563
US rank
#10096

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edmeston, NY
City population
1,388
Population (ZIP)
1,388

Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,987 people
By 2030
55,403 · -4.5%
By 2040
50,336 · -13.2%
By 2050
45,715 · -21.2%
By 2075
38,769 · -33.1%
By 2100
33,468 · -42.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Romanian 3% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
84% English-only · German/W. Germanic 15% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otsego

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 46.1% · R 53.9%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.69%
Current HPI
316.8229
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $200,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $225,000 UNYREIS
  • 2007-12-10 Sold (MLS) $46,500 UNYREIS
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $65,000 UNYREIS
  • 2005-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2002-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,025 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…