2839 W Kings Hwy Unit W · Prescott Valley, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-Bedroom Home on owned land with Bonus Space. Prime Location close to shopping, hospitals, schools, and parks! Charming 3-Bedroom Home with Bonus Space and Prime Location! This inviting 1982 single-wide with a thoughtful addition offers three bedrooms, two bathrooms , plustwo additional potential bedrooms for flexible living. Enjoy an open living and dining area filled with natural light, ample cabinetry for storage, a dedicated laundry room , and a convenient home office workspace . Step outside to a covered shaded porch perfect for relaxing, surrounded by mature shade trees in both the front and backyard.
Key facts
- Rv parking
- Covered shaded porch
- Mature shade trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.0% in Prescott Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Traditional School (math 56% / reading 53%, grade C, #208 of 1,109 statewide, top 19%, 785 students, 39% FRL); Glassford Hill Middle School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #122 of 218 statewide, top 57%, 398 students, 49% FRL); Bradshaw Mountain High School (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #222 of 381 statewide, top 59%, 1,697 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 638 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.98%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $312,614
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -55.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2951 N Kings Hwy | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+5%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $208 | 84 |
| 2880 N Cedar Springs Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (+3%) | 3mo | $440,000 | $296 | 83 |
| 2890 N Indian Wells Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,315 (-9%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $289 | 71 |
| 2929 N Queen St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $260 | 71 |
| 3461 N Tower Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $229 | 67 |
| 3133 N Queen St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+9%) | 4mo | $353,000 | $225 | 67 |
| 2780 N Date Creek Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (-12%) | 10mo | $365,000 | $288 | 66 |
| 3170 N Kings Hwy E | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 11mo | $330,000 | $246 | 64 |
| 3055 N Cedar Springs Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,279 (-11%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $289 | 61 |
| 3050 N Lynx Lake Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (+5%) | 0mo | $455,000 | $301 | 58 |
| 3475 N Castle Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,306 (-9%) | 0mo | $387,900 | $297 | 53 |
| 3098 N Starlight Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,268 (-12%) | 12mo | $365,000 | $288 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $8,817
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $38,093
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 18 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.7 mo (37%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $399,000 ($271/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 52 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -19.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86314
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 638
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,927 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $555
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $651 | -5% $603 | +0% $555 | +5% $506 | +10% $458 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $479 | +0% $555 | +5% $631 | +10% $707 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $625 | -0.5pp $590 | base $555 | +0.5pp $518 | +1.0pp $482 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2868 N Superstition Ln Unit 2 Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,575 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2809 N Superstition Ln Apt D Prescott Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,600 | $1.58 | 139d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2809 N Superstition Ln Apt A Prescott Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1013 | $1,495 | $1.48 | 109d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2890 N Superstition Ln Unit 2 Prescott Valley, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,019 | $0.61 | 6d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5805 Market St Prescott Valley, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $2,148 | $2.12 | 6d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5700 Market St Prescott Valley, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $1,952 | $2.09 | 0d | 9 | 0.44mi |
| 1841 E Mulberry Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1812 | $2,425 | $1.34 | 6d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3128 N Main St Prescott Valley, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $2,270 | $2.17 | 0d | 53 | 1.18mi |
| 3131 N Main St Prescott Valley, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $2,100 | $2.23 | 3d | 21 | 1.30mi |
| 7025 E Lynx Wagon Rd Prescott Valley, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1889 N Emerald Dr Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 139d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5270 Diamond Dr Unit B Prescott, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,815 | $1.24 | 6d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Zoning: R1-01Lot about 0.2 acre (owner source)Road responsibility: CountyRoad frontage: County road with paved surface
- HOA & community
- Not a senior communitySubdivision: Castle Canyon Mesa
Exterior
- Parking
- RV garage/parking featuresDriveway parking (circular, dirt, gravel)
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterSeptic (WWT - septic conventional)Electricity available (220 volts)Natural gas availableUnderground utilitiesNatural gas water heater
- Home design
- Manufactured home (single wide)Single-story
- Construction
- Steel frame constructionRolled/hot mop and rubber roofingPiers foundationBuilt area approximately 1,440
- Exterior features
- Covered patio/porchCircular, dirt and gravel drivewayFront landscapingLevel entryNative vegetation (Juniper/Pinon)Shed(s)RV parking available
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeMicrowaveOvenRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 5 possible bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 three-quarter)
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heatingWall furnaceEvaporative cooling
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchen with kit/din comboLaminate countersLiving all on one levelMaster bedroom on the main levelWalk-in closet(s)Handicap access - exteriorLaundry/washer-dryer connectionOfficeWorkshopSmoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry roomWasher/dryer connection
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $140,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-18$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,123
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,850
- − Management
- −$1,850
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $4,708
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,130
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This single-wide mobile home requires extensive repairs and updates to improve its condition and increase its resale or rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed ceiling — Structural damage and safety hazard.
- Major Missing cabinets — Aesthetics and functionality compromised.
- Major Weathered siding — Structural integrity and appearance compromised.
- Major Overgrown landscaping — Safety and aesthetics compromised.
- Major Porch railings — Safety hazard and aesthetics compromised.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting and updating the kitchen and bathrooms — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — Improves living space and adds value. ↑
- Resale Cabinet installation — Enhances storage and functionality. ↑
- Resale Landscaping maintenance — Improves curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Resale Porch railings replacement — Enhances safety and aesthetics. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Humboldt Unified District (4469)
- NCES district ID
- 0403870
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,326
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6605
- State rank
- #94 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott Valley
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #16160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Yavapai County · 241,389 people
- City population
- 63,155
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,317
- Household income
- $69,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.27%
- Current HPI
- 370.04
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.97%
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…