2391 Shattuck Rd · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 2391 Shattuck Rd. This charming ranch offers a main floor with 3 spacious bedrooms, hardwood floors throughout, a cozy living room fireplace, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The full basement is perfect for a family room, plenty of storage, and extra room for a gym.
Key facts
- Plenty of storage
- Full basement
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the GRAND PARK subdivision; Zoned residential; Cross streets: Barnard / Porlas Pl
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached assigned garage (1.5-car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built with block basement
- Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access; Lot roughly 96 x 150 (0.33 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Living room fireplace; Basement with block foundation
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Saginaw Township Community Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #265 of 540 in MI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sherwood Elementary School (565 students, 71% FRL); White Pine Middle School (math 24% / reading 47%, grade F, #278 of 493 statewide, top 57%, 940 students, 58% FRL); Heritage High School (math 33% / reading 58%, grade D-, #210 of 713 statewide, top 29%, 1,396 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 36% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.08%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,652
- List price
- $164,900
- Delta
- -2.80%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2391 Shattuck Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,114 (0%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $144 | 100 |
| 2355 Plainview Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-4%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $160 | 85 |
| 2241 Moonglow Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+8%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $188 | 71 |
| 3120 Barnard Rd | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+12%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $140 | 63 |
| 2512 WITTERS St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,095 (-2%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $100 | 61 |
| 2955 Eddy St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,107 (-1%) | 6mo | $75,200 | $68 | 59 |
| 2454 Durand St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (+2%) | 2mo | $33,500 | $29 | 58 |
| 723 Pioneer Trl | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (+7%) | 2mo | $109,000 | $91 | 56 |
| 626 Stoker Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (-9%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 3035 Schaeffer St | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,186 (+6%) | 6mo | $78,500 | $66 | 49 |
| 2450 N Mason St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,043 (-6%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $96 | 48 |
| 2513 Barnard St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 966 (-13%) | 3mo | $41,000 | $42 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-9,493
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $37,339
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48603
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,469 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $837/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $250 | -5% $204 | +0% $157 | +5% $110 | +10% $64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $99 | +0% $157 | +5% $215 | +10% $273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $240 | -0.5pp $199 | base $157 | +0.5pp $114 | +1.0pp $71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4070 Green Isle Way Saginaw, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 45d | 15 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Welcome to 2391 Shattuck Rd. This charming ranch offers a main floor with 3 spacious bedrooms, hardwood floors throughout, a cozy living room fireplace, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The full basement is perfect for a family room, plenty of storage, and extra room for a gym.
-
2026-05-10status Pending 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Welcome to 2391 Shattuck Rd. This charming ranch offers a main floor with 3 spacious bedrooms, hardwood floors throughout, a cozy living room fireplace, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The full basement is perfect for a family room, plenty of storage, and extra room for a gym.
-
2026-04-28$164,900 Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Welcome to 2391 Shattuck Rd. This charming ranch offers a main floor with 3 spacious bedrooms, hardwood floors throughout, a cozy living room fireplace, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The full basement is perfect for a family room, plenty of storage, and extra room for a gym.
-
2026-04-28$164,900 Active 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Welcome to 2391 Shattuck Rd. This charming ranch offers a main floor with 3 spacious bedrooms, hardwood floors throughout, a cozy living room fireplace, and an updated kitchen and bathroom. The full basement is perfect for a family room, plenty of storage, and extra room for a gym.
-
2016-09-15soldstatus $80,000
-
2016-08-29soldstatus $80,000
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Looking for that affordable, perfect home with all the updates? Here it is! Beautifully remodeled home! 3 bedroom, 1 bath, Stunning kitchen with new cabinets, new counter tops, new stainless steel appliances and new flooring! Updated bathroom, Beautiful re-finished hardwood floors in the Living room & bedrooms, large clean basement -could be used for a family room-playroom and or home gym. Basement also features an ever-dry system, New furnace June 2016, New Hot water Heater July 2016, updated wiring 2015, new steel doors, New front porch, 1 car garage, Backyard-beautiful park like setting that is private and treed, shed for additional storage. This home is move in ready, a must see. Call for your showing today!
-
2016-08-29soldstatus $80,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Looking for that affordable, perfect home with all the updates? Here it is! Beautifully remodeled home! 3 bedroom, 1 bath, Stunning kitchen with new cabinets, new counter tops, new stainless steel appliances and new flooring! Updated bathroom, Beautiful re-finished hardwood floors in the Living room & bedrooms, large clean basement -could be used for a family room-playroom and or home gym. Basement also features an ever-dry system, New furnace June 2016, New Hot water Heater July 2016, updated wiring 2015, new steel doors, New front porch, 1 car garage, Backyard-beautiful park like setting that is private and treed, shed for additional storage. This home is move in ready, a must see. Call for your showing today!
-
2016-07-25status Pending
-
2016-07-11$83,900 Active
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Looking for that affordable, perfect home with all the updates? Here it is! Beautifully remodeled home! 3 bedroom, 1 bath, Stunning kitchen with new cabinets, new counter tops, new stainless steel appliances and new flooring! Updated bathroom, Beautiful re-finished hardwood floors in the Living room & bedrooms, large clean basement -could be used for a family room-playroom and or home gym. Basement also features an ever-dry system, New furnace June 2016, New Hot water Heater July 2016, updated wiring 2015, new steel doors, New front porch, 1 car garage, Backyard-beautiful park like setting that is private and treed, shed for additional storage. This home is move in ready, a must see. Call for your showing today!
-
2016-07-11$83,900
Show marketing remark (727 chars)
Looking for that affordable, perfect home with all the updates? Here it is! Beautifully remodeled home! 3 bedroom, 1 bath, Stunning kitchen with new cabinets, new counter tops, new stainless steel appliances and new flooring! Updated bathroom, Beautiful re-finished hardwood floors in the Living room & bedrooms, large clean basement -could be used for a family room-playroom and or home gym. Basement also features an ever-dry system, New furnace June 2016, New Hot water Heater July 2016, updated wiring 2015, new steel doors, New front porch, 1 car garage, Backyard-beautiful park like setting that is private and treed, shed for additional storage. This home is move in ready, a must see. Call for your showing today!
-
2016-06-03soldstatus $37,500
-
2016-06-03soldstatus $37,500 Closed
-
2016-05-27status Pending
-
2016-05-16$45,000 Active
-
2016-05-16$45,000
-
2016-05-16historical
-
2016-05-11historical
-
2016-04-21$47,500 Active
-
2016-04-20status Active
-
2016-03-24historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
-
2016-02-15$47,500 Active
-
2016-02-06historical
-
2016-02-06historical
-
2016-01-07$47,500 Active
-
2015-08-05$47,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $837 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,688 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$851/yr (+$71/mo · 101.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$837
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,410
- − Management
- −$1,410
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$892
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$214
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,098/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw Township Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630450
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,971
- Composite
- 31.01/100
- National rank
- #6094
- State rank
- #265 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,757
- Household income
- $66,352
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1106.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.35%
- Current HPI
- 152.7507
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.71%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+236.8% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $160,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $164,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-28 Listed $164,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-29 Sold (MLS) $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-11 Listed $83,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-11 Listed $83,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-03 Sold (MLS) $37,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-03 Sold (MLS) $37,500 REALCOMP
- 2016-05-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-16 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-16 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-05-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-04-21 Listed $47,500 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-20 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-24 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-02-15 Listed $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-02-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-02-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-01-07 Listed $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-08-05 Listed $47,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $837 · -50.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…