1013 W College Ave · Blackwell, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offers approximately 1,413 square feet of living space and sits on a generous lot in Blackwell. The property will be sold as-is and does need some TLC, making it a solid opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a project.
Key facts
- Kitchen with stove
- Dining area
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Detached 1-car garage; Total 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Storm door(s); Fencing (unspecified type); Shed(s); Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window coverings; Storm windows
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 39.2% vs local median 11.5% in Blackwell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#385 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
- Blackwell (town): math 27% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #116 of 270 in OK (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Kay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.8%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $696 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kay County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $25k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 117.62%
- DSCR
- 6.23
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $16,956
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1013 W College Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,413 (0%) | 8mo | $9,000 | $6 | 89 |
| 805 W Mckinley | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,434 (+2%) | 1mo | $15,000 | $10 | 74 |
| 1002 S 9th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,328 (-6%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $45 | 69 |
| 737 Doolin Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,460 (+3%) | 4mo | $18,000 | $12 | 52 |
| 1305 S 10th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,501 (+6%) | 16mo | $181,000 | $121 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.70×
- Total profit
- $39,886
- Equity at exit
- $3,968
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.03×
- Total profit
- $91,244
- Equity at exit
- $2,576
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74631
- Home prices YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $287/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $700 | -5% $693 | +0% $686 | +5% $679 | +10% $672 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $601 | -5% $644 | +0% $686 | +5% $729 | +10% $771 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $699 | -0.5pp $692 | base $686 | +0.5pp $680 | +1.0pp $673 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $25,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $25,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 463-char remark
-
2026-06-08$25,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $287 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $287 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,935
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$287
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,035
- − Management
- −$1,035
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $8,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,998
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blackwell
- NCES district ID
- 4004630
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,923
- Composite
- 20.93/100
- National rank
- #8480
- State rank
- #116 of 270 in OK
Livability — Blackwell
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #385
- US rank
- #20038
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blackwell, OK
- City population
- 6,795
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,795
Population outlook (Kay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,389 people
- By 2030
- 42,222 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 40,108 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 38,231 · -11.9%
- By 2075
- 34,119 · -21.4%
- By 2100
- 28,526 · -34.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Kay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.4) · D 24.4% · R 73.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: -41.6pp · 2024: -49.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.4 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+41.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.78%
- Current HPI
- 183.6342
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+67.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $25,000 NCBOR
- 2025-10-29 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MLSOK
- 2025-10-16 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-10-11 Price Changed $8,999 MLSOK
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2025-10-03 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $9,999 MLSOK
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $12,999 MLSOK
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $13,499 MLSOK
- 2025-09-13 Listed $14,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $287 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…