30 Hartsdale Ave E Unit 2J · Greenville, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$369,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Absolute Showplace!!! Gracious EF/Huge LR/FDR/New Kitchen/MBR/New Master Bath/Terrace, 2nd LG BR, New Hall Bath. Nothing to do but place your furnishings.
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Garage
- Built 1952
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $370k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-439 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $370k).
- Recommended offer: $358k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.1% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#713 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Greenburgh Central School District (suburban): math 51% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #267 of 590 in NY (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Highview School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 246 students, 0% FRL); Woodlands Middle/High School (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #887 of 1,100 statewide, top 82%, 681 students, 66% FRL).
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($358k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $310k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 28% of rent; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.32%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-86,971
- Equity at exit
- $55,094
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-108,234
- Equity at exit
- $31,948
Cash invested: $103,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10530
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,316 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,938
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$462 /mo · $5,542/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,229
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$906
- Net cashflow
- $-439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-184 | -5% $-311 | +0% $-439 | +5% $-567 | +10% $-694 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-780 | -5% $-609 | +0% $-439 | +5% $-268 | +10% $-98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-253 | -0.5pp $-345 | base $-439 | +0.5pp $-535 | +1.0pp $-632 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,375
- Closing costs
- $11,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 E Hartsdale Ave Hartsdale, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,895 | $3.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 250 S Central Ave Apt 4A Hartsdale, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $4,350 | $3.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 250 S Central Ave Apt 3I Hartsdale, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $4,350 | $4.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 250 Central Park Ave Unit 5I Hartsdale, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $4,550 | $4.55 | 18d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 250 S Central Ave Hartsdale, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $5,500 | $5.07 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 15 Homewood Rd Hartsdale, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $7,000 | $3.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 330 Central Park Ave Apt F8 Scarsdale, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,700 | $3.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9 Ridgeview Ave White Plains, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $3,500 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 500 Central Park Ave Scarsdale, NY | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1231 | $4,425 | $3.59 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 400 High Point Dr Unit 206 Hartsdale, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $3,300 | $3.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 57 Bank St Unit 1040035P White Plains, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 726 | $9,348 | $12.88 | 3d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 55 Bank St White Plains, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $5,418 | $6.66 | 0d | 23 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-02-19$369,500 Active
-
2014-03-15price $310,000 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Absolute Showplace!!! Gracious EF/Huge LR/FDR/New Kitchen/MBR/New Master Bath/Terrace, 2nd LG BR, New Hall Bath. Nothing to do but place your furnishings.
-
2008-12-04historical 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Absolute Showplace!!! Gracious EF/Huge LR/FDR/New Kitchen/MBR/New Master Bath/Terrace, 2nd LG BR, New Hall Bath. Nothing to do but place your furnishings.
-
2008-12-04soldstatus $310,000 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Absolute Showplace!!! Gracious EF/Huge LR/FDR/New Kitchen/MBR/New Master Bath/Terrace, 2nd LG BR, New Hall Bath. Nothing to do but place your furnishings.
-
2008-10-28price $319,900 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Absolute Showplace!!! Gracious EF/Huge LR/FDR/New Kitchen/MBR/New Master Bath/Terrace, 2nd LG BR, New Hall Bath. Nothing to do but place your furnishings.
-
2008-07-17$319,900 155-char remark
Show marketing remark (155 chars)
Absolute Showplace!!! Gracious EF/Huge LR/FDR/New Kitchen/MBR/New Master Bath/Terrace, 2nd LG BR, New Hall Bath. Nothing to do but place your furnishings.
-
2003-01-10soldstatus $197,000 47-char remark
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Must See Walk To All New Kitchen Mint Condition
-
2002-08-16price $210,000 47-char remark
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Must See Walk To All New Kitchen Mint Condition
-
2002-08-16historical 47-char remark
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Must See Walk To All New Kitchen Mint Condition
-
2002-07-19$197,000 47-char remark
Show marketing remark (47 chars)
Must See Walk To All New Kitchen Mint Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,798
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,698
- − Property taxes
- −$5,542
- − Insurance
- −$2,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,144
- − Management
- −$4,144
- − HOA
- −$14,748
- − Depreciation
- −$10,749
- Taxable loss
- −$10,872
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,609
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,658/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenburgh Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612720
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $93,626
- Composite
- 49.43/100
- National rank
- #2005
- State rank
- #267 of 590 in NY
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #713
- US rank
- #13570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, NY
- City population
- 3,648
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,955
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 10% Two or more races 9% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 5% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -616.16%
- Current HPI
- 320.7324
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+87.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Listed $369,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-15 Price Changed $310,000 HGMLS
- 2008-12-04 Sold (MLS) $310,000 HGMLS
- 2008-12-04 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2008-10-28 Price Changed $319,900 HGMLS
- 2008-07-17 Listed $319,900 HGMLS
- 2003-01-10 Sold (MLS) $197,000 HGMLS
- 2002-08-16 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2002-08-16 Price Changed $210,000 HGMLS
- 2002-07-19 Listed $197,000 HGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…