Multi-family
1152 Treat Ave · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 78°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,595,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic opportunity in the heart of the Mission. Four 2 bedroom 1 bath units with great long term tenants. Keep as an investment, or move in one and have income from the other 3. Close proximity to SF's famous 24th Street with shops, dining, and restaurants all within walking distance.
Key facts
- 2,813 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1890
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Tenant-responsible utilities: electric and gas
- Financial info: Annual rental income approximately $93,353; Annual gross income approximately $93,353; Gross scheduled income approximately $93,353; Total expenses approximately $15,868; Utility expenses included in expenses total; Gross rent multiplier about 17.09; Individual unit rents: ~$2,693 (4-bed), ~$2,590 (2-bed), ~$1,036 (2-bed), ~$1,398 (2-bed)
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Separate electric meters; Separate gas meters; Public utilities
- Home design: Two-story buildings; Individually owned property
- Construction: Brick/mortar perimeter foundation; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Tar and gravel roof; Two buildings on the property; Lot zoned RH2
Interior
- Kitchen: Individual kitchens in each unit (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: One 4-bedroom unit; Three 2-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Each unit has one full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Four-unit building layout
- Laundry & utility: Tenant pays individual electric and gas utilities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 10-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.59M. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($41k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.59M).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Chavez (Cesar) Elementary (423 students, 72% FRL); O'Connell (John) High (506 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 49% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $18,246/mo this rent would consume 138% of the median local household income ($158k/yr) (locally 2732% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $447k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.11%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $2,653,200
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2773-2777 Bryant St | 0.28mi | 9/1.0 (-1) | 3,540 (-2%) | 10mo | $935,000 | $264 | 59 |
| 3779-3781 25th St | 0.63mi | 9/3.0 (-1) | 3,100 (-14%) | 7mo | $2,285,000 | $737 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $54,259
- Equity at exit
- $237,820
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $765,395
- Equity at exit
- $137,906
Cash invested: $446,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94110
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 29.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,246 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$8,364
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,994 /mo · $23,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$665
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,832
- Net cashflow
- $3,392
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,494 | -5% $3,943 | +0% $3,392 | +5% $2,841 | +10% $2,289 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,950 | -5% $2,671 | +0% $3,392 | +5% $4,112 | +10% $4,833 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,195 | -0.5pp $3,797 | base $3,392 | +0.5pp $2,978 | +1.0pp $2,558 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $18,248 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $4,562 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $4,562 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $4,562 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $4,562 |
| Total (4 units) | $18,246 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $398,750
- Closing costs
- $47,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,595,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $1,595,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,595,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$1,595,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in the heart of the Mission. Four 2 bedroom 1 bath units with great long term tenants. Keep as an investment, or move in one and have income from the other 3. Close proximity to SF's famous 24th Street with shops, dining, and restaurants all within walking distance.
-
2026-05-19$1,595,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in the heart of the Mission. Four 2 bedroom 1 bath units with great long term tenants. Keep as an investment, or move in one and have income from the other 3. Close proximity to SF's famous 24th Street with shops, dining, and restaurants all within walking distance.
-
2026-01-19historical
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2025-12-06price
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2025-10-16Active
-
2025-08-18historical
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2025-07-12price
-
2025-06-12price
-
2025-05-04price
-
2025-03-04Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥78°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $218,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$89,345
- − Property taxes
- −$23,925
- − Insurance
- −$7,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$17,516
- − Management
- −$17,516
- − Depreciation
- −$46,400
- Taxable income
- $16,275
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,906
- After-tax cash flow
- $36,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
The property shows average exterior condition with some light wear. Painting and landscaping improvements would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Painting — Light wear on siding
- Minor Landscaping — Some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Painting · Light wear on siding | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,865
- Household income
- $158,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2732.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Asian 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1385.62%
- Current HPI
- 267.2424
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.54%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $1,595,000 MLSListings
- 2026-05-19 Listed $1,595,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-10-16 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-08-18 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-07-12 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-05-04 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2025-03-04 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…