77088 Lauppe Ln · Citrus Heights, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 36 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in the highly desirable Oak Grove Estates senior community! Thoughtfully refreshed inside and out, this move-in-ready home offers comfort, style, and easy living. Recent upgrades include fresh interior and exterior paint (including the shed), laminate flooring, new bedroom carpet, updated cabinet doors throughout, brushed-nickel hardware, new door handles, reglazed countertops and sinks, and new drawers in the kitchen, bathrooms, and the built-in hutch. The kitchen shines with LED lighting, a stainless gas stove, dishwasher, and hood above the stove. Additional improvements include updated faucets, new floor registers, and 3 new
Key facts
- New floor registers
- Reglazed countertops
- Led lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Hwy 80 to west on Antelope, right on Lauppe Ln, left into park, left at the dead end, home is the last home on the right
- Financial info: Land lease: No (land lease amount listed separately)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered parking; no garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide) located in a park; Built in 1970
- Construction: Fuqua manufactured home; Aluminum skirting; Elastomeric roof; Built in 1970
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Elastomeric roof; Aluminum skirting
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Unfurnished; Living room with flexible/other features; Dining and family area combined; Laminate kitchen countertops; Shower stall(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other); 220V outlet in laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 3.4% in Citrus Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#614 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- San Juan Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #138 of 517 in CA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.75%
- DSCR
- 3.48
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,157
- List price
- $79,999
- Delta
- 2.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77028 Lauppe Ln | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+8%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $71 | 75 |
| 77132 Lauppe Ln #132 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 991 (-4%) | 19mo | $150,000 | $151 | 66 |
| 77094 Lauppe Ln | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 940 (-9%) | 8mo | $77,500 | $82 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $51,141
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 57.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.41×
- Total profit
- $121,142
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95621
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,017 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $1,041
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,096 | -5% $1,068 | +0% $1,041 | +5% $1,013 | +10% $985 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $881 | -5% $961 | +0% $1,041 | +5% $1,120 | +10% $1,200 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,081 | -0.5pp $1,061 | base $1,041 | +0.5pp $1,020 | +1.0pp $999 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7437 Antelope Rd Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1287 | $2,550 | $1.98 | 5d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7541 Ramona Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $2,295 | $2.74 | 3d | 9 | 0.60mi |
| 7658 Poppy Way Unit 7658 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7658 Poppy Way Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,785 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7727 Mariposa Ave Unit 5 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,795 | $2.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7434 Auburn Oaks Ct Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,875 | $2.37 | 24d | 4 | 0.75mi |
| 7434 Auburn Oaks Ct Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,975 | $2.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7445 Auburn Oaks Ct Unit K Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $1,695 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7445 Auburn Oaks Ct Unit K Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $1,700 | $1.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7139 Baranga Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1162 | $2,500 | $2.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7135 Cobalt Way Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7323 Chivalry Way Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,095 | $1.87 | 11d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7603 Linden Ave Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $1,900 | $1.92 | 18d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7915 Zenith Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,895 | $1.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7120 Van Maren Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,495 | $1.93 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7827 Zenith Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7840 Antelope Rd Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $1,675 | $1.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6413 Tupelo Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,000 | $2.58 | 2d | 10 | 1.15mi |
| 6841 Castleberry Cir Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $2,300 | $1.98 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7849 Sunrise Blvd Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 842 | $1,800 | $2.14 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7856 Old Auburn Rd Apt 8 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7311 Huntington Square Ln Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,955 | $2.01 | 2d | 5 | 1.18mi |
| 7441 Tiara Way Unit A Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,295 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7761 Pompei Ct Unit 7763 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,705 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7444 Tiara Way Unit D Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7429 Sunrise Blvd Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1319 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7885 Vista Ridge Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $2,000 | $2.36 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7885 Vistaridge Dr Unit 1 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $2,000 | $2.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7887 Vistaridge Dr Unit 1 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,950 | $2.30 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7887 Vistaridge Dr Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,950 | $2.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7522 Sunrise Blvd Unit 210 Citrus Heights, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,725 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6635 Sylvan Rd Citrus Heights, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $2,120 | $2.45 | 8d | 8 | 1.36mi |
| 8237 Sunrise Blvd Citrus Heights, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,095 | $2.00 | 8d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1000 Cirby Oaks Way Roseville, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,955 | $2.79 | 2d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 3 Somer Ridge Dr Roseville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $2,270 | $2.50 | 2d | 6 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $79,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $89,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,206
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,936
- − Management
- −$1,936
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $11,924
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,862
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Juan Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634620
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,655
- Composite
- 44.07/100
- National rank
- #2878
- State rank
- #138 of 517 in CA
Livability — Citrus Heights
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #614
- US rank
- #19580
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Citrus Heights, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 89,370
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,442
- Household income
- $80,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1854.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Asian 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -408.14%
- Current HPI
- 351.9333
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $108 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…