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302 S Walnut St
B- Composite 67.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

302 S Walnut St · Kewanee, IL 61443
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1921 3,713 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable living or great investment opportunity! This home features a nice sized kitchen w/ corner China cabinet, laundry hook-ups & plenty of room for cooking! The spacious living room & formal dining room complete the main floor. The second floor offers a bedroom, full bath, and a large landing that could serve as a potential second bedroom, home office, or sitting area! Outside, you'll find a smaller, easy to maintain yard, perfect for those seeking low maintenance living! Whether you're looking for your first home, downsizing, or adding to your investment portfolio, this property offers plenty of potential & value!

Key facts

  • Large landing
  • Formal dining room
  • Laundry hook-ups

Tags

NICE SIZED KITCHENLAUNDRY HOOK-UPSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMLARGE LANDINGEASY TO MAINTAIN YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Home is over 100 years old
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding and slate exterior materials; Brick/mortar foundation; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 24.75 x 150

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (11 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second level (9 x 11); Additional bedroom; Additional bedroom; Office on second level (11 x 12)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room and dining room; Carpet in bedrooms and office; Linoleum in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $35k).
  • Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 8.7% in Kewanee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Kewanee CUSD 229 (town): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #540 of 620 in IL (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
19.85%
Cash-on-cash
48.43%
DSCR
3.15
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,792
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
414 E Oak St 0.05mi 2/1.0 912 (+3%) 8mo $80,000 $88 86
414 E Oak St 0.05mi 2/1.0 912 (+3%) 8mo $80,000 $88 86
716 Morton Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 912 (+3%) 2mo $94,000 $103 76
518 E Division St 0.43mi 2/1.0 875 (-1%) 12mo $88,000 $101 68
518 E Division St 0.43mi 2/1.0 875 (-1%) 12mo $88,000 $101 68
727 Gilbert St 0.39mi 2/1.0 918 (+4%) 12mo $80,500 $88 66
727 Gilbert St 0.39mi 2/1.0 918 (+4%) 12mo $80,500 $88 66
216 E 2nd St 0.29mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+13%) 13mo $65,000 $65 54
419 E Church St 0.74mi 2/1.0 840 (-5%) 11mo $78,500 $93 48
419 E Church St 0.74mi 2/1.0 840 (-5%) 11mo $78,500 $93 48
116 S Maple Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 758 (-14%) 14mo $49,900 $66 44
416 S Park St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+14%) 9mo $25,000 $25 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$19,558
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
51.8%
Equity multiple
6.06×
Total profit
$49,624
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61443

Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$859 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,023/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $359
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 634-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $35,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,023 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,023 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,312
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$1,023
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$825
− Management
−$825
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$4,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,077
After-tax cash flow
$3,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kewanee CUSD 229
NCES district ID
1721000
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$38,294
Composite
11.77/100
National rank
#9682
State rank
#540 of 620 in IL

Livability — Kewanee

Score
69/100
State rank
#409
US rank
#8423

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kewanee, IL
Population (ZIP)
13,529

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,376 people
By 2030
45,920 · -3.1%
By 2040
42,829 · -9.6%
By 2050
39,606 · -16.4%
By 2075
31,848 · -32.8%
By 2100
23,503 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% English 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.32%
Current HPI
121.8672
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $35,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,023 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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