🏷️ Likely Rental
3470 Hadley Ave · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a home in the desirable Liberty school district? You have to check out this adorable two bedroom home just minutes from shopping, restaurants & highways. Enter into a large living room and pass through the eat in kitchen to get to the spacious family room in the back of the home. The first floor also features two nice sized bedrooms and a full bathroom. Potential lies in the full basement with an additional bathroom space and large backyard space is great for entertaining. Currently tenant occupied - Pictures are prior to tenant moving in. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Eat in kitchen
- Large living room
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($740/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Liberty Local (suburban): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #555 of 656 in OH (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: E J Blott Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,087 of 1,584 statewide, top 70%, 497 students, 0% FRL); William S Guy Middle School (math 26% / reading 40%, grade F, #553 of 654 statewide, top 85%, 375 students, 99% FRL); Liberty High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #528 of 781 statewide, top 71%, 379 students, 99% FRL).
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $95k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.78%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,254
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -27.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 Mansell Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 976 (+0%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $159 | 82 |
| 131 Euclid Blvd | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 1,012 (+4%) | 10mo | $127,777 | $126 | 73 |
| 3205 Hadley Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 960 (-1%) | 19mo | $115,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 310 Mansell Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,076 (+11%) | 12mo | $129,900 | $121 | 57 |
| 4039 Parkwood Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (-4%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $176 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-11,452
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-4,858
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44505
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $909 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $62
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $127 | -5% $95 | +0% $62 | +5% $29 | +10% $-4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-10 | -5% $26 | +0% $62 | +5% $98 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $86 | base $62 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $12 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3020 Northgate Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $815 | $1.00 | 46d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 465 Gypsy Ln Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $920 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 178 Upland Ave Youngstown, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 46d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 171 Upland Ave Unit 171 2nd floor Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,040 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 817 Taylor Ave Girard, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-22days on market $95,000 Active 332 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 326 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 311 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 310 DOM
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2025-10-08price $95,000 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Looking for a home in the desirable Liberty school district? You have to check out this adorable two bedroom home just minutes from shopping, restaurants & highways. Enter into a large living room and pass through the eat in kitchen to get to the spacious family room in the back of the home. The first floor also features two nice sized bedrooms and a full bathroom. Potential lies in the full basement with an additional bathroom space and large backyard space is great for entertaining. Currently tenant occupied - Pictures are prior to tenant moving in. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-09-05price $99,500 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Looking for a home in the desirable Liberty school district? You have to check out this adorable two bedroom home just minutes from shopping, restaurants & highways. Enter into a large living room and pass through the eat in kitchen to get to the spacious family room in the back of the home. The first floor also features two nice sized bedrooms and a full bathroom. Potential lies in the full basement with an additional bathroom space and large backyard space is great for entertaining. Currently tenant occupied - Pictures are prior to tenant moving in. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-07-24$105,000 Active 589-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Looking for a home in the desirable Liberty school district? You have to check out this adorable two bedroom home just minutes from shopping, restaurants & highways. Enter into a large living room and pass through the eat in kitchen to get to the spacious family room in the back of the home. The first floor also features two nice sized bedrooms and a full bathroom. Potential lies in the full basement with an additional bathroom space and large backyard space is great for entertaining. Currently tenant occupied - Pictures are prior to tenant moving in. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-05-31historical
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2025-02-21price $105,000
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2025-01-14$110,000 Active
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2003-11-14soldstatus $32,000
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2003-10-02$35,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,909
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$873
- − Management
- −$873
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$821
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$197
- After-tax cash flow
- $937/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Liberty Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905019
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,604
- Composite
- 30.59/100
- National rank
- #6202
- State rank
- #555 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,449
- Household income
- $36,480
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.8
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 37% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.64%
- Current HPI
- 192.3375
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+167.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $95,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $99,500 MLSNOW
- 2025-07-24 Listed $105,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-05-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-02-21 Price Changed $105,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-01-14 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW
- 2003-11-14 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MLSNOW
- 2003-10-02 Listed $35,500 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…