5025 Galleon Dr NE · Tacoma, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brilliant home in nice neighborhood.
Key facts
- Built 1995
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1995
- Construction: Living area approximately 2677
- Exterior features: Located in the Northeast Tacoma subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $319k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $319k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.8% in Tacoma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#127 in WA, #2,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
- Tacoma School District (urban): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #169 of 291 in WA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($119k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.59%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $835,224
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5103 Tower Dr NE | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 | 2,776 (+4%) | 1mo | $800,000 | $288 | 89 |
| 2201 Hillside Dr NE | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 | 2,688 (+0%) | 4mo | $895,000 | $333 | 74 |
| 3005 45th St NE | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 2,453 (-8%) | 1mo | $789,950 | $322 | 64 |
| 5214 Tower Dr NE | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,285 (-15%) | 2mo | $800,000 | $350 | 62 |
| 1928 Dumas Cir NE | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,780 (+4%) | 2mo | $850,000 | $306 | 56 |
| 5614 Norpoint Way NE | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,772 (+4%) | 2mo | $450,000 | $162 | 53 |
| 4616 Country Club Dr NE | 0.69mi | 4/3.5 | 2,849 (+6%) | 2mo | $825,000 | $290 | 53 |
| 1912 Dumas Cir NE | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,437 (-9%) | 3mo | $705,000 | $289 | 52 |
| 6008 Indian Trl NE | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,928 (+9%) | 1mo | $913,000 | $312 | 50 |
| 3330 View Point Cir NE | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 | 2,293 (-14%) | 2mo | $705,000 | $307 | 50 |
| 5346 Frances Ave NE | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,465 (-8%) | 3mo | $1,288,000 | $523 | 45 |
| 1817 58th St NE | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,393 (-11%) | 4mo | $760,000 | $318 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-22,129
- Equity at exit
- $47,564
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $42,044
- Equity at exit
- $27,581
Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98422
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,590 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,673
- Tax from tax record
- −$688 /mo · $8,259/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$754
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $522 | -5% $432 | +0% $342 | +5% $252 | +10% $161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $200 | +0% $342 | +5% $484 | +10% $625 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $503 | -0.5pp $423 | base $342 | +0.5pp $259 | +1.0pp $175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,750
- Closing costs
- $9,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5204 Ridge Dr NE Tacoma, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2492 | $3,500 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5216 Ridge Dr NE Tacoma, WA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2458 | $3,895 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3571 41st St NE Tacoma, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2208 | $3,895 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3734 Braeburn Dr NE Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1778 | $3,195 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4301 SW 320th Pl Federal Way, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,100 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-26$319,000 Active
-
2023-03-30soldstatus $850,000 Closed
-
2023-03-03status Pending
-
2023-02-16$849,999 Active
-
1999-06-17soldstatus $242,000
-
1994-04-28soldstatus $220,000
-
1992-12-03soldstatus $658,996
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,259 · $688/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,259 · $688/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,869
- − Property taxes
- −$8,259
- − Insurance
- −$1,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,446
- − Management
- −$3,446
- − Depreciation
- −$9,280
- Taxable loss
- −$818
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$196
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,299/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tacoma School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308700
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,467
- Composite
- 42.25/100
- National rank
- #6987
- State rank
- #169 of 291 in WA
Livability — Tacoma
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #2535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tacoma, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 212,935
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,644
- Household income
- $118,604
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 377.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 11% Black 7% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -557.41%
- Current HPI
- 276.0281
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-51.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $319,000 FSBO.com
- 2023-03-30 Sold (MLS) $850,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-03 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-16 Listed $849,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $242,000 Public Records
- 1994-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 1992-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $658,996 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2026): $8,259 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…