CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1066 Saybrook Harbour
D Composite 42.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$330,000

1066 Saybrook Harbour · Riviera Beach, MD 21122
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,400 sqft · Townhouse public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1984 3,049 sqft lot Est $356k · 7% under $195/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * Move-In Ready End Unit Townhome in Desirable Waterfront Community! * * * * Priced to sell FAST!! * * * * NEW CARPET JUST INSTALLED TODAY!! 6/12/26 (Photos do not show the new carpet) * * Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3-level end-unit townhome situated on one of the largest lots in the community! Proudly owned by the original owner since new, this property offers comfort, convenience, and access to fantastic waterfront amenities. This spacious home features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom on the upper level, along with a partially finished basement complete with a remodeled half bathroom. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, and the home has been freshly p

Key facts

  • $195 HOA
  • Built 1984
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total below-grade area 280 (assessor); Above-grade finished area 1,120 (assessor)
  • HOA & community: HOA fee of $195 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Hot water: Other
  • Home design: End of row townhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame, brick and vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Water-oriented property on a creek

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Assessor as source for living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($31/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $285k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#280 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, cost of living D, schools D-.
  • Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 254 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $330k implies a 403% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $285,161 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.03%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$355,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1056 Saybrook Harbour 0.01mi 3/1.5 1,400 (0%) 2mo $365,000 $261 98
961 Mount Desert Harbour 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,400 (0%) 0mo $359,000 $256 95
925 Mount Desert Harbour 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,400 (0%) 1mo $350,000 $250 93
912 Hingham Harbour 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,400 (0%) 0mo $355 91
1027 Cutler Harbour 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,440 (+3%) 1mo $415,122 $288 85
889 New London Harbour 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,400 (0%) 4mo $374,900 $268 85
8639 Cobscook Harbour 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,400 (0%) 6mo $355,000 $254 84
819 De Franceaux Hbr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,400 (0%) 6mo $395,000 $282 81
1186 Annis Squam Harbour 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,400 (0%) 3mo $340,000 $243 81
8649 Cobscook Harbour 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (0%) 1mo $355,000 $254 79
1040 Cape Splitt Harbour 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,524 (+9%) 4mo $345,000 $226 73
1185 Annis Squam Harbour 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,509 (+8%) 7mo $365,000 $242 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-59,574
Equity at exit
$49,204
10-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-76,231
Equity at exit
$28,532

Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21122

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,852 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,731
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
Insurance
$138
HOA
$195
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$599
Net cashflow
$3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,848
Max offer price $330,000
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,500
Closing costs
$9,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
959 Mount Desert Harbour Pasadena, MD 3.0 1.5 1400 $2,600 $1.86 24d 1 0.10mi
8561 Skipjack Pl Pasadena, MD 3.0 2.5 1670 $2,900 $1.74 5d 1 0.51mi
8561 Skipjack Pl Pasadena, MD 3.0 2.5 1670 $2,900 $1.74 3d 1 0.51mi
950 Nabbs Creek Rd Glen Burnie, MD 4.0 3.5 1752 $6,500 $3.71 24d 1 0.89mi
932 12th St Pasadena, MD 3.0 2.5 1100 $2,750 $2.50 44d 1 1.04mi
7707 Warsaw Ave Glen Burnie, MD 3.0 1.0 924 $2,400 $2.60 11d 1 1.10mi
8582 Beacon Point Rd Pasadena, MD 3.0 1.5 1159 $2,650 $2.29 2d 1 1.10mi
8436 Bay Dr Pasadena, MD 4.0 3.0 1004 $3,200 $3.19 24d 1 1.16mi
329 Bar Harbor Rd Pasadena, MD 2.0 1.0 1500 $2,050 $1.37 15d 1 1.21mi
329 Bar Harbor Rd Pasadena, MD 2.0 1.0 1500 $2,150 $1.43 10d 1 1.21mi
3630 Saltwood Gln Pasadena, MD 2.0 2.0 960 $2,339 $2.44 3d 1 1.30mi
1122 Hilltop Rd Orchard Beach, MD 3.0 2.0 1041 $2,399 $2.30 24d 1 1.30mi
765 202nd St Pasadena, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 14d 1 1.32mi
216 Dunlap Rd Pasadena, MD 4.0 2.0 1110 $3,000 $2.70 44d 1 1.35mi
3631 Dorshire Ct Pasadena, MD 3.0 2.0 1540 $2,495 $1.62 20d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$195 · $2,340/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $330,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $330,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $350,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $350,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $350,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $350,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    historical $350,000
  17. 1985-06-28
    soldstatus $65,640

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,246 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,921 · $243/mo
Expected delta
+$676/yr (+$56/mo · 30.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,219
− Mortgage interest
−$18,485
− Property taxes
−$2,246
− Insurance
−$1,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,738
− Management
−$2,738
− HOA
−$2,340
− Depreciation
−$9,600
Taxable loss
−$5,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,338
After-tax cash flow
$1,369/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anne Arundel County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400060
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$87,880
Composite
28.52/100
National rank
#6733
State rank
#10 of 24 in MD

Livability — Riviera Beach

Score
64/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#14429

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime D Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riviera Beach, MD
County
Anne Arundel County · 535,653 people
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
61,566
Household income
$127,587
Rent vs Own
13.4% rent · 86.6% own
Severe rent burden
791.0

Population outlook (Anne Arundel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
617,384 people
By 2030
642,094 · +4.0%
By 2040
686,621 · +11.2%
By 2050
723,031 · +17.1%
By 2075
809,346 · +31.1%
By 2100
837,658 · +35.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Anne Arundel

2024 margin
D (+13.9) · D 55.7% · R 41.7% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+15.7pp toward D · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: 13.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.9 2020: D+14.5 2016: D+0.7 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -401.00%
Current HPI
283.1566
Rent YoY
▲ 0.76%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+433.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1985-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,640 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,246 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…