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133 W Main St Unit A7
D+ Composite 46.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,500

133 W Main St Unit A7 · Clinton, CT 06413
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 86 Days on market
Built 2024

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Built 2024
  • Listed 85 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing status: Active
  • Financial info: Listing price $39,500

Exterior

  • Utilities: Natural gas available
  • Home design: Spec inventory (Plan 80716)
  • Exterior features: Street address: 133 W Main St Unit A7, Clinton, CT 06413

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Living area approximately 720

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 46.0% vs local median 2.5% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#34 in CT, #2,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-, commute D+.
  • Clinton School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #76 of 153 in CT (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Lewin G. Joel Jr. School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 549 students, 40% FRL); Jared Eliot School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade C-, #81 of 175 statewide, top 47%, 418 students, 37% FRL); The Morgan School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #52 of 194 statewide, top 31%, 524 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 16% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $273 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,130 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.06%
Cap rate
46.00%
Cash-on-cash
141.81%
DSCR
7.31
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.95×
Total profit
$76,875
Equity at exit
$5,890
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.76×
Total profit
$174,255
Equity at exit
$3,415

Cash invested: $11,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06413

Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$207
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $592/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$1,307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $346
Max offer price $39,500
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,334 -5% $1,321 +0% $1,307 +5% $1,293 +10% $1,280
Rent -10% $1,149 -5% $1,228 +0% $1,307 +5% $1,386 +10% $1,465
Rate -1.0pp $1,327 -0.5pp $1,317 base $1,307 +0.5pp $1,297 +1.0pp $1,286

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,875
Closing costs
$1,185
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7 Stephens Ct Clinton, CT 1.0 1.0 659 $2,000 $3.03 25d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $39,500 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $39,500 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $39,500 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,500 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,500 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,500 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,500 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,500 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    listed $39,500 Active 76 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$2,213
− Property taxes
−$592
− Insurance
−$198
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$1,149
Taxable income
$16,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,842
After-tax cash flow
$11,842/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clinton School District
NCES district ID
0900810
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$71,762
Composite
46.08/100
National rank
#2514
State rank
#76 of 153 in CT

Livability — Clinton

Score
78/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#2393

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute D+ Cost of living C- Crime A- Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clinton, CT
Population (ZIP)
13,317

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.95%
Current HPI
192.3695
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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