133 W Main St Unit A7 · Clinton, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 2024
- Listed 85 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing status: Active
- Financial info: Listing price $39,500
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Spec inventory (Plan 80716)
- Exterior features: Street address: 133 W Main St Unit A7, Clinton, CT 06413
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Living area approximately 720
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 46.0% vs local median 2.5% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#34 in CT, #2,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-, commute D+.
- Clinton School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #76 of 153 in CT (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lewin G. Joel Jr. School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 549 students, 40% FRL); Jared Eliot School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade C-, #81 of 175 statewide, top 47%, 418 students, 37% FRL); The Morgan School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #52 of 194 statewide, top 31%, 524 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 16% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $273 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 141.81%
- DSCR
- 7.31
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.95×
- Total profit
- $76,875
- Equity at exit
- $5,890
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.76×
- Total profit
- $174,255
- Equity at exit
- $3,415
Cash invested: $11,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06413
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$207
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$49 /mo · $592/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $1,307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,334 | -5% $1,321 | +0% $1,307 | +5% $1,293 | +10% $1,280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,149 | -5% $1,228 | +0% $1,307 | +5% $1,386 | +10% $1,465 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,327 | -0.5pp $1,317 | base $1,307 | +0.5pp $1,297 | +1.0pp $1,286 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,875
- Closing costs
- $1,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Stephens Ct Clinton, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 659 | $2,000 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $39,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $39,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-12$39,500 Active 76 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,213
- − Property taxes
- −$592
- − Insurance
- −$198
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$1,149
- Taxable income
- $16,008
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,842
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,842/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900810
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,762
- Composite
- 46.08/100
- National rank
- #2514
- State rank
- #76 of 153 in CT
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #2393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,317
Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 188,651
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.95%
- Current HPI
- 192.3695
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…