6950 Silverheels Ct · Security-Widefield, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$326,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Colorado Springs two-story home offers a patio, and a one-car garage.
Key facts
- 9,600 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Sale terms: Cash or conventional financing
- HOA & community: Homeowners association exists (no applicable association fee)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Electricity
- Home design: Single-family home; Garden-level foundation; Existing home
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Composite shingle roof; Basement not finished
- Exterior features: Level lot with mountain views; Wood siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave oven; Oven; Range (gas/electric); Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the upper level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath
- Interior features: Central air; Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $326k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($973/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Security-Widefield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- School District No. 3 In The County Of El Paso And State Of (suburban): math 17% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 86 in CO (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.07%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $393,442
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7110 Trails End Ct | 0.19mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,198 (0%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $182 | 78 |
| 6933 Metropolitan St | 0.33mi | 6/3.0 | 2,198 (0%) | 3mo | $431,372 | $196 | 74 |
| 6775 President Ave | 0.13mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,355 (+7%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $166 | 68 |
| 528 Rowe Ln | 0.46mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,167 (-1%) | 4mo | $380,000 | $175 | 60 |
| 6850 Kipling St | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,355 (+7%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $174 | 59 |
| 411 Quebec St | 0.66mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,194 (-0%) | 0mo | $395,000 | $180 | 56 |
| 616 Squire St | 0.41mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,398 (+9%) | 1mo | $399,999 | $167 | 51 |
| 7452 Colonial Dr | 0.57mi | 6/3.0 | 2,424 (+10%) | 1mo | $455,000 | $188 | 48 |
| 635 Drew Dr | 0.64mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,355 (+7%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $183 | 45 |
| 475 Cielo Vista St | 0.44mi | 6/4.0 | 2,513 (+14%) | 2mo | $430,000 | $171 | 42 |
| 526 Griffith Way | 0.64mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,398 (+9%) | 3mo | $430,000 | $179 | 40 |
| 7475 Painted Rock Dr | 0.74mi | 6/3.0 | 2,519 (+15%) | 3mo | $450,000 | $179 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-46,199
- Equity at exit
- $48,608
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-27,493
- Equity at exit
- $28,187
Cash invested: $91,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80911
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,615 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,710
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$136
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $266 | -5% $173 | +0% $81 | +5% $-11 | +10% $-103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-126 | -5% $-22 | +0% $81 | +5% $184 | +10% $288 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $245 | -0.5pp $164 | base $81 | +0.5pp $-3 | +1.0pp $-89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,500
- Closing costs
- $9,780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $326,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $326,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $326,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $326,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $326,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $326,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $326,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $326,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $326,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $326,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $326,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $326,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $326,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $326,000
-
2026-04-17status Active
-
2026-04-03status Pending
-
2026-04-02price $316,000
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2025-12-02status Pending
-
2025-11-28price $299,000
-
2025-11-28$329,900 Active
-
2022-02-22soldstatus $432,000
-
2022-02-18soldstatus $443,000 Closed 74-char remark
Show marketing remark (74 chars)
This Colorado Springs two-story home offers a patio, and a one-car garage.
-
2022-02-18soldstatus $443,000 74-char remark
Show marketing remark (74 chars)
This Colorado Springs two-story home offers a patio, and a one-car garage.
-
2022-01-22status Pending 74-char remark
Show marketing remark (74 chars)
This Colorado Springs two-story home offers a patio, and a one-car garage.
-
2022-01-20$425,000 Active 74-char remark
Show marketing remark (74 chars)
This Colorado Springs two-story home offers a patio, and a one-car garage.
-
2022-01-20$425,000 74-char remark
Show marketing remark (74 chars)
This Colorado Springs two-story home offers a patio, and a one-car garage.
-
2021-10-21soldstatus $375,400
-
2015-11-24soldstatus $199,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,672 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,793 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,380
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,261
- − Property taxes
- −$1,672
- − Insurance
- −$1,630
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,510
- − Management
- −$2,510
- − Depreciation
- −$9,484
- Taxable loss
- −$4,688
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,098/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- School District No. 3 In The County Of El Paso And State Of
- NCES district ID
- 0806480
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,560
- Composite
- 26.19/100
- National rank
- #7265
- State rank
- #49 of 86 in CO
Livability — Security-Widefield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Security-Widefield, CO
- County
- El Paso County · 689,348 people
- City population
- 33,027
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,027
- Household income
- $87,093
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 326.0
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 768,926 people
- By 2030
- 815,739 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 903,489 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 981,204 · +27.6%
- By 2075
- 1,155,542 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 1,202,070 · +56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 16% Black 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.55%
- Current HPI
- 282.8494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+63.8% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $326,000 elevateMLS
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — elevateMLS
- 2026-04-03 Pending — elevateMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $316,000 elevateMLS
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — elevateMLS
- 2025-12-02 Pending — elevateMLS
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $299,000 elevateMLS
- 2025-11-28 Listed $329,900 elevateMLS
- 2022-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $432,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-18 Sold (MLS) $443,000 IRES
- 2022-02-18 Sold (MLS) $443,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-22 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-20 Listed $425,000 IRES
- 2022-01-20 Listed $425,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $375,400 Public Records
- 2015-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,672 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…