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409 E 10th St
B- Composite 67.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

409 E 10th St · Wilmington, DE 19801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Townhouse public records · 225 Days on market
Built 1900 871 sqft lot $135/sqft · at area comps Est $135k · at est. ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor or first-time buyer opportunity! This 3-bedroom Wilmington home offers the perfect chance to build equity with just a little TLC. Whether you’re looking to start your real estate portfolio or find your first home, this property has great potential. Featuring a traditional layout, spacious rooms, and close proximity to downtown amenities, parks, and major routes. Bring your vision and make it your own. Perfect for those ready to put in a little sweat for long-term gain! AS IS, Seller will not make any repairs home inspection repairs or lender repairs if any.

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 224 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.7% in Wilmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#52 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, commute D.
  • Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.19%
Cash-on-cash
21.04%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,231
List price
$135,000
Delta
-0.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1007 N Spruce St 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,075 (+8%) 3mo $145,000 $135 75
1004 N Pine 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+10%) 4mo $170,000 $155 73
524 Taylor St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,125 (+12%) 1mo $110,000 $98 66
834 N Pine St 0.16mi 3/1.5 1,150 (+15%) 0mo $150,000 $130 65
1001 N Church St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 894 (-11%) 1mo $148,000 $166 65
321 E 9th St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (-15%) 4mo $58,000 $68 62
610 E 22nd St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,025 (+2%) 4mo $71,000 $69 60
910 N Spruce St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (-15%) 4mo $107,500 $126 58
827 E 17th St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 925 (-8%) 1mo $75,000 $81 58
2111 N Locust St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,075 (+8%) 3mo $175,600 $163 56
2230 Lamotte St 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,125 (+12%) 3mo $135,000 $120 45
729 W 9th St 0.70mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,150 (+15%) 3mo $155,000 $135 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$17,671
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$59,083
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19801

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,885 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$663

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,046
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $739 -5% $701 +0% $663 +5% $625 +10% $586
Rent -10% $514 -5% $588 +0% $663 +5% $737 +10% $812
Rate -1.0pp $731 -0.5pp $697 base $663 +0.5pp $628 +1.0pp $592

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1124 Clifford Brown Walk Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 1240 $1,625 $1.31 45d 1 0.09mi
605 E 10th St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 25d 1 0.11mi
518 E 12th St Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 875 $1,425 $1.63 21d 1 0.12mi
928 Kirkwood St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,700 $1.48 18d 1 0.15mi
1004 N Spruce St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.5 1075 $1,800 $1.67 19d 1 0.18mi
835 N Spruce St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 775 $1,700 $2.19 0d 1 0.21mi
1026 Bennett St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,685 $1.50 0d 1 0.21mi
1217 N King St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.5 1300 $2,145 $1.65 19d 1 0.29mi
913 N Market St Wilmington, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $1,985 $2.04 45d 5 0.30mi
801 N Market St Unit 207 Wilmington, DE 2.0 2.0 1239 $1,895 $1.53 6d 1 0.34mi
1001 N Orange St Wilmington, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 833 $2,135 $2.56 0d 61 0.36mi
116 W 9th St Wilmington, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $2,270 $2.79 0d 17 0.36mi
801 N Orange St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0–3.0 1118 $3,991 $3.57 0d 115 0.40mi
228 W 9th St Unit 201 Wilmington, DE 2.0 2.0 1031 $1,695 $1.64 45d 1 0.41mi
107 W 13th St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.5 1325 $1,895 $1.43 45d 1 0.42mi
15 W Girard St Unit 105 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 740 $1,645 $2.22 6d 1 0.42mi
703 Orange St Wilmington, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,475 $1.84 45d 1 0.43mi
839 N Tatnall St Unit 101 Wilmington, DE 2.0 2.0 1211 $1,750 $1.45 6d 1 0.44mi
517 N Shipley St Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0–2.0 822 $2,670 $3.25 0d 15 0.48mi
918 E 17th St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 0d 1 0.50mi
225 W 4th St Unit 2 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,599 $1.60 45d 1 0.57mi
613 W 10th St Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,745 $1.59 45d 1 0.64mi
711 Windsor St Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 980 $1,460 $1.49 45d 1 0.65mi
709 Windsor St Unit 3 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 980 $1,500 $1.53 45d 1 0.66mi
617 W 6th St Unit 617 B Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 6d 1 0.69mi
507 W 4th St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.5 1075 $1,800 $1.67 14d 1 0.69mi
103 E 24th St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,795 $1.75 45d 1 0.71mi
5 E 24th St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,795 $1.56 45d 1 0.72mi
1010 Trenton Pl Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.5 1475 $2,350 $1.59 18d 1 0.74mi
820 W 7th St Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 45d 1 0.79mi
115 Christina Landing Dr Wilmington, DE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1195 $2,796 $2.34 0d 11 0.81mi
401 A St Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0–2.0 716 $2,605 $3.64 0d 12 0.82mi
409 W 20th St Unit 2 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 11d 1 0.85mi
409 W 20th St Unit 2 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 14d 1 0.85mi
306 Concord Ave Unit 2 Wilmington, DE 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 45d 1 0.85mi
105 Christina Landing Dr Wilmington, DE 2.0 2.0 1025 $2,400 $2.34 11d 1 0.86mi
105 Christina Landing Dr #1503 Wilmington, DE 2.0 2.0 1025 $2,500 $2.44 18d 1 0.86mi
302 W 23rd St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 1450 $1,295 $0.89 25d 1 0.86mi
312 Concord Ave Unit 2 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 700 $1,295 $1.85 25d 1 0.86mi
306 W 23rd St Unit 1 Wilmington, DE 2.0 1.0 1475 $1,295 $0.88 25d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 225 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 222 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 221 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 220 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 219 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 217 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 216 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 213 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 212 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 211 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 208 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 207 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 206 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 205 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 204 DOM
  16. 2026-01-01
    status Active 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Investor or first-time buyer opportunity! This 3-bedroom Wilmington home offers the perfect chance to build equity with just a little TLC. Whether you’re looking to start your real estate portfolio or find your first home, this property has great potential. Featuring a traditional layout, spacious rooms, and close proximity to downtown amenities, parks, and major routes. Bring your vision and make it your own. Perfect for those ready to put in a little sweat for long-term gain! AS IS, Seller will not make any repairs home inspection repairs or lender repairs if any.

  17. 2025-12-23
    historical 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Investor or first-time buyer opportunity! This 3-bedroom Wilmington home offers the perfect chance to build equity with just a little TLC. Whether you’re looking to start your real estate portfolio or find your first home, this property has great potential. Featuring a traditional layout, spacious rooms, and close proximity to downtown amenities, parks, and major routes. Bring your vision and make it your own. Perfect for those ready to put in a little sweat for long-term gain! AS IS, Seller will not make any repairs home inspection repairs or lender repairs if any.

  18. 2025-11-28
    price $135,000 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Investor or first-time buyer opportunity! This 3-bedroom Wilmington home offers the perfect chance to build equity with just a little TLC. Whether you’re looking to start your real estate portfolio or find your first home, this property has great potential. Featuring a traditional layout, spacious rooms, and close proximity to downtown amenities, parks, and major routes. Bring your vision and make it your own. Perfect for those ready to put in a little sweat for long-term gain! AS IS, Seller will not make any repairs home inspection repairs or lender repairs if any.

  19. 2025-11-12
    price $140,000 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Investor or first-time buyer opportunity! This 3-bedroom Wilmington home offers the perfect chance to build equity with just a little TLC. Whether you’re looking to start your real estate portfolio or find your first home, this property has great potential. Featuring a traditional layout, spacious rooms, and close proximity to downtown amenities, parks, and major routes. Bring your vision and make it your own. Perfect for those ready to put in a little sweat for long-term gain! AS IS, Seller will not make any repairs home inspection repairs or lender repairs if any.

  20. 2025-10-31
    listed $150,000 Active 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Investor or first-time buyer opportunity! This 3-bedroom Wilmington home offers the perfect chance to build equity with just a little TLC. Whether you’re looking to start your real estate portfolio or find your first home, this property has great potential. Featuring a traditional layout, spacious rooms, and close proximity to downtown amenities, parks, and major routes. Bring your vision and make it your own. Perfect for those ready to put in a little sweat for long-term gain! AS IS, Seller will not make any repairs home inspection repairs or lender repairs if any.

  21. 2025-10-28
    historical $150,000 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Investor or first-time buyer opportunity! This 3-bedroom Wilmington home offers the perfect chance to build equity with just a little TLC. Whether you’re looking to start your real estate portfolio or find your first home, this property has great potential. Featuring a traditional layout, spacious rooms, and close proximity to downtown amenities, parks, and major routes. Bring your vision and make it your own. Perfect for those ready to put in a little sweat for long-term gain! AS IS, Seller will not make any repairs home inspection repairs or lender repairs if any.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$748 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$766 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$17/yr (+$1/mo · 2.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,625
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,810
− Management
−$1,810
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$6,092
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,462
After-tax cash flow
$6,493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Christina School District
NCES district ID
1000200
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,838
Composite
24.93/100
National rank
#7567
State rank
#18 of 26 in DE

Livability — Wilmington

Score
64/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#14251

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilmington, DE
County
New Castle County · 483,412 people
City population
173,480
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
16,327
Household income
$52,810
Rent vs Own
69.4% rent · 30.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
594,686 people
By 2030
609,164 · +2.4%
By 2040
632,154 · +6.3%
By 2050
649,068 · +9.1%
By 2075
687,771 · +15.7%
By 2100
694,961 · +16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · New Castle

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.65%
Current HPI
151.1288
Rent YoY
▲ 1.59%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-01 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-28 Coming Soon $150,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-11.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $748 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…