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734 Alfred Rd
B Composite 70.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

734 Alfred Rd · Atlanta, GA 30331
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 845 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1959 9,496 sqft lot $118/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special! Solid ranch styled 3BR/1BA ranch located at 734 Alfred Rd NW, Atlanta, GA 30331, situated on a 0.21-acre lot. This 845 sq ft home, built in 1959, features a traditional single-level layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. Property offers strong renovation potential with good bones and a large yard ideal for outdoor space or future improvements. Conveniently located near I-20, I-285, schools, shopping, and Downtown Atlanta. Perfect opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and add value. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Ranch styled
  • Large yard
  • Conveniently located

Tags

RANCH STYLEDSTRONG RENOVATION POTENTIALLARGE YARDCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-.
  • Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 483 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $82k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.45%
Cash-on-cash
25.58%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$223,730
List price
$100,000
Delta
-55.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
851 Amber Pl NW 0.18mi 3/1.0 825 (-2%) 1mo $150,000 $182 87
3751 Amber Rd NW 0.26mi 3/1.0 825 (-2%) 2mo $150,000 $182 82
774 Alfred Rd NW 0.07mi 3/1.0 825 (-2%) 15mo $108,700 $132 81
812 Amber Pl NW 0.12mi 3/1.0 825 (-2%) 15mo $200,000 $242 78
3828 Collier Dr 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-5%) 2mo $90,000 $113 69
852 Alfred Rd NW 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 854 (+1%) 16mo $153,000 $179 66
805 Sandy Creek Dr NW 0.48mi 3/1.0 875 (+4%) 6mo $85,000 $97 66
3683 Fairlane Dr NW 0.58mi 3/1.0 875 (+4%) 1mo $120,000 $137 66
474 Fairlock Ln NW 0.49mi 3/1.0 875 (+4%) 13mo $224,000 $256 60
895 Mercury Dr NW 0.31mi 3/1.0 925 (+10%) 14mo $210,000 $227 58
1076 Fairburn Rd NW 0.40mi 3/1.0 925 (+10%) 10mo $124,900 $135 58
3560 Fairlane Dr NW 0.71mi 3/1.0 875 (+4%) 16mo $162,000 $185 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$21,228
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$65,069
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30331

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
483
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,630 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $666 -5% $631 +0% $597 +5% $562 +10% $528
Rent -10% $468 -5% $532 +0% $597 +5% $661 +10% $726
Rate -1.0pp $647 -0.5pp $622 base $597 +0.5pp $571 +1.0pp $545

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3774 Clovis Ct NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,445 $1.45 22d 1 0.16mi
842 Bonneville Ter NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,855 $1.69 25d 1 0.49mi
470 Bolton Rd NW Unit D1 Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,395 $1.27 25d 1 0.56mi
942 Fairburn Rd NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 900 $1,623 $1.80 22d 1 0.60mi
3590 Collier Dr NW Atlanta, GA 4.0 4.0 1110 $1,100 $0.99 11d 1 0.63mi
875 Fairburn Rd NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 17d 1 0.73mi
3466 Fairlane Dr NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,495 $1.57 25d 1 0.87mi
3669 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.5 800 $1,300 $1.62 6d 2 0.92mi
1070 Bolton Rd NW Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1094 $2,196 $2.01 3d 12 1.08mi
3456 Thompson Dr NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 975 $1,750 $1.79 25d 1 1.14mi
1021 Harwell Rd NW Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1002 $1,534 $1.53 8d 15 1.21mi
586 Oakside Dr SW Unit A Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,325 $1.23 15d 1 1.38mi
586 Oakside Dr SW Unit B Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1075 $1,065 $0.99 15d 1 1.38mi
40 Candlelight Ln SW Unit A Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,500 $1.37 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-03-08
    listed $100,000 New 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Investor Special! Solid ranch styled 3BR/1BA ranch located at 734 Alfred Rd NW, Atlanta, GA 30331, situated on a 0.21-acre lot. This 845 sq ft home, built in 1959, features a traditional single-level layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. Property offers strong renovation potential with good bones and a large yard ideal for outdoor space or future improvements. Conveniently located near I-20, I-285, schools, shopping, and Downtown Atlanta. Perfect opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and add value. Sold as-is.

  7. 2026-03-06
    historical $100,000 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Investor Special! Solid ranch styled 3BR/1BA ranch located at 734 Alfred Rd NW, Atlanta, GA 30331, situated on a 0.21-acre lot. This 845 sq ft home, built in 1959, features a traditional single-level layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. Property offers strong renovation potential with good bones and a large yard ideal for outdoor space or future improvements. Conveniently located near I-20, I-285, schools, shopping, and Downtown Atlanta. Perfect opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and add value. Sold as-is.

  8. 2026-03-02
    listed $100,000 Active 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Investor Special! Solid ranch styled 3BR/1BA ranch located at 734 Alfred Rd NW, Atlanta, GA 30331, situated on a 0.21-acre lot. This 845 sq ft home, built in 1959, features a traditional single-level layout with a spacious living area, functional kitchen, and three well-sized bedrooms. Property offers strong renovation potential with good bones and a large yard ideal for outdoor space or future improvements. Conveniently located near I-20, I-285, schools, shopping, and Downtown Atlanta. Perfect opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and add value. Sold as-is.

  9. 2010-03-21
    price $13,600 Reduced
  10. 2010-01-09
    price $15,300 Reduced
  11. 2005-10-04
    soldstatus $82,400
  12. 2005-10-04
    soldstatus $82,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,563
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$5,922
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,421
After-tax cash flow
$5,741/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atlanta Public Schools
NCES district ID
1300120
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,306
Composite
27.27/100
National rank
#7006
State rank
#80 of 174 in GA

Livability — Atlanta

Score
83/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#919

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atlanta, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
629,525
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
62,567
Household income
$62,623
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
3748.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.38%
Current HPI
204.5402
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Coming Soon $100,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $100,000 FMLS
  • 2010-03-21 Price Changed $13,600 GAMLS
  • 2010-01-09 Price Changed $15,300 GAMLS
  • 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $82,400 Public Records
  • 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $82,400 Public Records

Property tax history

-19.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $8 · -54.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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