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206 Fellowship Dr
F Composite 31.61
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$359,000

206 Fellowship Dr · Masthope, PA 18428
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1988 2.45 ac lot Est $301k · 19% over $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away in the beautiful Pocono Mountains, this charming Hawley property offers the perfect combination of privacy, comfort, and year-round recreation. Surrounded by nature and set on a peaceful wooded setting, this inviting home features spacious living areas, abundant natural light, and a warm atmosphere ideal for relaxing or entertaining. Whether you are searching for a full-time residence, vacation getaway, or investment opportunity, this property delivers the Pocono lifestyle buyers are looking for. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Wallenpaupack, skiing, hiking, restaurants, and local attractions, you can enjoy all the area has to offer in every season. Don't miss this o

Key facts

  • Lake wallenpaupack
  • Pocono mountains
  • 2.45 acre lot

Tags

POCONO MOUNTAINSLAKE WALLENPAUPACKPEACEFUL WOODED SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $300 annual fee; One-time $300 association fee noted; Typical monthly equivalent approximately $25; Association fee includes snow removal; Subdivision: Friendly Acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Total 6 parking spaces; 2-car garage; 4 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; 200+ amp electric service; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Updated/remodeled condition; Two levels
  • Construction: Asphalt construction materials; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built on a 2.45-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Level, wooded lot; Private maintained road frontage; Has view; Generator; Additional garage structure(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas oven
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Baseboard heating; Wood stove; Electric heating
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Open floorplan; Kitchen island; Block or crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $359k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-557 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (27.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (35.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (35.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.2% in Masthope — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,276 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $163k; list at $359k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,254 (35.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.43%
Cash-on-cash
-6.65%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
13.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$300,672
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
129 Forest Dr 0.43mi 3/3.0 2,002 (-4%) 12mo $288,500 $144 57
141 Friendship Dr 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,945 (-7%) 16mo $280,000 $144 57
139 Friendship Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,891 (-9%) 11mo $205,000 $108 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$160,004
Equity at exit
$323,416
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$499,034
Equity at exit
$697,458

Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18428

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,303 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,883
Tax from tax record
$319 /mo · $3,828/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$484
Net cashflow
$-557

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,008
Max offer price $260,573
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,750
Closing costs
$10,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $359,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $359,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $359,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-26
    listed $359,000 Active
  5. 2011-07-06
    soldstatus $163,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,828 · $319/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,750 · $396/mo
Expected delta
+$922/yr (+$77/mo · 24.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,630
− Mortgage interest
−$20,110
− Property taxes
−$3,828
− Insurance
−$1,795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,210
− Management
−$2,210
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$10,444
Taxable loss
−$13,266
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,184
After-tax cash flow
$-3,502/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Masthope

Score
63/100
State rank
#1276
US rank
#15402

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,446

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.60%
Current HPI
340.8254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $359,000 PWMLS
  • 2011-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,828 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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