15517 Sanford Ave Unit 2E · New York, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Cash flow +3.4/30.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move right into this bright one bedroom co-op located in a well maintained elevator building. The apartment features abundant natural light, the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and plenty of storage space. The bedroom is well-sized, and the unit boasts a comfortable and efficient layout. Maintenance fee is all-inclusive except electricity and cooking gas. Commuting is convenient with access to the 7 train, and local buses including Q65, Q13, Q28, Q15. Also close to the LIRR, Northern Blvd, schools, parks, the library, and a wide variety of local shops and restaurants. Subletting is permitted after two years of ownership, making this an excellent opportunity for both end-users and investors.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to schools
- Close to the library
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Entry level is 2
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning units; Heating as described in remarks
- Interior features: Elevator; High ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Pets allowed — call for details
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-522 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 405 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,485/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 6765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 2.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.23%
- DSCR
- 0.41
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.09% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-26,141
- Equity at exit
- $58,477
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-19,653
- Equity at exit
- $78,320
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11355
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 405
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,485 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$1,317
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$522
- Net cashflow
- $-522
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149-08 41st Ave Unit 3rd Floor Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,850 | $2.74 | 19d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 149-35 Northern Blvd Unit 4Z Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,800 | $3.60 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,400 | $3.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14943 35th Ave Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $2,450 | $3.16 | 3d | 2 | 0.44mi |
| 14427 Sanford Ave Unit 7G Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $3,500 | $5.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4531 163rd St Unit 1 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,250 | $3.75 | 8d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 14424 37th Ave Unit 5B Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $2,800 | $5.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3620 168th St Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,350 | $3.36 | 7d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 168-10 Crocheron Ave Unit 1A Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,250 | $3.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 145-18 34th Ave Unit 8A Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $2,400 | $3.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 14065 Beech Ave Unit 6J Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 366 | $2,000 | $5.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 13680 41st Ave Unit 7D Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 428 | $2,650 | $6.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 140-16 34th Ave Unit 412 Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,250 | $3.75 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 140-16 34th Ave Unit 308 Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,250 | $3.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 13812 Northern Blvd Unit 7F Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,500 | $4.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3532 Leavitt St Unit 11I Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 422 | $2,900 | $6.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3132 Union St Unit 4G Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,400 | $3.69 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3132 Union St Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $2,400 | $3.84 | 19d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 13434 Franklin Ave Unit 4E Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 477 | $2,800 | $5.87 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3916 Prince St Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $2,900 | $5.47 | 15d | 2 | 1.16mi |
| 133-08 41st Rd Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,300 | $3.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 13416 35th Ave Unit 7E Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 681 | $3,300 | $4.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3371 Prince St Unit 13L Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 452 | $2,800 | $6.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3371 Prince St Unit 8J Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 741 | $4,075 | $5.50 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3371 Prince St Unit 8F Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 716 | $4,050 | $5.66 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 13327 39th Ave Unit 3N Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $3,600 | $5.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 132-30 Sanford Ave Unit 4Af Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 470 | $2,300 | $4.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13336 37th Ave Unit 3K Flushing, NY | — | 1.0 | 500 | $3,200 | $6.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13239 Pople Ave Unit 6D Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4105 College Point Blvd Unit 5I Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 600 | $2,600 | $4.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13203 Sanford Ave Unit 7E Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 702 | $2,800 | $3.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 13226 Avery Ave Unit 8A Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 725 | $2,800 | $3.86 | 4d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 13208 Pople Ave Unit 4A Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,500 | $3.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 29-04 204th St Unit 1Floor Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 196-42 44th Ave #2 Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,200 | $3.67 | 5d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 13105 40th Rd Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $3,675 | $4.82 | 3d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 13105 40th Rd Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $3,350 | $5.35 | 19d | 3 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gaselectric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $169,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $169,000
-
2026-03-12$179,000 Active
-
2025-07-30historical
-
2025-07-07$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,535
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,386
- − Management
- −$2,386
- − HOA
- −$15,804
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$8,518
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,044
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,801
- Household income
- $55,326
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6765.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Asian (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 75% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 7% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 72% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 16% English-only · Chinese 58% Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.09%
- Current HPI
- 253.1482
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-32.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $169,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Listed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-30 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-07 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…