11112 Highway 49 E · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$84,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE REDUCED!! Located in Webb Ms, Tallahatchie County, this spacious four-sided brick home offers plenty of potential for the right buyer. Featuring a split-bedroom floor plan, the home includes a large primary suite with an oversized bath complete with a jacuzzi tub, separate tub and shower, private latrine area, and huge walk-in closet. The living room features a fireplace and flows into a separate dining area, while the side-entry 2-car garage adds convenience and curb appeal. Situated in a quiet country setting, this property is ideal for buyers looking to create their own retreat with a little vision and updating.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $84k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 5.2% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,754/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($584 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.66%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,175
- List price
- $84,500
- Delta
- -59.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16030 N April Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,772 (+0%) | 11mo | $249,500 | $141 | 67 |
| 123 Darran St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,813 (+3%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $119 | 63 |
| 15283 5th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (-9%) | 0mo | $159,500 | $99 | 60 |
| 150 Gary St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-9%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 15044 Dedeaux Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,739 (-1%) | 7mo | $127,200 | $73 | 57 |
| 14976 Angela Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (+5%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $81 | 56 |
| 203 Pamela Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,642 (-7%) | 10mo | $172,000 | $105 | 54 |
| 11309 Klein Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,643 (-7%) | 2mo | $158,950 | $97 | 52 |
| 16078 S April Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,511 (-14%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $165 | 45 |
| 11523 Lafitte Pl | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,933 (+10%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $116 | 41 |
| 11501 Barrone St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-15%) | 11mo | $239,000 | $159 | 33 |
| 103 Fore St | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,508 (-14%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $80 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $61,259
- Equity at exit
- $37,995
- IRR
- 45.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.20×
- Total profit
- $146,577
- Equity at exit
- $58,555
Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 12 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.1 mo (24%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $209,900 ($129/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 37 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -9.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 38966
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,754 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$443
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,268/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $802
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $860 | -5% $831 | +0% $802 | +5% $772 | +10% $743 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $663 | -5% $732 | +0% $802 | +5% $871 | +10% $940 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $844 | -0.5pp $823 | base $802 | +0.5pp $780 | +1.0pp $757 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,125
- Closing costs
- $2,535
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11405 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11413 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11487 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 93d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11425 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 70d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11502 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 70d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10466 Steeplechase Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 63d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 16222 Saddle Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,600 | $0.95 | 70d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 15373 Saint Charles St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1075 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 93d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 11601 Oaklane Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,525 | $0.97 | 63d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10261 English Manor Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 93d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 125 Clarence Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 63d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 10667 Wren Grv Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2076 | $2,850 | $1.37 | 93d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1009 Michelle Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 93d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12237 Vada Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,349 | $1.00 | 63d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Residential property
- Construction
- Brick constructionSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen
- Dishwasher
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- PantryWood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility
- Electric water heaterGas water heater
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $84,500 Active 122 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $84,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $84,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $84,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $84,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $84,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $84,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $84,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $84,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $84,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $84,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $84,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $84,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $84,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $84,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $84,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $84,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $84,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $84,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-11pricedays on market $84,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $88,980 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $88,980 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $88,980 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $88,980 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $88,980 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $88,980 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $88,980 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $88,980 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $88,980 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $88,980 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $88,980 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,980 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,980 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,980 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,980 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $88,980 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $88,980 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $93,760 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $93,760 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $93,760 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $93,760 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $93,760 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $93,760 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,760 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $93,760 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$98,000 Active 353-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,046
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,733
- − Property taxes
- −$1,268
- − Insurance
- −$422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,684
- − Management
- −$1,684
- − Depreciation
- −$2,458
- Taxable income
- $8,797
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,111
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This four-sided brick home requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and interior aesthetics, which can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate exterior siding — Weathered and needs repainting
- Moderate interior paint — Worn and needs fresh coats
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — Dated and could be replaced
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — Dated and could be replaced
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown and could be trimmed
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathrooms can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Tallahatchie · 228,444 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Population (ZIP)
- 747
- Household income
- $31,707
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 97% White 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-13.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-10 Price Changed $84,500 NCMBR
- 2026-07-08 Relisted — NCMBR
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $88,980 NCMBR
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $93,760 NCMBR
- 2026-04-02 Listed $98,000 NCMBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…