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9040 St Rt 243
B- Composite 69.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

9040 St Rt 243 · Burlington, OH 45680
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 180 Days on market
Built 1990 0.95 ac lot $68/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This three-bedroom, one-bath single-family home in South Point is an incredible investor special and a blank slate for those seeking a value-add opportunity. Built in 1990, the property offers 950 sq. ft. of space, ready for a full-scale creative transformation! The interior awaits your complete design vision, from personalized flooring throughout to brand-new kitchen cabinets. This is a true handyman's special, priced to reflect the necessary cleanup and modernization.

Key facts

  • 0.95 acre lot
  • Built 1990
  • Listed 180 days

Tags

VALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITYBRAND-NEW KITCHEN CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#236 in OH, #3,727 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, employment D, schools F.
  • Dawson-Bryant Local (suburban): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $59k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.45%
Cash-on-cash
18.43%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$123,091
List price
$59,000
Delta
-52.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$6,622
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$26,664
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45680

Home prices YoY
-9.1%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$856 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,061/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$180
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $535
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $287 -5% $270 +0% $254 +5% $237 +10% $220
Rent -10% $186 -5% $220 +0% $254 +5% $288 +10% $321
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $269 base $254 +0.5pp $238 +1.0pp $223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $59,000 Active 180 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,000 Active 179 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,000 Active 178 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,000 Active 177 DOM
  5. 2026-05-08
    price $64,000 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bath single-family home in South Point is an incredible investor special and a blank slate for those seeking a value-add opportunity. Built in 1990, the property offers 950 sq. ft. of space, ready for a full-scale creative transformation! The interior awaits your complete design vision, from personalized flooring throughout to brand-new kitchen cabinets. This is a true handyman's special, priced to reflect the necessary cleanup and modernization.

  6. 2026-04-28
    price $79,000 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bath single-family home in South Point is an incredible investor special and a blank slate for those seeking a value-add opportunity. Built in 1990, the property offers 950 sq. ft. of space, ready for a full-scale creative transformation! The interior awaits your complete design vision, from personalized flooring throughout to brand-new kitchen cabinets. This is a true handyman's special, priced to reflect the necessary cleanup and modernization.

  7. 2026-01-27
    price $84,000 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bath single-family home in South Point is an incredible investor special and a blank slate for those seeking a value-add opportunity. Built in 1990, the property offers 950 sq. ft. of space, ready for a full-scale creative transformation! The interior awaits your complete design vision, from personalized flooring throughout to brand-new kitchen cabinets. This is a true handyman's special, priced to reflect the necessary cleanup and modernization.

  8. 2025-12-19
    price $89,000 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bath single-family home in South Point is an incredible investor special and a blank slate for those seeking a value-add opportunity. Built in 1990, the property offers 950 sq. ft. of space, ready for a full-scale creative transformation! The interior awaits your complete design vision, from personalized flooring throughout to brand-new kitchen cabinets. This is a true handyman's special, priced to reflect the necessary cleanup and modernization.

  9. 2025-12-05
    listed $99,000 Active 474-char remark
    Show marketing remark (474 chars)

    This three-bedroom, one-bath single-family home in South Point is an incredible investor special and a blank slate for those seeking a value-add opportunity. Built in 1990, the property offers 950 sq. ft. of space, ready for a full-scale creative transformation! The interior awaits your complete design vision, from personalized flooring throughout to brand-new kitchen cabinets. This is a true handyman's special, priced to reflect the necessary cleanup and modernization.

  10. 2013-03-11
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,061 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,061 · $88/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,270
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$1,061
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$822
− Management
−$822
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$2,250
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$540
After-tax cash flow
$2,505/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dawson-Bryant Local
NCES district ID
3904792
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$45,537
Composite
39.85/100
National rank
#3870
State rank
#485 of 656 in OH

Livability — Burlington

Score
76/100
State rank
#236
US rank
#3727

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lawrence · 57,020 people
Metro
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
Population (ZIP)
11,878
Household income
$55,348
Rent vs Own
34.2% rent · 65.8% own
Severe rent burden
2.0

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,915 people
By 2030
55,650 · -3.9%
By 2040
50,523 · -12.8%
By 2050
45,103 · -22.1%
By 2075
32,441 · -44.0%
By 2100
21,754 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.42%
Current HPI
173.8502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $64,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $79,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $84,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $89,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $99,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2013-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,061 · +21.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…