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1116 S 20th St
D+ Composite 48.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1116 S 20th St · Fort Smith, AR 72901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,522 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
5,602 sqft lot Est $177k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Three-bedroom, two full bathroom home featuring a spacious front porch perfect for relaxing. When you walk in, you’re greeted by tall ceilings, abundant natural lighting, original hardwood floors, and a large dining room that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, complete with a gas stove, pantry, and plenty of workspace. Original hardwood flooring continues throughout the home, adding warmth and character. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard, offering plenty of space for entertaining, gardening, or simply unwinding. A storage building will convey with the property. Conveniently located close to shopping, schools, great restaurants, and medical facilities.

Key facts

  • Natural lighting
  • Large dining room
  • Tall ceilings

Tags

FRONT PORCHTALL CEILINGSNATURAL LIGHTINGHARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE DINING ROOMGAS STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Public maintained road

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; Other parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Front porch; Privacy wood fencing in back yard; Shingle roof; Storage building / outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Simulated wood; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Pantry; Storage; Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($368/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (23.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ballman Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #206 of 454 statewide, top 48%, 344 students, 70% FRL); William O. Darby Jr. High Sch. (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #164 of 201 statewide, top 82%, 700 students, 87% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $150k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $114,595 (23.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.88%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,552
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
722 S 19th St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,505 (-1%) 3mo $135,000 $90 84
2311 S N St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,534 (+1%) 2mo $200,000 $130 81
315 N 18th St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,521 (-0%) 6mo $127,500 $84 58
2815 Dodson Ave 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,450 (-5%) 2mo $212,000 $146 58
818 26th St 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,612 (+6%) 4mo $158,400 $98 57
2710 Reeder St 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,425 (-6%) 3mo $192,500 $135 54
2105 S R St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,382 (-9%) 6mo $161,000 $116 52
2100 S N St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,318 (-13%) 7mo $169,900 $129 51
606 S 18th St 0.38mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,298 (-15%) 3mo $40,000 $31 49
2104 S S St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,694 (+11%) 2mo $210,000 $124 48
1620 South 29th St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+10%) 2mo $148,000 $88 43
1911 S 12th St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,314 (-14%) 3mo $71,000 $54 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-20,834
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-9,204
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72901

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,146 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $306/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $116 -5% $73 +0% $31 +5% $-183 +10% $-235
Rent -10% $-60 -5% $-15 +0% $31 +5% $76 +10% $121
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $69 base $31 +0.5pp $-8 +1.0pp $-48

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
800 S 19th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1286 $1,095 $0.85 5d 1 0.22mi
1307 S 17th St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 1.5 1161 $1,150 $0.99 23d 1 0.22mi
1907 S N St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1114 $950 $0.85 23d 1 0.24mi
704 S 26th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1892 $1,700 $0.90 23d 1 0.45mi
2200 S 17th St Unit D Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1123 $975 $0.87 23d 1 0.75mi
2307 S 23rd St Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,595 $1.18 23d 1 0.84mi
3101 Park Ave Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1634 $1,650 $1.01 15d 1 0.85mi
2800 Wharton Cir Unit 2323 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1240 $925 $0.75 15d 1 1.07mi
109 N 3rd St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1066 $1,300 $1.22 5d 2 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  18. 2026-05-22
    listed $150,000 Active
  19. 2024-07-22
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$306 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$654/yr (+$54/mo · 213.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,751
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$306
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,100
− Management
−$1,100
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,271
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$545
After-tax cash flow
$913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
19,819
Household income
$42,851
Rent vs Own
56.7% rent · 43.3% own
Severe rent burden
1117.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.82%
Current HPI
172.3777
Rent YoY
▲ 4.37%
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $150,000 WRVBOR
  • 2024-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $306 · +215.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…