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1140 Springville Rd
D Composite 42.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

1140 Springville Rd · Birmingham, AL 35215
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,564 sqft · Townhouse public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1981 6,534 sqft lot $102/sqft · 8% above area Est $148k · 8% over $30/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-story townhome, located on a corner lot. This home features two bedrooms, and to full bathrooms on the second level. Living room, kitchen dining room, and laundry room on the first level. Partially rear covered patio and a two-car covered detached carport. Storage room.

Key facts

  • Detached carport
  • Rear covered patio
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTREAR COVERED PATIODETACHED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $160k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,756 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.20%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$148,435
List price
$159,900
Delta
7.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1104 Springville Rd 0.05mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,782 (+14%) 5mo $216,000 $121 66
1100 Springville Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,656 (+6%) 21mo $170,000 $103 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-15,918
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-924
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
336
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,478 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $907/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$30
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$157

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,279
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $247 -5% $202 +0% $157 +5% $111 +10% $66
Rent -10% $40 -5% $98 +0% $157 +5% $215 +10% $273
Rate -1.0pp $237 -0.5pp $197 base $157 +0.5pp $115 +1.0pp $73

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
925 Eldorado Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,231 $0.94 45d 1 0.39mi
1340 Orlando Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1329 $1,166 $0.88 25d 1 0.39mi
901 Eldorado Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1680 $1,415 $0.84 16d 1 0.42mi
1360 Orlando Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,455 $0.98 25d 1 0.44mi
224 13th Ave NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1213 $1,273 $1.05 23d 1 0.44mi
933 Edwards Lake Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1684 $1,360 $0.81 5d 1 0.45mi
1317 Hatfield Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 2028 $1,300 $0.64 25d 1 0.50mi
744 Vaughn Cir Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1516 $1,561 $1.03 25d 1 0.55mi
1037 Dawn Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1532 $1,295 $0.85 13d 1 0.56mi
236 E Haven Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1926 $1,495 $0.78 13d 1 0.60mi
1259 Huffman Rd Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1662 $1,556 $0.94 45d 1 0.63mi
239 Lake Drive Cir NE Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1159 $1,125 $0.97 5d 1 0.64mi
1328 Oak Ter Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1772 $1,581 $0.89 13d 1 0.68mi
1235 Little Brook Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1787 $2,400 $1.34 45d 1 0.73mi
1028 Broadmoor Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,085 $1.01 5d 1 0.74mi
940 Pine Hill Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1926 $1,475 $0.77 45d 1 0.75mi
213 Meadwood Dr NE Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1194 $995 $0.83 45d 1 0.80mi
1409 Medina Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 2113 $1,600 $0.76 45d 1 0.80mi
120 Shawnee Ln NW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,075 $0.96 45d 1 0.83mi
108 13th Ave NW Center Point, AL 4.0 2.0 1444 $1,265 $0.88 25d 1 0.84mi
1440 Hickory Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,625 $1.12 3d 1 0.88mi
1153 Linwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,295 $1.04 4d 1 0.94mi
1700 Serene Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.5 1543 $1,630 $1.06 3d 1 0.95mi
1237 Linwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1066 $995 $0.93 45d 1 0.98mi
405 13th Ct NW Center Point, AL 4.0 1.5 1248 $1,415 $1.13 23d 1 1.02mi
1225 Birchwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,175 $1.08 5d 1 1.03mi
324 13th Ter NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.5 1418 $1,295 $0.91 25d 1 1.04mi
520 Camellia Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,100 $1.04 5d 1 1.08mi
1516 Highland Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1104 $1,675 $1.52 16d 1 1.11mi
1232 Oakwood St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1301 $1,223 $0.94 25d 1 1.12mi
433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,255 $1.08 18d 1 1.15mi
1421 Brewster Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1439 $1,525 $1.06 3d 1 1.18mi
1720 2nd St NE Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 45d 1 1.21mi
1112 Violet Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1414 $1,600 $1.13 13d 1 1.22mi
1628 1st St NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,150 $1.02 45d 1 1.23mi
1301 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,100 $0.94 5d 1 1.23mi
1305 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,200 $1.10 45d 1 1.24mi
1761 Big Mountain Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1632 $1,575 $0.97 46d 1 1.24mi
1333 5th Pl NW Center Point, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,275 $1.21 45d 1 1.26mi
1177 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1636 $1,100 $0.67 45d 1 1.27mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$30 · $360/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-03-22
    listed $159,900 Active 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Charming 2-story townhome, located on a corner lot. This home features two bedrooms, and to full bathrooms on the second level. Living room, kitchen dining room, and laundry room on the first level. Partially rear covered patio and a two-car covered detached carport. Storage room.

  15. 2002-07-02
    soldstatus $79,900
  16. 1994-02-04
    soldstatus $76,785

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$907 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$907 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,731
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$907
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,418
− Management
−$1,418
− HOA
−$360
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$188
After-tax cash flow
$2,066/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,903
Household income
$52,793
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1729.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.97%
Current HPI
215.0607
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-22 Listed $159,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2002-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 1994-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $76,785 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $907 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…