29 E Vesey St · Petersburg, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCED! SPRAWING BROADFRONT BRICK RANCH 1550 SQ FT-4 BEDROOMS & 2 FULL BATHS, CORNER DOUBLE LOT(. 9 ACRE), BREEZEWAY TO LARGE 2 CAR GARAGE. DECORATE-- YOUR DREAM-YOUR WAY! SCHOOL, PARKS, TOWN JUST A FEW BLOCKS AWAY-- PRICED TO SELL! SELLING AS IS -CASH OR CONVENTIONAL OFFERS. LICENSED AGENT WITH ALL PREAPPROVED BUYER PLEASE. SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS/NO LANDCONTRACT OFFERED BATVAI CURRENT TAXES ARE NON-HOMSTEAD
Key facts
- Corner double lot
- Breezeway to garage
- 0.45 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($180/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (17.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#286 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Summerfield Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #144 of 540 in MI (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $155k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.41%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $233,339
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -33.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 W Elm St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (+3%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $113 | 72 |
| 519 Wood St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,484 (-4%) | 20mo | $288,000 | $194 | 72 |
| 114 Cass St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,700 (+10%) | 10mo | $256,500 | $151 | 66 |
| 666 Saline Street Rd | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,448 (-7%) | 18mo | $105,000 | $73 | 66 |
| 126 E Vesey St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,662 (+7%) | 12mo | $181,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 138 W Madison St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (+12%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $141 | 64 |
| 314 Saline St | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,704 (+10%) | 17mo | $245,000 | $144 | 61 |
| 3825 Mcneil Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+10%) | 18mo | $239,900 | $141 | 55 |
| 355 E Railroad St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+3%) | 18mo | $300,000 | $188 | 53 |
| 149 Petersburg Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,709 (+10%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $123 | 51 |
| 3983 Mcneil Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,704 (+10%) | 8mo | $272,500 | $160 | 51 |
| 3880 Mcneil Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,380 (-11%) | 16mo | $265,000 | $192 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-24,188
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-19,933
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49270
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,285 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,473/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-02-25price $165,900 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! SPRAWING BROADFRONT BRICK RANCH 1550 SQ FT-4 BEDROOMS & 2 FULL BATHS, CORNER DOUBLE LOT(. 9 ACRE), BREEZEWAY TO LARGE 2 CAR GARAGE. DECORATE-- YOUR DREAM-YOUR WAY! SCHOOL, PARKS, TOWN JUST A FEW BLOCKS AWAY-- PRICED TO SELL! SELLING AS IS -CASH OR CONVENTIONAL OFFERS. LICENSED AGENT WITH ALL PREAPPROVED BUYER PLEASE. SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS/NO LANDCONTRACT OFFERED BATVAI CURRENT TAXES ARE NON-HOMSTEAD
-
2026-02-25price $165,900 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! SPRAWING BROADFRONT BRICK RANCH 1550 SQ FT-4 BEDROOMS & 2 FULL BATHS, CORNER DOUBLE LOT(. 9 ACRE), BREEZEWAY TO LARGE 2 CAR GARAGE. DECORATE-- YOUR DREAM-YOUR WAY! SCHOOL, PARKS, TOWN JUST A FEW BLOCKS AWAY-- PRICED TO SELL! SELLING AS IS -CASH OR CONVENTIONAL OFFERS. LICENSED AGENT WITH ALL PREAPPROVED BUYER PLEASE. SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS/NO LANDCONTRACT OFFERED BATVAI CURRENT TAXES ARE NON-HOMSTEAD
-
2025-12-04price $175,000 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! SPRAWING BROADFRONT BRICK RANCH 1550 SQ FT-4 BEDROOMS & 2 FULL BATHS, CORNER DOUBLE LOT(. 9 ACRE), BREEZEWAY TO LARGE 2 CAR GARAGE. DECORATE-- YOUR DREAM-YOUR WAY! SCHOOL, PARKS, TOWN JUST A FEW BLOCKS AWAY-- PRICED TO SELL! SELLING AS IS -CASH OR CONVENTIONAL OFFERS. LICENSED AGENT WITH ALL PREAPPROVED BUYER PLEASE. SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS/NO LANDCONTRACT OFFERED BATVAI CURRENT TAXES ARE NON-HOMSTEAD
-
2025-12-04price $175,000 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! SPRAWING BROADFRONT BRICK RANCH 1550 SQ FT-4 BEDROOMS & 2 FULL BATHS, CORNER DOUBLE LOT(. 9 ACRE), BREEZEWAY TO LARGE 2 CAR GARAGE. DECORATE-- YOUR DREAM-YOUR WAY! SCHOOL, PARKS, TOWN JUST A FEW BLOCKS AWAY-- PRICED TO SELL! SELLING AS IS -CASH OR CONVENTIONAL OFFERS. LICENSED AGENT WITH ALL PREAPPROVED BUYER PLEASE. SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS/NO LANDCONTRACT OFFERED BATVAI CURRENT TAXES ARE NON-HOMSTEAD
-
2025-11-04$195,000 Active 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! SPRAWING BROADFRONT BRICK RANCH 1550 SQ FT-4 BEDROOMS & 2 FULL BATHS, CORNER DOUBLE LOT(. 9 ACRE), BREEZEWAY TO LARGE 2 CAR GARAGE. DECORATE-- YOUR DREAM-YOUR WAY! SCHOOL, PARKS, TOWN JUST A FEW BLOCKS AWAY-- PRICED TO SELL! SELLING AS IS -CASH OR CONVENTIONAL OFFERS. LICENSED AGENT WITH ALL PREAPPROVED BUYER PLEASE. SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS/NO LANDCONTRACT OFFERED BATVAI CURRENT TAXES ARE NON-HOMSTEAD
-
2025-11-04$195,000 Active 430-char remark
Show marketing remark (430 chars)
PRICE REDUCED! SPRAWING BROADFRONT BRICK RANCH 1550 SQ FT-4 BEDROOMS & 2 FULL BATHS, CORNER DOUBLE LOT(. 9 ACRE), BREEZEWAY TO LARGE 2 CAR GARAGE. DECORATE-- YOUR DREAM-YOUR WAY! SCHOOL, PARKS, TOWN JUST A FEW BLOCKS AWAY-- PRICED TO SELL! SELLING AS IS -CASH OR CONVENTIONAL OFFERS. LICENSED AGENT WITH ALL PREAPPROVED BUYER PLEASE. SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS/NO LANDCONTRACT OFFERED BATVAI CURRENT TAXES ARE NON-HOMSTEAD
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1992-02-07soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,473 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,930 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- +$457/yr (+$38/mo · 31.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,420
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,473
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,234
- − Management
- −$1,234
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$2,487
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$597
- After-tax cash flow
- $776/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Summerfield Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633120
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,989
- Composite
- 38.63/100
- National rank
- #4155
- State rank
- #144 of 540 in MI
Livability — Petersburg
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #286
- US rank
- #7094
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petersburg, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,728
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,439 people
- By 2030
- 140,033 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 128,408 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 115,024 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 87,273 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 63,110 · -56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Romanian 9% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.87%
- Current HPI
- 176.6547
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+277.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $165,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $165,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-04 Listed $195,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-04 Listed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1992-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,473 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…