🌊 Lakefront
4344 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit B · Holiday, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy affordable Florida living in the beautiful gated 55+ community of Tahitian Gardens! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath condo offers comfortable, low-maintenance living with laminate wood flooring throughout, spacious bedrooms, large closets, and the convenience of in-unit laundry. Natural light fills the living spaces, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. Tahitian Gardens is centered around a scenic lake and offers an abundance of amenities, including a heated swimming pool, clubhouse, shuffleboard courts, walking paths, and a full calendar of social activities such as bingo, arts and crafts, card groups, dances, and community events. Conveniently located near shopping, di
Key facts
- Gated community
- Shuffleboard courts
- Clubhouse
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Partially furnished
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee $285 (includes pool and insurance); Association approval required; Buyer approval required; Clubhouse; Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed; Total annual fees $3,420
Exterior
- Parking: Guest parking available nearby
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; One-story; Faces west; Unit on first floor
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Building 33
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($857/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.5% in Holiday — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#623 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.57%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-15,957
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-12,948
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34691
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,917/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$285
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $139 | -5% $105 | +0% $71 | +5% $38 | +10% $4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-48 | -5% $12 | +0% $71 | +5% $131 | +10% $190 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $131 | -0.5pp $102 | base $71 | +0.5pp $41 | +1.0pp $9 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4351 Tahitian Gardens Cir Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,150 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4365 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit C Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4354 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit F Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,500 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4318 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit B Holiday, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,200 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4326 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit 14E Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 768 | $2,000 | $2.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4356 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit C Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,350 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4358 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit G Holiday, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,350 | $2.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4358 Tahitian Gardens Cir Holiday, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,350 | $2.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4337 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit F Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,500 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 4334 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit C Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,450 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4313 Tahitian Gardens Cir Unit C Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 825 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2132 Kepner Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,295 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2051 Pleasure Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4205 Jordana Way Holiday, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1027 | $1,404 | $1.37 | 3d | 13 | 0.37mi |
| 4348 Plaza Dr Holiday, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $1,499 | $1.74 | 0d | 7 | 0.43mi |
| 2117 Calusa Trl Unit B Holiday, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,200 | $1.69 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3749 Beechwood Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,623 | $1.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3742 Darlington Rd Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,800 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2122 Ranchita Trl Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,399 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4723 Aegean Ave Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,636 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2610 Templewood Dr Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4823 Longwood Ave Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2509 Sweetwood Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,650 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2552 Chancery Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,595 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3513 Trask Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,249 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3405 Wilson Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 861 | $1,650 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1552 Alert St Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $2,100 | $2.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3421 Tricon Ln #12 Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,095 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3439 Clydesdale Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,395 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1624 Springdale Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3052 Salton St Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5338 Nancy Ln Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,430 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3433 Monticello St Holiday, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3516 Sheryl Hill Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 848 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3433 Atlantis Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3445 Wiltshire Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3143 Pinon Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3511 Cambridge St New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,100 | $2.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5232 Sparrow Dr Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,975 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4836 Flora Ave Holiday, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $1,445 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $285 · $3,420/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$119,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,917
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − HOA
- −$3,420
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$879
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$211
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,068/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Holiday
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #623
- US rank
- #12124
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Holiday, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 33,730
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,232
- Household income
- $50,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1031.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.84%
- Current HPI
- 326.9843
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+48.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-24 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-23 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,917 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…