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816 Penn St
B- Composite 69.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +6.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

816 Penn St · Sharpsburg, PA 15215
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,998 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1910 740 sqft lot $105/sqft · 5% above area Est $200k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT FAMILY HOME!!!! LARGE HOME COULD BE 2 UNIT UPDATED KITCHEN 2 NEW BATHS NEUTRAL DEC, 2 COVERED DECKS

Key facts

  • Textured walls
  • Finished attic
  • Soaring ceilings

Tags

FINISHED ATTICSOARING CEILINGSORIGINAL DELIVERY DOORORIGINAL LIGHT FIXTURESTEXTURED WALLSTWO DECKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 3 stories; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Public transportation nearby; Lot dimensions 21x25x49.55x21.33

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Refrigerator; Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Upper-level bedroom (13x10); Upper-level bedroom (10x7)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Hot water heating; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Pantry; Window treatments; Multi-pane windows; Window screens; Decorative fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $692 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#248 in PA, #2,145 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, schools D-, employment D-.
  • Fox Chapel Area SD (suburban): math 73% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #7 of 539 in PA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $210k implies a 223% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,603 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.57%
Cash-on-cash
15.27%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,530
List price
$209,900
Delta
5.20%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1218 Penn St 0.22mi 3/1.5 2,082 (+4%) 8mo $128,000 $61 74
713 Edgewood Ave 0.32mi 3/2.5 2,020 (+1%) 10mo $710,000 $351 73
66 Cherry St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,952 (-2%) 2mo $325,000 $166 70
16 4th St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,824 (-9%) 6mo $215,000 $118 68
221 13th St 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,100 (+5%) 12mo $170,000 $81 67
29 Kittanning Pike 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,934 (-3%) 8mo $205,000 $106 64
229 Clifton Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,725 (-14%) 3mo $209,000 $121 60
1636 Trinity St 0.67mi 3/2.5 1,873 (-6%) 1mo $501,636 $268 55
803 Sharps Hill Rd 0.37mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,152 (+8%) 16mo $194,000 $90 50
9 Morelock St 0.73mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,956 (-2%) 14mo $360,000 $184 44
78 High St 0.75mi 3/3.0 2,176 (+9%) 4mo $33,333 $15 43
230 Clifton Ave 0.29mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,706 (-15%) 15mo $245,000 $144 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$16,113
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$96,697
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15215

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,617 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,573/yr
Insurance
$87
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$550
Net cashflow
$692

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,740
Max offer price $209,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $811 -5% $752 +0% $692 +5% $633 +10% $574
Rent -10% $486 -5% $589 +0% $692 +5% $796 +10% $899
Rate -1.0pp $798 -0.5pp $746 base $692 +0.5pp $638 +1.0pp $583

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
212 8th St Sharpsburg, PA 4.0 2.0 2240 $2,100 $0.94 18d 1 0.04mi
6026 Sawyer St Unit NA Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 2231 $2,500 $1.12 20d 1 0.79mi
160 56th St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 3.0 1737 $3,900 $2.25 20d 1 1.10mi
5264 Dresden Way Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1853 $2,500 $1.35 25d 1 1.38mi
5700 Bunkerhill St Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1258 $3,236 $2.57 3d 17 1.39mi
404 Reetz St Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $2,050 $1.37 17d 1 1.39mi
5275 Butler St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $4,076 $4.61 3d 130 1.40mi
1115 N Negley Ave Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 968 $2,390 $2.47 3d 2 1.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,900 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,900 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $209,900 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-04-29
    listed $214,900 Active 1750-char remark
  15. 2000-01-18
    soldstatus $64,900
  16. 2000-01-17
    soldstatus $64,900 105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    GREAT FAMILY HOME!!!! LARGE HOME COULD BE 2 UNIT UPDATED KITCHEN 2 NEW BATHS NEUTRAL DEC, 2 COVERED DECKS

  17. 1999-10-06
    listed $64,900 105-char remark
    Show marketing remark (105 chars)

    GREAT FAMILY HOME!!!! LARGE HOME COULD BE 2 UNIT UPDATED KITCHEN 2 NEW BATHS NEUTRAL DEC, 2 COVERED DECKS

  18. 1994-01-20
    soldstatus $47,650

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,573 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,445 · $204/mo
Expected delta
+$872/yr (+$73/mo · 55.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,402
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$1,573
− Insurance
−$1,716
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,512
− Management
−$2,512
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable income
$5,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,254
After-tax cash flow
$7,056/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fox Chapel Area SD
NCES district ID
4210070
Math proficiency
73% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
85% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$73,326
Composite
69.02/100
National rank
#324
State rank
#7 of 539 in PA

Livability — Sharpsburg

Score
79/100
State rank
#248
US rank
#2145

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sharpsburg, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,907
Household income
$99,071
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
311.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
7% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.68%
Current HPI
284.7359
Rent YoY
▲ 5.24%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+340.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $209,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $214,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2000-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
  • 2000-01-17 Sold (MLS) $64,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1999-10-06 Listed $64,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1994-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $47,650 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,573 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…