500 Park Ave #436 · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOVELY 1 BEDROOM CONDO..SURROUNDED BY A BEAUTIFUL GOLF COURSE..NEW CUSTOM OAK CABINET IN KITCHEN.. NEW CERAMIC TILE BATH.. FRESHLY PAINTED..THIS UNIT FEATURES AN EAT IN KITCHEN.. LIVING ROOM/DINNING ROOM AND A ENCLOSED BALCONY...WASHER AND DRYER IN UNIT..ALL APPLS. AS IS.. THIS IS A MUST SEE!!!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Galley kitchen
- Private balcony
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a building with 289 units; Living area reported as estimated
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $400; Association fee includes water, gas, insurance, clubhouse, pool, and exterior maintenance; Pets allowed (cats OK)
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space (total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single condo; Entry level: 4; Condo ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Estimated age: 41–50 years; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Common lot/grounds
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level) — approx. 16 x 8
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level) — approx. 19 x 11; Three additional bedrooms (one listed as Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Four total rooms; Dining room (main level) — approx. 8 x 10; Living room (main level) — approx. 16 x 11; Family room; Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.25%
- DSCR
- 3.59
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $29,295
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- 68.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.71×
- Total profit
- $85,092
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$7 /mo · $88/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$400
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $494 | -5% $484 | +0% $474 | +5% $464 | +10% $455 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $366 | -5% $420 | +0% $474 | +5% $528 | +10% $582 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $492 | -0.5pp $483 | base $474 | +0.5pp $465 | +1.0pp $456 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1450 E 154th Pl Dolton, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $400 · $4,800/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending
-
2026-04-02price $34,900
-
2026-03-23status Active
-
2026-01-22status Pending
-
2025-12-30$39,900 Active
-
2007-10-10soldstatus $70,500
-
2007-10-05soldstatus $70,500 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
LOVELY 1 BEDROOM CONDO..SURROUNDED BY A BEAUTIFUL GOLF COURSE..NEW CUSTOM OAK CABINET IN KITCHEN.. NEW CERAMIC TILE BATH.. FRESHLY PAINTED..THIS UNIT FEATURES AN EAT IN KITCHEN.. LIVING ROOM/DINNING ROOM AND A ENCLOSED BALCONY...WASHER AND DRYER IN UNIT..ALL APPLS. AS IS.. THIS IS A MUST SEE!!!
-
2007-06-27historical 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
LOVELY 1 BEDROOM CONDO..SURROUNDED BY A BEAUTIFUL GOLF COURSE..NEW CUSTOM OAK CABINET IN KITCHEN.. NEW CERAMIC TILE BATH.. FRESHLY PAINTED..THIS UNIT FEATURES AN EAT IN KITCHEN.. LIVING ROOM/DINNING ROOM AND A ENCLOSED BALCONY...WASHER AND DRYER IN UNIT..ALL APPLS. AS IS.. THIS IS A MUST SEE!!!
-
2007-04-23$75,000 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
LOVELY 1 BEDROOM CONDO..SURROUNDED BY A BEAUTIFUL GOLF COURSE..NEW CUSTOM OAK CABINET IN KITCHEN.. NEW CERAMIC TILE BATH.. FRESHLY PAINTED..THIS UNIT FEATURES AN EAT IN KITCHEN.. LIVING ROOM/DINNING ROOM AND A ENCLOSED BALCONY...WASHER AND DRYER IN UNIT..ALL APPLS. AS IS.. THIS IS A MUST SEE!!!
-
2006-01-03soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $88 · $7/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $440 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$352/yr (+$29/mo · 400.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$88
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − HOA
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $5,738
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,377
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-27.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $34,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-30 Listed $39,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,500 Public Records
- 2007-10-05 Sold (MLS) $70,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-23 Listed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-36.4%/yrLatest (2014): $88 · -45.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…