6801 Penn Ave #27 · Wernersville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the welcoming Valley View community. This home was built in 2010 and still has a new feel to it, it is in excellent condition. The home has vinyl floor throughout, fresh carpet in one of the bedrooms, a nice front porch and it does have central a/c. Come see this one today!
Key facts
- Front porch
- Central a/c
- Vinyl floor
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#583 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Wilson SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #127 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.79%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,832
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -40.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $10,086
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $35,330
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19565
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,633 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $845/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$575
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $305
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $339 | -5% $322 | +0% $305 | +5% $288 | +10% $271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $176 | -5% $241 | +0% $305 | +5% $370 | +10% $434 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $335 | -0.5pp $320 | base $305 | +0.5pp $290 | +1.0pp $274 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $575 · $6,900/yr
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-03-25$60,000 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home nestled in the welcoming Valley View community. This home was built in 2010 and still has a new feel to it, it is in excellent condition. The home has vinyl floor throughout, fresh carpet in one of the bedrooms, a nice front porch and it does have central a/c. Come see this one today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $845 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$52/yr (+$4/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,598
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$845
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,568
- − Management
- −$1,568
- − HOA
- −$6,900
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,311
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$795
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,867/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 2010 manufactured home is in excellent condition with a fresh paint job and well-maintained landscaping. Minor updates to the exterior and landscaping would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Replace front porch railings — Worn railings can be a safety hazard and detract from curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Replace front porch railings — Worn railings can be a safety hazard and detract from curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilson SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226580
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,787
- Composite
- 46.32/100
- National rank
- #2471
- State rank
- #127 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wernersville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #583
- US rank
- #5601
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,744
Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 425,767 people
- By 2030
- 428,814 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 433,463 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 439,426 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 478,647 · +12.4%
- By 2100
- 518,507 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% German 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berks
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 271.6774
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $845 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…