3606 Mayfair St · Poinciana, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
3606 Mayfair St · Poinciana, FL 34758
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,407 sqft · Townhouse
public records
· 229 Days on market
Built 2024
1,999 sqft lot
Garage
$177/sqft
· at area comps
Est $254k · at est.
$230/mo HOA · 11% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Short Sale. Short Sale: Brand-New 2024 Townhome in Westview Community This stunning, brand-new 2024 townhome is situated in the sought-after Westview community. The modern residence boasts three bedrooms and two and a half bathrooms, providing approximately 1,373 square feet of comfortable living space. The open layout creates a bright and spacious atmosphere, ideal for everyday living and entertaining family and friends. The seamless flow between the kitchen and living areas facilitates relaxation and entertaining. Residents can take advantage of exceptional community amenities, including a swimming pool, clubhouse, playground, dog park, and sidewalks for walking.
Key facts
- Dog park
- Clubhouse
- Community amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $249k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (31.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Palmetto Elementary School (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,962 of 2,144 statewide, top 92%, 513 students, 52% FRL); Lake Marion Creek Middle School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #522 of 571 statewide, top 93%, 1,044 students, 58% FRL); Davenport High School (2,333 students, 37% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 953 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 229 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer
$170,789
(31.4% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 229 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.62%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,817
- List price
- $249,000
- Delta
- -1.90%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2602 Skyline Loop | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,689 (+20%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 5531 Pimenta Ct | 1.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+1%) | 0mo | $311,325 | $219 | 63 |
| 507 Presido Park Pl | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,302 (-8%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 5446 Crown Point Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,603 (+14%) | 1mo | $322,000 | $201 | 59 |
| 4340 ST Thomas Way | 1.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,562 (+11%) | 0mo | $222,490 | $142 | 41 |
| 4286 ST Thomas Way | 1.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,562 (+11%) | 0mo | $229,490 | $147 | 41 |
| 4342 ST Thomas Way | 1.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,562 (+11%) | 1mo | $229,990 | $147 | 41 |
| 306 Aylesbury Ct | 1.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (-17%) | 0mo | $227,000 | $193 | 40 |
| 1144 Via Galuppi St | 1.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,723 (+22%) | 1mo | $355,000 | $206 | 39 |
| 5534 Sapote Ct | 1.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+14%) | 0mo | $322,722 | $202 | 37 |
| 5519 Pimenta Ct | 1.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+14%) | 0mo | $308,290 | $193 | 37 |
| 779 Via Como St | 1.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,653 (+18%) | 1mo | $342,500 | $207 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -32.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-72,642
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
10-year hold
- IRR
- -56.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.66×
- Total profit
- $-115,619
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 16 active · 11 under contract
- Months of supply
- 16.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $257,500 ($192/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 123 d
- This list price
- 38% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -6.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34758
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 953
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $2,010 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$391 /mo · $4,697/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$230
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $-443
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,571
Max offer price
$170,789
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-302 | -5% $-372 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-513 | +10% $-584 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-602 | -5% $-522 | +0% $-443 | +5% $-363 | +10% $-284 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-317 | -0.5pp $-379 | base $-443 | +0.5pp $-507 | +1.0pp $-573 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3622 Mayfair St Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1701 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 3381 Composition St Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1275 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 164d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3371 Composition St Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1180 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 164d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3718 Sepia St Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1373 | $1,950 | $1.42 | 164d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3591 Mayfair St Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,750 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3576 Mayfair St Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,950 | $1.42 | 52d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3576 Mayfair St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 164d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3734 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 164d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3734 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 10d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3583 Mayfair St Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 46d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3726 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 1d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3726 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1325 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 125d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3579 Mayfair St Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,890 | $1.34 | 10d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3714 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,750 | $1.27 | 155d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3575 Mayfair St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,890 | $1.08 | 164d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3348 Composition St Unit 1 Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $1,600 | $1.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3331 Composition St Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1275 | $1,749 | $1.37 | 108d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3348 Composition St Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1219 | $1,600 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3778 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,750 | $1.24 | 164d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3797 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 164d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3797 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,800 | $1.31 | 138d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3801 Sepia St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 144d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3322 Composition St Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 10d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3553 Mayfair St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $2,000 | $1.42 | 10d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3519 Mayfair St Poinciana, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 110d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3091 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1873 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 116d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3079 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $1,900 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3069 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1873 | $1,950 | $1.04 | 118d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3092 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $1,790 | $1.06 | 10d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3093 Skyline Loop Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1255 | $1,745 | $1.39 | 118d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3119 Skyline Loop Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1275 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 55d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3133 Skyline Loop Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1255 | $1,699 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3061 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1817 | $1,900 | $1.05 | 144d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3137 Skyline Loop Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1211 | $1,580 | $1.30 | 10d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3080 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1834 | $1,800 | $0.98 | 133d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3076 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 144d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3072 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1873 | $1,790 | $0.96 | 144d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3161 Skyline Loop Poinciana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1210 | $1,499 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3045 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1834 | $1,995 | $1.09 | 116d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3064 Chromatic St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1834 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 164d | 1 | 0.14mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property is in a Community Development District (CDD)No pets allowed per listingUnfurnished
- Financial info
- Other annual assessment: $780Tax information available
- HOA & community
- HOA managed by Castle GroupMonthly HOA fee of $230 (includes trash)Annual association fees of $2,760Community amenities: pool, fitness center, playground, dog park, community mailbox, sidewalks, golf carts allowed, reclaimed water irrigation, no truck/RV/motorcycle parking
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableCable connectedBroadband/high-speed internet availableWater connected
- Home design
- TownhouseResidential propertyTwo levelsSouthwest facingEntry in a master-planned community
- Construction
- Block constructionCement sidingStucco exteriorShingle roofBlock foundationBuilt by Taylor Morrison
- Exterior features
- Sliding doorsSprinkler meterIrrigation equipmentAsphalt road accessCommunity sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalMicrowaveRangeRefrigeratorSolid surface countersSolid wood cabinetsEat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenOpen floor planSolid surface countersSolid wood cabinetsThermostatWalk-in closets
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry roomWasherDryerElectric water heater
HOA detail $230/mo · $2,760/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $249,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $249,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $249,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $249,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $249,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $249,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $249,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $249,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $249,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $249,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $249,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $249,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $249,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $249,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $249,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $249,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $249,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $249,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $249,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $249,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $249,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $249,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $249,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $249,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $249,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $249,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $249,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $249,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $249,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $249,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $249,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $249,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $249,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $249,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $249,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $249,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $249,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $249,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $249,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $249,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $249,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $249,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $249,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $249,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $249,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $249,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $249,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $249,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $249,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $249,000 Active 177 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,697 · $391/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,697 · $391/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$4,697
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,930
- − Management
- −$1,930
- − HOA
- −$2,760
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$9,629
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,311
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
100/100
None rehab
This brand-new 2024 townhome in the Westview community is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a modern kitchen, two and a half bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to enhance its curb appeal and market value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and market value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, high-end appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 25/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Palmetto Elementary School
F
FL #1,962/2,144
Nat'l #28,299/41,679
Middle
Lake Marion Creek Middle School
F
FL #522/571
Nat'l #10,474/14,009
High
Haines City Senior High School
F
FL #544/667
Nat'l #13,673/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
D
Composite livability gradescore 57/100
Livability — Poinciana
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #859
- US rank
- #21760
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A+
Crime C
Employment D+
Housing A+
Health & safety F
User ratings F
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poinciana, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 752,975 people
- City population
- 91,336
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,768
- Household income
- $66,339
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 28% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% Black 22% Two or more races 16% White 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 36% Cuban 3% Dominican 7%
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.53%
- Current HPI
- 295.8928
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.82%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-91.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listed $289,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $289,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $3,005,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…