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501 Spanish Main
D Composite 42.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

501 Spanish Main · Spanish Fort, AL 36527
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,990 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1965 0.47 ac lot Est $320k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Renovation on a Large Corner Lot in Spanish Fort Estates. This home has 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths in a very functional multi level floor plan. Kitchen and living room combo with new appliances, Gas cook-top, and granite countertops with breakfast bar. Living room area has beautiful wood floors, tall ceilings, tons of natural light and a wood burning fireplace. There is a large bonus room or sunken den off the living room that is a great space for a more informal living area or playroom. Master suite is oversized with a wood burning fireplace and has 2 walk-in closets. Three large bedrooms upstairs share a bathroom at the end of the hall. The back porch space is great for entertaining and can be accessed through the den or living room. A stone hardscape wall has been recently installed to outline the porch and backyard. Yard has great landscaping with a freshly sodded area and a really cool new stone paver path around the perimeter of the home. There has also been a large concrete parking area added for overflow parking. The roof, Air conditioner and water heater are just a couple years old. This home is in great shape and in an area that is experiencing a large amount of growth! Come see it before it is too late!

Key facts

  • 0.47 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA transfer fees; No community features listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Single carport (1 covered space)
  • Utilities: Spanish Fort Water; Public sewer; Daphne, Fairhope and Riviera utilities available; Cable connected
  • Home design: One-and-one-half story; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof with Fortified roof features; Built area: 2,051 square feet (assessor)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Front porch; Rear porch; Termite contract

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Internet access; Den fireplace (1 total)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-787/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (27.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Spanish Fort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#26 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Spanish Fort Elementary School (math 61% / reading 79%, grade A-, #26 of 627 statewide, top 4%, 763 students, 31% FRL); Spanish Fort Middle School (math 38% / reading 70%, grade B-, #20 of 257 statewide, top 8%, 622 students, 28% FRL); Spanish Fort High School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #25 of 305 statewide, top 8%, 1,188 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 50% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $193k; list at $300k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,210 (27.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$320,390
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
508 General Maury Dr 0.13mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,056 (+3%) 6mo $365,000 $178 77
45 Caisson Trce 0.21mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,004 (+1%) 7mo $230,000 $115 72
4 Rally Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,903 (-4%) 4mo $280,000 $147 70
208 Confederate Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,831 (-8%) 1mo $240,000 $131 70
212 Confederate Dr N 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,831 (-8%) 8mo $295,000 $161 65
74 Caisson Trce 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,919 (-4%) 5mo $276,500 $144 63
201 Confederate Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,185 (+10%) 5mo $377,000 $173 60
18 Lee Cir 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,169 (+9%) 3mo $265,500 $122 59
10 SOLDIERS Rte 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,852 (-7%) 6mo $325,000 $175 56
71 Caisson Trce 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,704 (-14%) 0mo $365,000 $214 50
635 Southern Way 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,280 (+15%) 4mo $430,000 $189 46
6 Pirates Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,250 (+13%) 10mo $320,000 $142 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-45,012
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-10,212
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36527

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,162 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $905/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,245
Max offer price $288,418
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $104 -5% $19 +0% $-66 +5% $-150 +10% $-235
Rent -10% $-236 -5% $-151 +0% $-66 +5% $20 +10% $105
Rate -1.0pp $86 -0.5pp $11 base $-66 +0.5pp $-143 +1.0pp $-222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
607 Spanish Main Spanish Fort, AL 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,900 $1.14 21d 1 0.34mi
6677 Spaniel Dr Spanish Fort, AL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,995 $1.33 14d 1 0.47mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $300,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $300,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $300,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$905 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,230 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$325/yr (+$27/mo · 36.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,945
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$905
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,076
− Management
−$2,076
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$6,143
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,474
After-tax cash flow
$687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwin County
NCES district ID
0100270
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,677
Composite
38.61/100
National rank
#4157
State rank
#18 of 129 in AL

Livability — Spanish Fort

Score
73/100
State rank
#26
US rank
#5408

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spanish Fort, AL
County
Baldwin County · 181,514 people
City population
21,765
Metro
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
Population (ZIP)
21,765
Household income
$120,189
Rent vs Own
23.9% rent · 76.1% own
Severe rent burden
378.0

Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,264 people
By 2030
270,315 · +8.9%
By 2040
312,967 · +26.1%
By 2050
352,262 · +41.9%
By 2075
438,841 · +76.8%
By 2100
487,736 · +96.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.56%
Current HPI
234.5113
Rent YoY
▲ 6.52%
Metro
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+903.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $300,000 BCAR
  • 2020-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $193,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $193,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $193,000 BCAR
  • 2020-06-25 Listed $199,900 BCAR
  • 2017-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $148,100 Public Records
  • 2017-01-20 Sold (MLS) $148,000 BCAR
  • 2016-08-25 Listed $179,000 BCAR
  • 2015-07-29 Sold (MLS) $36,000 BCAR
  • 2015-06-17 Listed $29,900 BCAR

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $905 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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