501 Spanish Main · Spanish Fort, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Renovation on a Large Corner Lot in Spanish Fort Estates. This home has 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths in a very functional multi level floor plan. Kitchen and living room combo with new appliances, Gas cook-top, and granite countertops with breakfast bar. Living room area has beautiful wood floors, tall ceilings, tons of natural light and a wood burning fireplace. There is a large bonus room or sunken den off the living room that is a great space for a more informal living area or playroom. Master suite is oversized with a wood burning fireplace and has 2 walk-in closets. Three large bedrooms upstairs share a bathroom at the end of the hall. The back porch space is great for entertaining and can be accessed through the den or living room. A stone hardscape wall has been recently installed to outline the porch and backyard. Yard has great landscaping with a freshly sodded area and a really cool new stone paver path around the perimeter of the home. There has also been a large concrete parking area added for overflow parking. The roof, Air conditioner and water heater are just a couple years old. This home is in great shape and in an area that is experiencing a large amount of growth! Come see it before it is too late!
Key facts
- 0.47 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA transfer fees; No community features listed
Exterior
- Parking: Single carport (1 covered space)
- Utilities: Spanish Fort Water; Public sewer; Daphne, Fairhope and Riviera utilities available; Cable connected
- Home design: One-and-one-half story; Resale property
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof with Fortified roof features; Built area: 2,051 square feet (assessor)
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Front porch; Rear porch; Termite contract
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Internet access; Den fireplace (1 total)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-787/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (3.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (27.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.5% in Spanish Fort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#26 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Spanish Fort Elementary School (math 61% / reading 79%, grade A-, #26 of 627 statewide, top 4%, 763 students, 31% FRL); Spanish Fort Middle School (math 38% / reading 70%, grade B-, #20 of 257 statewide, top 8%, 622 students, 28% FRL); Spanish Fort High School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #25 of 305 statewide, top 8%, 1,188 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 50% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $193k; list at $300k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.94%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $320,390
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 General Maury Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,056 (+3%) | 6mo | $365,000 | $178 | 77 |
| 45 Caisson Trce | 0.21mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,004 (+1%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $115 | 72 |
| 4 Rally Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,903 (-4%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $147 | 70 |
| 208 Confederate Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,831 (-8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $131 | 70 |
| 212 Confederate Dr N | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,831 (-8%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $161 | 65 |
| 74 Caisson Trce | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,919 (-4%) | 5mo | $276,500 | $144 | 63 |
| 201 Confederate Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,185 (+10%) | 5mo | $377,000 | $173 | 60 |
| 18 Lee Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,169 (+9%) | 3mo | $265,500 | $122 | 59 |
| 10 SOLDIERS Rte | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,852 (-7%) | 6mo | $325,000 | $175 | 56 |
| 71 Caisson Trce | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-14%) | 0mo | $365,000 | $214 | 50 |
| 635 Southern Way | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 2,280 (+15%) | 4mo | $430,000 | $189 | 46 |
| 6 Pirates Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,250 (+13%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $142 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-45,012
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-10,212
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36527
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $905/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $-66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $104 | -5% $19 | +0% $-66 | +5% $-150 | +10% $-235 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-236 | -5% $-151 | +0% $-66 | +5% $20 | +10% $105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $86 | -0.5pp $11 | base $-66 | +0.5pp $-143 | +1.0pp $-222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Spanish Main Spanish Fort, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6677 Spaniel Dr Spanish Fort, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $300,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $300,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$300,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $905 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,230 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$325/yr (+$27/mo · 36.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,945
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$905
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,076
- − Management
- −$2,076
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$6,143
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,474
- After-tax cash flow
- $687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Spanish Fort
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #26
- US rank
- #5408
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spanish Fort, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 21,765
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,765
- Household income
- $120,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 378.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.56%
- Current HPI
- 234.5113
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.52%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+903.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $300,000 BCAR
- 2020-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $193,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $193,000 GCMLS AL
- 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $193,000 BCAR
- 2020-06-25 Listed $199,900 BCAR
- 2017-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $148,100 Public Records
- 2017-01-20 Sold (MLS) $148,000 BCAR
- 2016-08-25 Listed $179,000 BCAR
- 2015-07-29 Sold (MLS) $36,000 BCAR
- 2015-06-17 Listed $29,900 BCAR
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $905 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…